Brian Schaffner
@bfschaffner.bsky.social
Political scientist ~ Newhouse Professor of Civic Studies at Tufts ~ CES Whisperer ~ #COYS #GoDawgs
Pinned
Brian Schaffner
@bfschaffner.bsky.social
· Aug 19
doi.org
🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
Reposted by Brian Schaffner
really interesting analysis from Tufts Public Opinion Lab alum Zoe Kava!
I've missed writing, so I wrote a piece on how the parties are judging their oldest leaders. And decided to hop on the substack trend where I'll write about American politics, public opinion, and (sometimes) tennis!
substack.com/home/post/p-...
substack.com/home/post/p-...
Democrats Want Younger Leaders. Republicans Don’t.
Data shows that the parties diverge in how they judge their oldest leaders.
substack.com
November 19, 2025 at 7:07 PM
really interesting analysis from Tufts Public Opinion Lab alum Zoe Kava!
really interesting analysis from Tufts Public Opinion Lab alum Zoe Kava!
I've missed writing, so I wrote a piece on how the parties are judging their oldest leaders. And decided to hop on the substack trend where I'll write about American politics, public opinion, and (sometimes) tennis!
substack.com/home/post/p-...
substack.com/home/post/p-...
Democrats Want Younger Leaders. Republicans Don’t.
Data shows that the parties diverge in how they judge their oldest leaders.
substack.com
November 19, 2025 at 7:07 PM
really interesting analysis from Tufts Public Opinion Lab alum Zoe Kava!
this deep dive on immigration attitudes from Tufts (and CES) alum Caroline Soler and her co-authors is really good! www.nytimes.com/2025/11/19/p...
How Americans Feel About Immigrants and Immigration
www.nytimes.com
November 19, 2025 at 2:50 PM
this deep dive on immigration attitudes from Tufts (and CES) alum Caroline Soler and her co-authors is really good! www.nytimes.com/2025/11/19/p...
Reposted by Brian Schaffner
This is out today in open access, and while it's very much a methodology piece, I think it's really important to building the foundation for how we move forward with understanding the role of gender in politics.
#OpenAccess from @politicsgenderj.bsky.social -
Longitudinal Measures of Masculinity and Femininity: Stability, Change, and Trump - https://cup.org/43ycndo
- @dancassino.bsky.social
#FirstView
Longitudinal Measures of Masculinity and Femininity: Stability, Change, and Trump - https://cup.org/43ycndo
- @dancassino.bsky.social
#FirstView
November 14, 2025 at 4:24 PM
This is out today in open access, and while it's very much a methodology piece, I think it's really important to building the foundation for how we move forward with understanding the role of gender in politics.
worth noting that some of this tension was clear in the NYC mayoral, as exit polls show that Mamdani received 79% of the secular white vote, but just 56% among black voters.
atheist/agnostic Americans are now the biggest single voting bloc in the Democratic Party, and their leftist views may be alienating another of the party's traditional sources of strength ... new piece from me and Steve Ansolabehere @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/secular...
Secular Democrats are on the rise
Fewer Democrats identify as religious. That’s creating tension with Black voters.
goodauthority.org
November 10, 2025 at 2:45 PM
worth noting that some of this tension was clear in the NYC mayoral, as exit polls show that Mamdani received 79% of the secular white vote, but just 56% among black voters.
Reposted by Brian Schaffner
atheist/agnostic Americans are now the biggest single voting bloc in the Democratic Party, and their leftist views may be alienating another of the party's traditional sources of strength ... new piece from me and Steve Ansolabehere @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/secular...
Secular Democrats are on the rise
Fewer Democrats identify as religious. That’s creating tension with Black voters.
goodauthority.org
October 29, 2025 at 2:59 PM
atheist/agnostic Americans are now the biggest single voting bloc in the Democratic Party, and their leftist views may be alienating another of the party's traditional sources of strength ... new piece from me and Steve Ansolabehere @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/secular...
atheist/agnostic Americans are now the biggest single voting bloc in the Democratic Party, and their leftist views may be alienating another of the party's traditional sources of strength ... new piece from me and Steve Ansolabehere @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/secular...
Secular Democrats are on the rise
Fewer Democrats identify as religious. That’s creating tension with Black voters.
goodauthority.org
October 29, 2025 at 2:59 PM
atheist/agnostic Americans are now the biggest single voting bloc in the Democratic Party, and their leftist views may be alienating another of the party's traditional sources of strength ... new piece from me and Steve Ansolabehere @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/secular...
Reposted by Brian Schaffner
the @nytimes.com recently profiled LGB Republicans, in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Toby Winick explores what the data tells about this group and finds that they look quite different from other LGB Americans
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
LGB Republicans look a lot like other Republicans and less like other LGB Americans
by Toby Winick (class of ‘2026)
tufts-pol.medium.com
October 27, 2025 at 4:41 PM
the @nytimes.com recently profiled LGB Republicans, in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Toby Winick explores what the data tells about this group and finds that they look quite different from other LGB Americans
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
the @nytimes.com recently profiled LGB Republicans, in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Toby Winick explores what the data tells about this group and finds that they look quite different from other LGB Americans
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
LGB Republicans look a lot like other Republicans and less like other LGB Americans
by Toby Winick (class of ‘2026)
tufts-pol.medium.com
October 27, 2025 at 4:41 PM
the @nytimes.com recently profiled LGB Republicans, in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Toby Winick explores what the data tells about this group and finds that they look quite different from other LGB Americans
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
newest Tufts public opinion lab blog features Rolando Ortega exploring how Latino attitudes differ across generations tufts-pol.medium.com/qu%C3%A9-est...
¿Qué Está Pasando? Generational Assimilation & Latino America’s Rightward Shift
by Rolando Ortega (class of ‘26)
tufts-pol.medium.com
October 17, 2025 at 1:15 PM
newest Tufts public opinion lab blog features Rolando Ortega exploring how Latino attitudes differ across generations tufts-pol.medium.com/qu%C3%A9-est...
the outcome of the 2024 election increased confidence in U.S. elections among Trump voters, but they still lagged behind Harris voters...newest @goodauth.bsky.social post with Caroline Soler goodauthority.org/news/many-tr...
August 29, 2025 at 5:02 PM
the outcome of the 2024 election increased confidence in U.S. elections among Trump voters, but they still lagged behind Harris voters...newest @goodauth.bsky.social post with Caroline Soler goodauthority.org/news/many-tr...
in a new @goodauth.bsky.social post with Caroline Soler, we use vote validated CES data to show that nonvoters preferred Trump over Harris for president but Dems over Reps in down ballot races goodauthority.org/news/trump-a...
August 27, 2025 at 1:31 PM
in a new @goodauth.bsky.social post with Caroline Soler, we use vote validated CES data to show that nonvoters preferred Trump over Harris for president but Dems over Reps in down ballot races goodauthority.org/news/trump-a...
after 15 months, today is Caroline Soler's last day as the CES research associate. she has been a tremendous asset to the study and is going to be missed in so many ways. but she's on to bigger and better things with the Election Analytics team for the @nytimes.com!
August 22, 2025 at 2:00 PM
after 15 months, today is Caroline Soler's last day as the CES research associate. she has been a tremendous asset to the study and is going to be missed in so many ways. but she's on to bigger and better things with the Election Analytics team for the @nytimes.com!
Reposted by Brian Schaffner
🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
doi.org
August 19, 2025 at 5:17 PM
🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
Reposted by Brian Schaffner
fuck yeah, it's christmas day
🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
doi.org
August 19, 2025 at 5:22 PM
fuck yeah, it's christmas day
🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
doi.org
August 19, 2025 at 5:17 PM
🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
in the newest post on the CES blog, Caroline Soler digs in to the question of what is the best approach for identifying Evangelicals in surveys sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
When we talk about evangelicals, who are we actually talking about? – Cooperative Election Study Blog
sites.tufts.edu
August 1, 2025 at 2:54 PM
in the newest post on the CES blog, Caroline Soler digs in to the question of what is the best approach for identifying Evangelicals in surveys sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
still time to sign up for a 2025 CES module if you're interested!
we have just released the call for those interested in purchasing a module for the 2025 CES see here: sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort): cesconference.byu.edu
and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort): cesconference.byu.edu
Announcing the 2025 Cooperative Election Study – Cooperative Election Study Blog
sites.tufts.edu
July 24, 2025 at 1:47 AM
still time to sign up for a 2025 CES module if you're interested!
Reposted by Brian Schaffner
we have just released the call for those interested in purchasing a module for the 2025 CES see here: sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort): cesconference.byu.edu
and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort): cesconference.byu.edu
Announcing the 2025 Cooperative Election Study – Cooperative Election Study Blog
sites.tufts.edu
April 15, 2025 at 3:31 PM
we have just released the call for those interested in purchasing a module for the 2025 CES see here: sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort): cesconference.byu.edu
and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort): cesconference.byu.edu
Lucy Morisse-Corsetti asked Americans what they think their government owes them...hint: it's quite a lot. Check out her new post on the @TuftsUniversity Public Opinion Lab blog! tufts-pol.medium.com/what-your-go...
What your government can do for you: Exploring Americans’ perceptions of government…
by Lucy Morisse-Corsetti
tufts-pol.medium.com
July 17, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Lucy Morisse-Corsetti asked Americans what they think their government owes them...hint: it's quite a lot. Check out her new post on the @TuftsUniversity Public Opinion Lab blog! tufts-pol.medium.com/what-your-go...
in 2008, Conservative Jews voted similarly to Reform/Reconstructionist Jews but by 2024 there was more than a 20-point gap between those two groups
July 15, 2025 at 6:10 PM
in 2008, Conservative Jews voted similarly to Reform/Reconstructionist Jews but by 2024 there was more than a 20-point gap between those two groups
Reposted by Brian Schaffner
The word 'civility' has sometimes meant politeness and sometimes meant equality and political freedom.
With citations to Machiavelli, Wycliffe, Shakespeare, and others: peterlevine.ws?p=34156
With citations to Machiavelli, Wycliffe, Shakespeare, and others: peterlevine.ws?p=34156
June 24, 2025 at 1:05 PM
The word 'civility' has sometimes meant politeness and sometimes meant equality and political freedom.
With citations to Machiavelli, Wycliffe, Shakespeare, and others: peterlevine.ws?p=34156
With citations to Machiavelli, Wycliffe, Shakespeare, and others: peterlevine.ws?p=34156
in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Jackson Wetherill explores the intersection of NIMBYism and partisanship when it comes to attitudes towards affordable housing tufts-pol.medium.com/its-not-just...
It’s not just NIMBYism: How partisanship shapes support for affordable housing
by Jackson Wetherill
tufts-pol.medium.com
June 24, 2025 at 1:02 PM
in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Jackson Wetherill explores the intersection of NIMBYism and partisanship when it comes to attitudes towards affordable housing tufts-pol.medium.com/its-not-just...
Reposted by Brian Schaffner
Panel!
this post uses newly released data from the 2020-2022-2024 CES panel survey, which includes interviews with ~6k Americans we interviewed (and re-interviewed) over the past three election cycles. download it and dig in! dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...
dataverse.harvard.edu
June 20, 2025 at 1:34 PM
Panel!
it's not just that Hispanic voters shifted Republican since 2020, it's also the case that some of them no longer even identify as Hispanic! new @goodauth.bsky.social post from me and Caroline Soler
goodauthority.org/news/democra...
goodauthority.org/news/democra...
Democrats’ losses among Hispanic voters may be larger than they look.
Conservative Hispanic Americans are ditching their Hispanic identity, surveys show.
goodauthority.org
June 20, 2025 at 1:31 PM
it's not just that Hispanic voters shifted Republican since 2020, it's also the case that some of them no longer even identify as Hispanic! new @goodauth.bsky.social post from me and Caroline Soler
goodauthority.org/news/democra...
goodauthority.org/news/democra...