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berkeleyearth.org/june-2025-te...
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berkeleyearth.org/june-2025-te...
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However, the rapid pace of man-made global warming is expected to continue, and more record years are inevitable.
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However, the rapid pace of man-made global warming is expected to continue, and more record years are inevitable.
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Following recent cooling, only a slight 1% chance of record warmth in 2025 remains.
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Following recent cooling, only a slight 1% chance of record warmth in 2025 remains.
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An ~50% chance exists that neutral conditions continue through the rest of the year, with a ~40% chance of La Niña returning late in the year, and only a modest chance of El Niño developing.
iri.columbia.edu/our-expertis...
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An ~50% chance exists that neutral conditions continue through the rest of the year, with a ~40% chance of La Niña returning late in the year, and only a modest chance of El Niño developing.
iri.columbia.edu/our-expertis...
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Since April, the ocean average has fallen below the long-term trend. Modest additional cooling remains likely.
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Since April, the ocean average has fallen below the long-term trend. Modest additional cooling remains likely.
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A slightly larger excursion occurred in June 2003, preceding severe July & August heat waves that killed ~70,000 Europeans.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_Eu...
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A slightly larger excursion occurred in June 2003, preceding severe July & August heat waves that killed ~70,000 Europeans.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_Eu...
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This pattern, associated with the June heat dome over Western Europe, may further promote strong heat waves in Europe during the rest of summer.
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This pattern, associated with the June heat dome over Western Europe, may further promote strong heat waves in Europe during the rest of summer.
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No significant areas had near record lows.
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No significant areas had near record lows.
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Warmth was particularly noteworthy in Western Europe and Central Asia.
Unusual cooling was present in India, Australia, and S. America.
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Warmth was particularly noteworthy in Western Europe and Central Asia.
Unusual cooling was present in India, Australia, and S. America.
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Nevertheless, the land average was still the fifth warmest for June in the observational record.
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Nevertheless, the land average was still the fifth warmest for June in the observational record.
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The exceptional warmth in 2023/2024 appears to have dissipated, and in the short-term we expect global means to stay closer to the long-term trend.
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The exceptional warmth in 2023/2024 appears to have dissipated, and in the short-term we expect global means to stay closer to the long-term trend.
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This was only slightly cooler than May 2025, but is sharply lower than the first few months of 2025.
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This was only slightly cooler than May 2025, but is sharply lower than the first few months of 2025.
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