School closings around #RVA so far (10:37 am)

Dinwiddie
Hanover
Henrico
Hopewell
King William
Louisa
Mecklenburg
Prince George

I’ve learned a valuable lesson during Winter Storm Fern. Don’t get excited when you look at the models.

NWS Wakefield Storm Severity Index.

Issued 0500 Saturday

Ice forecast for central va. Looks like the heaviest accumulation areas have cut down slightly and the overall area has shrunk. Need this to continue for #RVA.

Current weather advisories in central Virginia:

Winter Storm Watch
Cold Weather Advisory

00z GFS data rolling in.

NWS Wakefield forecasters discussion claims winter storm watches across the entire area around midnight. ❄️

I fear I am putting too much faith in the GFS. Need that southern shift!

I'm still having doubts about the European model and it showing freezing rain totals of near an inch in #RVA; some other models do have SOME freezing rain but nowhere near that amount. Still expecting about 8-10" of snow in Richmond, then going over to sleet and freezing rain Sunday afternoon

12z EURO TOTAL LIQUID for this event / SNOW AMOUNTS

Only question is will it actually be this much liquid coming out of the system.? I don't see why not but it's possible I suppose that it could be overdone