andrewbkaras.bsky.social
@andrewbkaras.bsky.social
Reposted
Among other things social interactions are a machine for forming consensus. As we have seen in literally innumerable historical instances, there is no rule that the consensus be correct, well-grounded, or even plausible. We act like that this process is lashed to reality in some way… but why?
December 20, 2025 at 10:18 PM
A classic (non-)recession indicator!
December 19, 2025 at 2:39 PM
Reposted
All 13 major sectors of economy experienced declines in employment growth.

Divide sectors into 2 groups with roughly equal shares of jobs, but where 1 employs more unauthorized labor... employs 78% of unauthorized workers.

Account for only 36% of decline in employment from 2024 to May-Aug 2025
December 18, 2025 at 9:04 PM
Cope from a company whose leadership lives in Trump’s backyard
December 17, 2025 at 6:56 PM
Interesting forecasts. Sounds like it will be more expensive to build in the future and we agree less will be built.
December 14, 2025 at 12:52 AM
I will bet you $100 we do not run out of energy
December 14, 2025 at 12:39 AM
How will you drive to the sprawl you are describing in this scenario?
December 14, 2025 at 12:08 AM
We need more housing to alleviate the crisis of affordability. If it’s not in towers, then we need more cars for suburban sprawl. Pick one or the other. Or both
December 13, 2025 at 11:04 PM
Yes except the Spring Garden stop!
December 13, 2025 at 6:51 PM
A 50 minute layover at Schiphol worked out for me this fall, and we got into 15 minutes late! Ofc it helped that I booked through on a single airline so they were prepared to wait for us
December 11, 2025 at 4:53 AM
Reposted
Okay this might be it fam. Punishing management teams for over-investing is the first step to reducing capex. We'll see but potential that this report is the beginning of the end.

*ORACLE SEES ANNUAL CAPEX ABOUT $15 BILLION HIGHER THAN FORECAST
*ORACLE SHARES EXTEND DROP TO 10% ON HIGHER CAPEX VIEW
December 10, 2025 at 10:15 PM
Some of these elections appear to have much better expected returns (even risk-adjusted) than the S&P 500 over the next 11 months! And decently liquid to boot
December 10, 2025 at 4:53 AM
Hey at least we’ll get IA-03
December 10, 2025 at 4:33 AM
If there’s a chance Chinese biostatisticians cure cancer (so to speak) before the US does, it would be stunningly immoral to prevent them from trying
December 9, 2025 at 4:38 AM