Austin Mock
@amock419.bsky.social
NFL | CFB | Rev Share/NIL Projections | Sports Optimization | The Game Isn't Played on a Spreadsheet | @TheAthletic
Pinned
College Football Playoff 2025 projections: Oklahoma closing in on bid with Week 13 underway
Our College Football Playoff predictions model is back. Check here for regular updates on CFP and national championship odds for 2025.
www.nytimes.com
Oklahoma takes care of business and moves up the seed line while Oregon has taken a bit of a hit.
I said it last week but Oregon is going to fall way down the CFP rankings with a loss to USC today.
Projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
I said it last week but Oregon is going to fall way down the CFP rankings with a loss to USC today.
Projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
The best thing about college football coaching searches is that anyone can just throw something at the wall, get some engagement, and never speak of it again.
Full blown silly season is here, folks.
Full blown silly season is here, folks.
November 24, 2025 at 3:51 PM
The best thing about college football coaching searches is that anyone can just throw something at the wall, get some engagement, and never speak of it again.
Full blown silly season is here, folks.
Full blown silly season is here, folks.
After a pretty boring playoff race last year, both the AFC and NFC are shaping up to be electric down the stretch.
Want to know how each game impacts the playoff race? You can do so for any team right here:
www.nytimes.com/athletic/nfl...
Want to know how each game impacts the playoff race? You can do so for any team right here:
www.nytimes.com/athletic/nfl...
2025 NFL Playoff Simulator: Each team's path to the postseason - The Athletic
NFL playoff picture and forecast for 2025. Track playoff chances, win projections, and season outlook for all teams.
www.nytimes.com
November 24, 2025 at 3:36 PM
After a pretty boring playoff race last year, both the AFC and NFC are shaping up to be electric down the stretch.
Want to know how each game impacts the playoff race? You can do so for any team right here:
www.nytimes.com/athletic/nfl...
Want to know how each game impacts the playoff race? You can do so for any team right here:
www.nytimes.com/athletic/nfl...
Cowboys up to 13% to make the playoffs per my model.
Huge matchup against the Chiefs on Thanksgiving next week.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/nfl...
Huge matchup against the Chiefs on Thanksgiving next week.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/nfl...
How the Dallas Cowboys can make the playoffs through Week 12 - The Athletic
NFL playoff picture and forecast for the Dallas Cowboys. Track their playoff chances, win projections, and season outlook.
www.nytimes.com
November 24, 2025 at 1:13 AM
Cowboys up to 13% to make the playoffs per my model.
Huge matchup against the Chiefs on Thanksgiving next week.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/nfl...
Huge matchup against the Chiefs on Thanksgiving next week.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/nfl...
They're going to get bailed out but the timeout with 52 seconds left and then audibling to a run play was poor clock management by the Cowboys.
It won't cost them but it could have.
It won't cost them but it could have.
November 24, 2025 at 12:43 AM
They're going to get bailed out but the timeout with 52 seconds left and then audibling to a run play was poor clock management by the Cowboys.
It won't cost them but it could have.
It won't cost them but it could have.
Why no back-to-back Tush Push for the Eagles there?
November 24, 2025 at 12:33 AM
Why no back-to-back Tush Push for the Eagles there?
I have no problem with the Cowboys going for it but not running on those final three plays is brutal.
November 24, 2025 at 12:28 AM
I have no problem with the Cowboys going for it but not running on those final three plays is brutal.
I've seen some talk about why the Vikings are passing so much with J.J. McCarthy when the run game is working and I get it.
But at the same time, the Vikings need to figure out what they have in McCarthy to make decisions for their future.
But at the same time, the Vikings need to figure out what they have in McCarthy to make decisions for their future.
November 23, 2025 at 6:52 PM
I've seen some talk about why the Vikings are passing so much with J.J. McCarthy when the run game is working and I get it.
But at the same time, the Vikings need to figure out what they have in McCarthy to make decisions for their future.
But at the same time, the Vikings need to figure out what they have in McCarthy to make decisions for their future.
JSN with that subtle push off...chef's kiss.
November 23, 2025 at 6:48 PM
JSN with that subtle push off...chef's kiss.
Darnell Washington just destroyed someone.
November 23, 2025 at 6:30 PM
Darnell Washington just destroyed someone.
Oklahoma takes care of business and moves up the seed line while Oregon has taken a bit of a hit.
I said it last week but Oregon is going to fall way down the CFP rankings with a loss to USC today.
Projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
I said it last week but Oregon is going to fall way down the CFP rankings with a loss to USC today.
Projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
College Football Playoff 2025 projections: Oklahoma closing in on bid with Week 13 underway
Our College Football Playoff predictions model is back. Check here for regular updates on CFP and national championship odds for 2025.
www.nytimes.com
November 22, 2025 at 9:15 PM
Oklahoma takes care of business and moves up the seed line while Oregon has taken a bit of a hit.
I said it last week but Oregon is going to fall way down the CFP rankings with a loss to USC today.
Projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
I said it last week but Oregon is going to fall way down the CFP rankings with a loss to USC today.
Projections here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/656...
I enjoyed writing this more than just about anything so far this year.
The dynamic kickoff is new to the NFL and two teams specifically have taken advantage.
Read here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/682...
The dynamic kickoff is new to the NFL and two teams specifically have taken advantage.
Read here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/682...
How 2 NFL teams are winning the game of inches, stealing yards on the ‘dynamic kickoff’
The Seahawks and Panthers have adapted to the new "dynamic kickoff" better than every other team in the NFL. This is how they've done it.
www.nytimes.com
November 21, 2025 at 6:52 PM
I enjoyed writing this more than just about anything so far this year.
The dynamic kickoff is new to the NFL and two teams specifically have taken advantage.
Read here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/682...
The dynamic kickoff is new to the NFL and two teams specifically have taken advantage.
Read here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/682...
The Kansas City Chiefs saw their playoff odds drop by 1-2% after the Texans beat the Bills.
They’re now just 55% to make the playoffs per my model.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/nfl...
They’re now just 55% to make the playoffs per my model.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/nfl...
How the Kansas City Chiefs can make the playoffs through Week 12 - The Athletic
NFL playoff picture and forecast for the Kansas City Chiefs. Track their playoff chances, win projections, and season outlook.
www.nytimes.com
November 21, 2025 at 4:50 AM
The Kansas City Chiefs saw their playoff odds drop by 1-2% after the Texans beat the Bills.
They’re now just 55% to make the playoffs per my model.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/nfl...
They’re now just 55% to make the playoffs per my model.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/nfl...
I think Will Anderson Jr. is going to hold on to that top spot heading into next week.
What a performance tonight. No official numbers yet but I think he had double digit splash plays.
What a performance tonight. No official numbers yet but I think he had double digit splash plays.
NFL Splash Play Leaders through Week 11:
If you want to get paid as a defensive lineman, you want to be at the top of this list.
If you want to get paid as a defensive lineman, you want to be at the top of this list.
November 21, 2025 at 4:45 AM
I think Will Anderson Jr. is going to hold on to that top spot heading into next week.
What a performance tonight. No official numbers yet but I think he had double digit splash plays.
What a performance tonight. No official numbers yet but I think he had double digit splash plays.
If the Texans hold on here, the Patriots would see their AFC East odds increase to 90%.
November 21, 2025 at 4:07 AM
If the Texans hold on here, the Patriots would see their AFC East odds increase to 90%.
Rookie NFL Splash Play Leaders through Week 11:
Carson Schwesinger is your DROY favorite at his moment.
Carson Schwesinger is your DROY favorite at his moment.
November 21, 2025 at 1:44 AM
Rookie NFL Splash Play Leaders through Week 11:
Carson Schwesinger is your DROY favorite at his moment.
Carson Schwesinger is your DROY favorite at his moment.
Rookie NFL Splash Play Rate Leaders through Week 11:
A lot of productive rookies in the NFC South this season.
A lot of productive rookies in the NFC South this season.
November 20, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Rookie NFL Splash Play Rate Leaders through Week 11:
A lot of productive rookies in the NFC South this season.
A lot of productive rookies in the NFC South this season.
NFL Splash Play Leaders through Week 11:
If you want to get paid as a defensive lineman, you want to be at the top of this list.
If you want to get paid as a defensive lineman, you want to be at the top of this list.
November 20, 2025 at 5:40 PM
NFL Splash Play Leaders through Week 11:
If you want to get paid as a defensive lineman, you want to be at the top of this list.
If you want to get paid as a defensive lineman, you want to be at the top of this list.
NFL Splash Play Rate Leaders through Week 11:
Myles Garrett and his 15 sacks are creeping up the leaderboard.
Myles Garrett and his 15 sacks are creeping up the leaderboard.
November 20, 2025 at 4:11 PM
NFL Splash Play Rate Leaders through Week 11:
Myles Garrett and his 15 sacks are creeping up the leaderboard.
Myles Garrett and his 15 sacks are creeping up the leaderboard.
And the 2025 class rankings by valuation.
Not a finished product by any means and a "good" class will depend on what you paid for it.
Not a finished product by any means and a "good" class will depend on what you paid for it.
November 19, 2025 at 6:47 PM
And the 2025 class rankings by valuation.
Not a finished product by any means and a "good" class will depend on what you paid for it.
Not a finished product by any means and a "good" class will depend on what you paid for it.
I've been messing around with some rev share/NIL valuations and since we aren't that far from Signing Day...here is the current Top-10:
November 19, 2025 at 6:10 PM
I've been messing around with some rev share/NIL valuations and since we aren't that far from Signing Day...here is the current Top-10:
Reposted by Austin Mock
Well, it does give Utah (whose AD is now on the CFP committee) a Top 25 win even though that was ASU in Jeff Sims' first game as the starting QB.
November 19, 2025 at 3:52 AM
Well, it does give Utah (whose AD is now on the CFP committee) a Top 25 win even though that was ASU in Jeff Sims' first game as the starting QB.
If I were to use a blend of my strength of record and resume metrics, here is what comes out as the Top-25:
November 19, 2025 at 3:10 AM
If I were to use a blend of my strength of record and resume metrics, here is what comes out as the Top-25:
Arizona State at #25? Yeahhh I don’t know about that one.
November 19, 2025 at 1:57 AM
Arizona State at #25? Yeahhh I don’t know about that one.
NFL Playoff Picture after Week 11 with @jeffphowe
- Broncos and Eagles at the top
- Chiefs are…out?
- Don’t sleep on the Patriots and Rams
Read here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/679...
- Broncos and Eagles at the top
- Chiefs are…out?
- Don’t sleep on the Patriots and Rams
Read here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/679...
NFL playoff picture, Week 11: Broncos bust Chiefs’ division hopes; Rams team to beat in NFC?
The Broncos and Rams look to be in control out West. Is it time to take the Bears' playoff hopes seriously?
www.nytimes.com
November 17, 2025 at 5:01 AM
NFL Playoff Picture after Week 11 with @jeffphowe
- Broncos and Eagles at the top
- Chiefs are…out?
- Don’t sleep on the Patriots and Rams
Read here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/679...
- Broncos and Eagles at the top
- Chiefs are…out?
- Don’t sleep on the Patriots and Rams
Read here:
@theathletic.com
www.nytimes.com/athletic/679...