Arndt Leininger
@aleininger.bsky.social
Assistant professor for political science research methods @TUChemnitz | #PhD @thehertieschool | founding member @CorrelAid | he/him/🍠
I am 99% certain that the rule of being allowed only two papers that you are a co-author of was still on the website at the beginning of the week. I did not catch the change in the 5th November reminder e-mail by @epssnet.bsky.social. So thanks for pointing it out, Daniel.
November 7, 2025 at 11:14 AM
I am 99% certain that the rule of being allowed only two papers that you are a co-author of was still on the website at the beginning of the week. I did not catch the change in the 5th November reminder e-mail by @epssnet.bsky.social. So thanks for pointing it out, Daniel.
¹ Ich benutze nicht den Begriff "Befreiung", den von Weizsäcker 1985 geprägt hat, weil die meisten Deutschen es damals nicht als Befreiung empfunden haben und zu viele es heute noch nicht tun. Von Weizsäcker meinte es gut, aber das ist ja bekanntlich nicht immer gut gemacht.
May 8, 2025 at 11:27 AM
¹ Ich benutze nicht den Begriff "Befreiung", den von Weizsäcker 1985 geprägt hat, weil die meisten Deutschen es damals nicht als Befreiung empfunden haben und zu viele es heute noch nicht tun. Von Weizsäcker meinte es gut, aber das ist ja bekanntlich nicht immer gut gemacht.
Man kann nicht des Endes des Zweiten Weltkrieges gedenken, der mit dem deutschen Angriff auf Polen begann, und dazu Vertreter eines Landes einladen, das ein Nachbarland angegriffen hat.
May 8, 2025 at 11:27 AM
Man kann nicht des Endes des Zweiten Weltkrieges gedenken, der mit dem deutschen Angriff auf Polen begann, und dazu Vertreter eines Landes einladen, das ein Nachbarland angegriffen hat.
Insofern sind die Nachfahren:innen der Sowjetunion unter den aktuellen Umständen bei Gedenkveranstaltungen in Deutschland adäquat vertreten.
May 8, 2025 at 11:27 AM
Insofern sind die Nachfahren:innen der Sowjetunion unter den aktuellen Umständen bei Gedenkveranstaltungen in Deutschland adäquat vertreten.
In line with our theory, we find that incumbents and high-profile party members are punished more by voters. They lose more votes compared to lower-ranking party members. 6/
May 8, 2025 at 10:43 AM
In line with our theory, we find that incumbents and high-profile party members are punished more by voters. They lose more votes compared to lower-ranking party members. 6/
We theorize that this collective accountability occurs because MPs are regarded as typical representatives of their party facilitating generalizations to the entire party brand. 5/
May 8, 2025 at 10:43 AM
We theorize that this collective accountability occurs because MPs are regarded as typical representatives of their party facilitating generalizations to the entire party brand. 5/
This is an important result as prior research on scandals and corruption focused mostly on repercussions on the implicated politicians. The fact that entire parties are punished electorally establishes an important second channel of accountability incentivizing parties to vet candidates carefully.4/
May 8, 2025 at 10:43 AM
This is an important result as prior research on scandals and corruption focused mostly on repercussions on the implicated politicians. The fact that entire parties are punished electorally establishes an important second channel of accountability incentivizing parties to vet candidates carefully.4/
We estimate the effect of the scandal, a loss of 4 percentage points to the party, through a difference-in-differences design—by differentiating trends in pre-scandal postal and post-scandal urn voting. 3/
May 8, 2025 at 10:43 AM
We estimate the effect of the scandal, a loss of 4 percentage points to the party, through a difference-in-differences design—by differentiating trends in pre-scandal postal and post-scandal urn voting. 3/
The German “mask affair” refers to a 2021 scandal in which individual MPs belonging to the CDU/CSU, profited personally from government deals to procure medical masks mid-pandemic. The scandal surfaced shortly before state elections in Baden-Württemberg (BW) and Rhineland-Palatinate (RP). 2/
May 8, 2025 at 10:43 AM
The German “mask affair” refers to a 2021 scandal in which individual MPs belonging to the CDU/CSU, profited personally from government deals to procure medical masks mid-pandemic. The scandal surfaced shortly before state elections in Baden-Württemberg (BW) and Rhineland-Palatinate (RP). 2/
In light of these encouraging results, my co-author @lstoetze.bsky.social and his colleagues at @zweitstimme.bsky.social have implemented a citizen forecast for the 2025 election as well. zweitstimme.org/posts/blog/c...
Was denken Wähler:innen, wie die Wahl ausgeht?
Wir haben über 20.000 Personen gefragt, was sie erwarten wie die Wahl ausgeht - im Gegensatz zu der Frage “Wen werden Sie wählen?”.
Dabei bilden diese Personen keine repräsentative Stichprobe, sie sin...
zweitstimme.org
May 2, 2025 at 10:37 AM
In light of these encouraging results, my co-author @lstoetze.bsky.social and his colleagues at @zweitstimme.bsky.social have implemented a citizen forecast for the 2025 election as well. zweitstimme.org/posts/blog/c...