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Emiliano Grossman

@egrossman.bsky.social

2.3K followers 1.5K following 340 posts

Political Science: Agendas, Parties, Media. @sciencespo.bsky.social, @cdsp-sciencespo.bsky.social, @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social, CAP, formerly EJPR. Paris, Buenos Aires, Schwelm.

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Economics 11%

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Nov 28

Some papers are a long time in the making. This one, written with the excellent @iguinaudeau.bsky.social, took long and I am incredibly grad to see it published. 1/8 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · 26d

héroïques!

Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · 26d

ah, ces bleues ont faim de rosbeef...

Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

Centre for Socio-Political Data @cdsp-sciencespo.bsky.social · Sep 16

🎙️ En direct de la Rencontre annuelle ELIPSS #2 – Élections européennes & législatives 2024

🗳️Actuellement, Frédéric Gonthier (IEPG, Pacte) revient sur les apports du panel ELIPSS pour analyser les ressorts de la mobilisation électorale après la dissolution de juin 2024.

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Reposted by Stefan Müller

Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Sep 8

now with page numbers: Grossman & Guinaudeau (2025), "Tunnels of Attention: Reconsidering Issue Competition", Comparative Political Studies, vol. 58, no. 2, pp. 2559-2593.

Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Nov 28

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27

So what's next? Macron will probably try to find a new candidate for Prime minister, but none of the presidential hopefuls will take that risk. Naming political hasbeens like Barnier or Bayrou has not worked. New elections are thus likely with no guarantee for a less fragemented parliament. end/

Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27

In a nutshell, Macron's snap elections of 2024 have left French politics in an unprecedented state of fragmentation and uncertainty. Prime minister Bayrou has been struggling to get (some) things done nonetheless, but the vote of confidence is ultimately a way to admit that he failed. 7/

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27

If the government were to fall, new elections would be a real possibility, but Bayrou hopes that noone really wants that, given the current degree of electoral uncertainty. The far-right Rassemblement national appears to believe they could bring it home. 6/ www.franceinfo.fr/economie/bud...

Vote de confiance du 8 septembre : Jordan Bardella demande "une dissolution" ou la "démission" d'Emmanuel Macron pour "sortir de l'impasse"

"Il est urgent de rompre avec ces politiques. Il n'y a qu'une seule possibilité : que l'on revienne aux urnes", a estimé le président du RN sur TF1 mardi soir.

www.franceinfo.fr

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27

In this context, calling for a confidence vote is not very common but actually ressembles the use of the "guillotine" (art. 49.3), i.e. a way to force allies to stick to the coalition, as shown by Huber (1996): support my budget or make me step down... 4/ www.cambridge.org/core/books/r...

Rationalizing Parliament

Cambridge Core - European Government, Politics and Policy - Rationalizing Parliament

www.cambridge.org

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27

Over the summer the majority of 11 parliamentary groups have expressed opposition to Bayrou's budget and its auterity measures. Most importantly, Marine Le Pen's RN has listed a number of conditions which would basically make Bayrou an RN Prime minister. 4/ www.lemonde.fr/politique/ar...

Vote de confiance : François Bayrou joue son va-tout devant un échec annoncé sur le budget 2026

Le premier ministre va engager la responsabilité du gouvernement, le 8 septembre, à l’Assemblée nationale, assurant chercher une « clarification ». Mais la chute paraît quasi certaine, alors que la ga...

www.lemonde.fr

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27

Even that is not always granted: as the next presidential election lures (spring of 2027), many party leaders start looking (very) nervously at the polls, leading to hesitations, public attacks on the government etc. (for instance on local electoral system reform) 3/ www.lesechos.fr/politique-so...

www.lesechos.fr

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27

The 2024 snap elections called by Emmanuel Macron led to the most fragmented parliament of the history of the 5th Republic. Bayrou's government has really been able to count on 207 MPs (out 577) from 4 groups and the benign abstention of the far right RN. 2/ www.lemonde.fr/les-decodeur...

Assemblée nationale : qui sont les 577 députés, les 11 groupes politiques et les 8 présidents de commission ?

Les députés élus lors des législatives sont répartis en onze groupes parlementaires, dont les contours ont déjà évolué depuis le 18 juillet. Des postes stratégiques ont été réattribués après la nomina...

www.lemonde.fr

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27

France's prime minister François Bayrou has - somewhat unexpectedly - called for a vote of confidence this week, scheduled to take place on 8 September. This follows debates over the summer over harsh austerithy measures announced for the 2026 Finance Bill. A little context. 1/

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 26

der tanzstil ist der wahre hit.

Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 10

it's like those people are using the handmaid's tale as their party manofesto. www.npr.org/2025/08/09/n...

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth reposts video of pastors saying women shouldn't vote

Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth reposted the video profiling Christian Nationalist Pastor Doug Wilson, who opposes same-sex marriage.

www.npr.org

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Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

George Monbiot @georgemonbiot.bsky.social · Feb 27

This week's column asks a question that should be in everyone's minds, as Trump reshapes the world's alliances:

How, given that our defence and security capacities are completely infiltrated by the US state, do we defend ourselves if the US becomes our opponent? www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

The question no one dares ask: what if Britain has to defend itself from the US? | George Monbiot

So much of our intelligence and military systems are shared or reliant on the US – if it becomes the enemy, it is already inside the gates, says Guardian columnist George Monbiot

www.theguardian.com

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Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

Alejandra Caraballo @esqueer.net · Mar 10

Twitter is completely down and the price of Tesla is in full collapse. It's a bad day for Elon.

A screenshot of a Cloudflare error page showing a "Timeout occurred" message with error code 524. The message states that the origin web server (Twitter.com) failed to respond in time. The diagnostic icons show that the user's browser and Cloudflare's Dallas server are working correctly, but the Twitter host server has an error. The page includes explanations of what happened and possible actions to take.

A screenshot of Tesla Inc.'s stock performance on March 10 at 1:08 PM EDT. The stock is priced at $227.54, showing a sharp decline of 35.13 points (13.37%) for the day. The chart illustrates a downward trend from an opening price of $252.54, with a high of $253.37 and a low of $227.54. Other financial details include a market cap of $713.52 billion and a P/E ratio of 111.63.

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Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

Dr Balki Begum Bayhan @bbbayh.bsky.social · Mar 22

Scenes from #Ankara on day 4 of the #Turkey protests. Thousands have gone on the streets again today despite the ban on demonstrations and harsh crackdowns.

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Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

CEVIPOF - Sciences Po @cevipof.bsky.social · Apr 4

📊 Nouvelles données disponibles 📊
#scienceouverte
#données #elections
Après l'ENEF 2017, le Centre de données socio-politiques (CDSP) vient de diffuser sur sa Banque de données l’Enquête électorale française 2019 (ENEF) produite par le @cevipof.bsky.social.
data.sciencespo.fr/dataverse/EN...

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Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

Catherine Fletcher @cathfletcher.bsky.social · May 9

Your Pope name is the last thing you ate and number of letters in your first name:

Pope Tiramisu IX

Olivia Waite @oliviawaite.com · May 9

Your Pope name is the last thing you ate and number of letters in your first name:

Pope Snickerdoodle VI

The Boobarienne casting primitive hexes @thebarbarienne.bsky.social · May 9

Your Pope name is the last thing you ate and number of letters in your first name:

Pope Saltine IX

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Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

Maybe:…… @getthebagcoach.bsky.social · May 21

What’s the worst concert you’ve been to?

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Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

Musa Okwonga @okwonga.bsky.social · May 23

The top image:
The Guardian, July 2016
The article:

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

The bottom image:
The Guardian, May 2025
The article:

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Top half of image: July 2016 Guardian article by Simon Jenkins titled: “ignore the prophets of doom: Brexit will be good for Britain”. Bottom half of image: May 2026 Guardian article by Simon Jenkins titled “From the day Britain left the EU, this reset was inevitable. What a pointless waste of time, money and effort”

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Chris Geidner @chrisgeidner.bsky.social · Jun 24

"SCOTUS allows Trump admin to deport people to random countries with no notice"

Honestly still can't believe that I wrote this headline today, let alone that the U.S. Supreme Court's majority did so.

SCOTUS allows Trump admin to deport people to random countries with no notice

Justice Sotomayor called the order a "gross ... abuse" of the court's authority. Also: Law Dork in the media.

www.lawdork.com

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Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

Patrick Chovanec @prchovanec.bsky.social · Jun 26

Nothing says "flawless and effective" like misspelling "effective."

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Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · Jul 2

“Due to space constraints” is the most dignified way to say “I gave up explaining this”

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jul 24

et tu fais quoi de la loi duplomb?

Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jul 22

Fou plutôt que mort, mais assez lucide pour finir un traité d'optique... incroyable tout ce qu'on doit faire pour pratiquer la science.

www.lemonde.fr/series-d-ete...

Ibn Al-Haytham, le savant qui se fit passer pour fou pour échapper à la colère du calife

« Le prix du savoir » (2/7). En l’an 1011, le mathématicien bagdadi s’installe au Caire à l’invitation d’Al-Hakim, souverain érudit et « sanglant » cherchant à étendre son influence. Echouant à antici...

www.lemonde.fr

Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jul 4

the Shire ?

Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jul 2

my favorite bsky quote of the day.

Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · Jul 2

“Due to space constraints” is the most dignified way to say “I gave up explaining this”

Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jul 2

"un pognon de dingue".

Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jun 26

paris, june 25.