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Despite minimal instability, a few strong to damaging wind gusts are possible this evening across western PA, eastern OH, and northern WV.
There will be plenty of shear (~35kts) and we’ll see if an approaching cold front can generate enough lift to mix down very strong winds aloft.
#WeatherFrontWx
There will be plenty of shear (~35kts) and we’ll see if an approaching cold front can generate enough lift to mix down very strong winds aloft.
#WeatherFrontWx
November 15, 2025 at 5:03 PM
Despite minimal instability, a few strong to damaging wind gusts are possible this evening across western PA, eastern OH, and northern WV.
There will be plenty of shear (~35kts) and we’ll see if an approaching cold front can generate enough lift to mix down very strong winds aloft.
#WeatherFrontWx
There will be plenty of shear (~35kts) and we’ll see if an approaching cold front can generate enough lift to mix down very strong winds aloft.
#WeatherFrontWx
November 15, 2025 at 5:23 AM
Wait for it…💨📉
A strong cold front will sweep through east Asia early next week, bringing gusty winds, cooler temperatures, and accumulating snow at higher elevations across northeast China, North Korea, and Tokyo.
A strong cold front will sweep through east Asia early next week, bringing gusty winds, cooler temperatures, and accumulating snow at higher elevations across northeast China, North Korea, and Tokyo.
November 14, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Wait for it…💨📉
A strong cold front will sweep through east Asia early next week, bringing gusty winds, cooler temperatures, and accumulating snow at higher elevations across northeast China, North Korea, and Tokyo.
A strong cold front will sweep through east Asia early next week, bringing gusty winds, cooler temperatures, and accumulating snow at higher elevations across northeast China, North Korea, and Tokyo.
AURORA CLOUD COVER FORECAST
A G4 Geomagnetic Storm Watch is in effect for Wednesday.
The Northern Lights may be visible as far south as Alabama & South Carolina.
Cloud cover forecasts look most favorable across the south central & southeast US, though portions of the Midwest could catch a glimpse
A G4 Geomagnetic Storm Watch is in effect for Wednesday.
The Northern Lights may be visible as far south as Alabama & South Carolina.
Cloud cover forecasts look most favorable across the south central & southeast US, though portions of the Midwest could catch a glimpse
November 11, 2025 at 10:12 PM
AURORA CLOUD COVER FORECAST
A G4 Geomagnetic Storm Watch is in effect for Wednesday.
The Northern Lights may be visible as far south as Alabama & South Carolina.
Cloud cover forecasts look most favorable across the south central & southeast US, though portions of the Midwest could catch a glimpse
A G4 Geomagnetic Storm Watch is in effect for Wednesday.
The Northern Lights may be visible as far south as Alabama & South Carolina.
Cloud cover forecasts look most favorable across the south central & southeast US, though portions of the Midwest could catch a glimpse
Satellite imagery captured a fresh coat of snow blanketing parts of Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio this morning. ❄️
If you look closely, you can watch the snow slowly melt away. 🫠☀️
If you look closely, you can watch the snow slowly melt away. 🫠☀️
November 10, 2025 at 9:21 PM
Satellite imagery captured a fresh coat of snow blanketing parts of Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio this morning. ❄️
If you look closely, you can watch the snow slowly melt away. 🫠☀️
If you look closely, you can watch the snow slowly melt away. 🫠☀️
A Tornado Watch is in effect for Central Tennessee until 11PM ET/10PM CT.
The Watch area aligns well with the 5% tornado risk area outlined by the Storm Prediction Center.
Any supercells will be capable of producing damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes through the evening.
The Watch area aligns well with the 5% tornado risk area outlined by the Storm Prediction Center.
Any supercells will be capable of producing damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes through the evening.
November 7, 2025 at 10:08 PM
A Tornado Watch is in effect for Central Tennessee until 11PM ET/10PM CT.
The Watch area aligns well with the 5% tornado risk area outlined by the Storm Prediction Center.
Any supercells will be capable of producing damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes through the evening.
The Watch area aligns well with the 5% tornado risk area outlined by the Storm Prediction Center.
Any supercells will be capable of producing damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes through the evening.
It’s been a blustery past 36 hours across the northeast US. 💨
November 7, 2025 at 4:45 AM
It’s been a blustery past 36 hours across the northeast US. 💨
💨 High Wind Watches and Wind Advisories are in effect from West Virginia to Maine. ⚠️
Widespread wind gusts exceeding 40mph are expected from West Virginia to Maine
Localized wind gusts exceeding 60mph are possible along a cold front as “power showers” being stronger winds aloft down to the surface
Widespread wind gusts exceeding 40mph are expected from West Virginia to Maine
Localized wind gusts exceeding 60mph are possible along a cold front as “power showers” being stronger winds aloft down to the surface
November 4, 2025 at 11:05 PM
💨 High Wind Watches and Wind Advisories are in effect from West Virginia to Maine. ⚠️
Widespread wind gusts exceeding 40mph are expected from West Virginia to Maine
Localized wind gusts exceeding 60mph are possible along a cold front as “power showers” being stronger winds aloft down to the surface
Widespread wind gusts exceeding 40mph are expected from West Virginia to Maine
Localized wind gusts exceeding 60mph are possible along a cold front as “power showers” being stronger winds aloft down to the surface
Severe weather season is starting to heat up in the Southern Hemisphere. ⛈️
The latest GEFS and ECENS guidance depicts daily chances of thunderstorms this week across South America, with the potential severity ramping up as we approach the weekend.
CONTINUED
The latest GEFS and ECENS guidance depicts daily chances of thunderstorms this week across South America, with the potential severity ramping up as we approach the weekend.
CONTINUED
November 4, 2025 at 4:15 AM
Severe weather season is starting to heat up in the Southern Hemisphere. ⛈️
The latest GEFS and ECENS guidance depicts daily chances of thunderstorms this week across South America, with the potential severity ramping up as we approach the weekend.
CONTINUED
The latest GEFS and ECENS guidance depicts daily chances of thunderstorms this week across South America, with the potential severity ramping up as we approach the weekend.
CONTINUED
Tropical Storm Kalmaegi is headed toward the Philippines. Impacts expected Mon night - Wed morning. 🌀
The storm will intensify to a Typhoon over the South China Sea with impacts possible in Vietnam Thu-Sat. ⚠️
Another storm may develop in the western Pacific by the second half of next weekend. ❓
The storm will intensify to a Typhoon over the South China Sea with impacts possible in Vietnam Thu-Sat. ⚠️
Another storm may develop in the western Pacific by the second half of next weekend. ❓
November 2, 2025 at 9:29 PM
Tropical Storm Kalmaegi is headed toward the Philippines. Impacts expected Mon night - Wed morning. 🌀
The storm will intensify to a Typhoon over the South China Sea with impacts possible in Vietnam Thu-Sat. ⚠️
Another storm may develop in the western Pacific by the second half of next weekend. ❓
The storm will intensify to a Typhoon over the South China Sea with impacts possible in Vietnam Thu-Sat. ⚠️
Another storm may develop in the western Pacific by the second half of next weekend. ❓
The hail threat across southeast Texas will increase over the next few hours as storms fire in the vicinity of a front.
A few Severe Thunderstorm Warnings are already in effect. Models disagree about how many strong storms will develop, but the Slight Risk outlines the area of greatest concern.
A few Severe Thunderstorm Warnings are already in effect. Models disagree about how many strong storms will develop, but the Slight Risk outlines the area of greatest concern.
November 1, 2025 at 11:07 PM
The hail threat across southeast Texas will increase over the next few hours as storms fire in the vicinity of a front.
A few Severe Thunderstorm Warnings are already in effect. Models disagree about how many strong storms will develop, but the Slight Risk outlines the area of greatest concern.
A few Severe Thunderstorm Warnings are already in effect. Models disagree about how many strong storms will develop, but the Slight Risk outlines the area of greatest concern.
The #Halloween2025 forecast looks pleasant for most of the US! 🎃
Only a few spooky 👻 spots according to the latest NWS forecast:
💨Gusty winds in the Northeast
☔️Rain in northwest Washington & downwind of the Great Lakes
🥶Chilly with wind & rain in the High Plains
Only a few spooky 👻 spots according to the latest NWS forecast:
💨Gusty winds in the Northeast
☔️Rain in northwest Washington & downwind of the Great Lakes
🥶Chilly with wind & rain in the High Plains
October 31, 2025 at 3:55 PM
The #Halloween2025 forecast looks pleasant for most of the US! 🎃
Only a few spooky 👻 spots according to the latest NWS forecast:
💨Gusty winds in the Northeast
☔️Rain in northwest Washington & downwind of the Great Lakes
🥶Chilly with wind & rain in the High Plains
Only a few spooky 👻 spots according to the latest NWS forecast:
💨Gusty winds in the Northeast
☔️Rain in northwest Washington & downwind of the Great Lakes
🥶Chilly with wind & rain in the High Plains
🌫️Some models are depicting dense valley fog on Friday (left) & Saturday morning (right) in the SE US.
👍Clear skies & calm winds will promote ideal radiational cooling.
❓Will the anomalously dry air hinder fog development too much?
👀We’ll see what the Nighttime Microphysics imagery looks like!
👍Clear skies & calm winds will promote ideal radiational cooling.
❓Will the anomalously dry air hinder fog development too much?
👀We’ll see what the Nighttime Microphysics imagery looks like!
October 31, 2025 at 3:01 AM
🌫️Some models are depicting dense valley fog on Friday (left) & Saturday morning (right) in the SE US.
👍Clear skies & calm winds will promote ideal radiational cooling.
❓Will the anomalously dry air hinder fog development too much?
👀We’ll see what the Nighttime Microphysics imagery looks like!
👍Clear skies & calm winds will promote ideal radiational cooling.
❓Will the anomalously dry air hinder fog development too much?
👀We’ll see what the Nighttime Microphysics imagery looks like!
Fall has arrived along the Gulf Coast! 💨📉
October 30, 2025 at 3:41 AM
Fall has arrived along the Gulf Coast! 💨📉
After landfall in Cuba overnight, what’s next for #Melissa?
🌀Maintains Category 2 strength (100+ mph winds) through tonight as she crosses the eastern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos.
🏎️Swept up by a strong upper trough moving off the US east coast & gains considerable forward speed in the coming days
🌀Maintains Category 2 strength (100+ mph winds) through tonight as she crosses the eastern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos.
🏎️Swept up by a strong upper trough moving off the US east coast & gains considerable forward speed in the coming days
October 29, 2025 at 1:08 PM
After landfall in Cuba overnight, what’s next for #Melissa?
🌀Maintains Category 2 strength (100+ mph winds) through tonight as she crosses the eastern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos.
🏎️Swept up by a strong upper trough moving off the US east coast & gains considerable forward speed in the coming days
🌀Maintains Category 2 strength (100+ mph winds) through tonight as she crosses the eastern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos.
🏎️Swept up by a strong upper trough moving off the US east coast & gains considerable forward speed in the coming days
Reposted by WeatherFront
Thanks to some vigilant friends out there, I have a nearly-complete 87-hour radar loop of #Melissa 's approach to #Jamaica. The loop abruptly ends when the radar is lost (either loss of communication with it or loss of the actual structure).
bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/radar/
bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/radar/
October 29, 2025 at 12:03 PM
Thanks to some vigilant friends out there, I have a nearly-complete 87-hour radar loop of #Melissa 's approach to #Jamaica. The loop abruptly ends when the radar is lost (either loss of communication with it or loss of the actual structure).
bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/radar/
bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/radar/
Reposted by WeatherFront
Concerned for the area around Black River, Jamaica for surge flooding, apart from catastrophic wind, rainfall flood impacts.
SLOSH, wind wave model combination suggests over 6 feet of above ground inundation or higher possible in areas shaded in orange and red.
SLOSH, wind wave model combination suggests over 6 feet of above ground inundation or higher possible in areas shaded in orange and red.
October 28, 2025 at 3:33 PM
Concerned for the area around Black River, Jamaica for surge flooding, apart from catastrophic wind, rainfall flood impacts.
SLOSH, wind wave model combination suggests over 6 feet of above ground inundation or higher possible in areas shaded in orange and red.
SLOSH, wind wave model combination suggests over 6 feet of above ground inundation or higher possible in areas shaded in orange and red.
The northward turn has begun.
Unfortunately, that means Melissa is almost certainly headed for landfall in Jamaica.
Wobbles — technically called trochoidal motion — are guaranteed over the next 18-24 hours. The direction and extent of motion will ultimately dictate exactly where landfall occurs.
Unfortunately, that means Melissa is almost certainly headed for landfall in Jamaica.
Wobbles — technically called trochoidal motion — are guaranteed over the next 18-24 hours. The direction and extent of motion will ultimately dictate exactly where landfall occurs.
October 27, 2025 at 5:37 PM
The northward turn has begun.
Unfortunately, that means Melissa is almost certainly headed for landfall in Jamaica.
Wobbles — technically called trochoidal motion — are guaranteed over the next 18-24 hours. The direction and extent of motion will ultimately dictate exactly where landfall occurs.
Unfortunately, that means Melissa is almost certainly headed for landfall in Jamaica.
Wobbles — technically called trochoidal motion — are guaranteed over the next 18-24 hours. The direction and extent of motion will ultimately dictate exactly where landfall occurs.
The ability to see this level of detail from a cell phone is truly remarkable.
October 26, 2025 at 2:44 PM
The ability to see this level of detail from a cell phone is truly remarkable.
Rapid intensification is indeed underway. 💣📈
October 26, 2025 at 12:47 AM
Rapid intensification is indeed underway. 💣📈
Pay close attention to the low levels of this hodograph as boundary layer winds increased in the Dallas-Fort Worth area Friday night.
In the 6 hours leading up to a possible tornado in Fort Worth, 0-1km SRH nearly quadrupled.
HRRR Analysis soundings accessed via the Mesoanalysis Sounding Tool
In the 6 hours leading up to a possible tornado in Fort Worth, 0-1km SRH nearly quadrupled.
HRRR Analysis soundings accessed via the Mesoanalysis Sounding Tool
October 25, 2025 at 1:25 PM
Pay close attention to the low levels of this hodograph as boundary layer winds increased in the Dallas-Fort Worth area Friday night.
In the 6 hours leading up to a possible tornado in Fort Worth, 0-1km SRH nearly quadrupled.
HRRR Analysis soundings accessed via the Mesoanalysis Sounding Tool
In the 6 hours leading up to a possible tornado in Fort Worth, 0-1km SRH nearly quadrupled.
HRRR Analysis soundings accessed via the Mesoanalysis Sounding Tool