Will James
@willjames.bsky.social
3.5K followers 970 following 350 posts
Seattle journalist trying to understand many of the worst things Currently making audio documentaries with KUOW Podcasts: Lost Patients (2024) The Walk Home (2022) Outsiders (2020) Married to @sydbrownstone.bsky.social https://www.will-james.work/
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willjames.bsky.social
Or maybe I'm overestimating how much regular people dislike this technology and people are pretty much okay with it / accept the tradeoffs!
willjames.bsky.social
Maybe it's the sort of thing where elites realized this technology was unhealthy and quietly backed way from it and shielded their kids from it and left the masses to suffer the effects.
willjames.bsky.social
And there happen to be corporations and individuals that have gotten fantastically rich as a result.

It's not hard to imagine a parallel universe in which this became the target of some kind of movement... I'm wondering why things did not congeal in this way.
willjames.bsky.social
Everywhere there is griping and despair about these things from the micro (people complaining they can't read a book or sit through a movie anymore, teachers bemoaning screens in classrooms) to the macro (all of politics getting weirder and nastier).
willjames.bsky.social
Genuine question:

Why haven't we seen more organized and widespread opposition to the attention economy and what it's wrought in so many aspects of our lives: political polarization and radicalization, attention spans, childhood development, losing loved ones to conspiracies, screen addiction?
willjames.bsky.social
I shudder to imagine what a panicked, scrambling AI industry is about to inflict on human civilization in an attempt to make the math work on this.
matthewterrill.bsky.social
I was already a hard AI-skeptic but this cements my long suspicion that there is no feasible path to anything close to return on invested capital for these data centers. Tech would need 15 to 25 times current AI revenues within the next 2-3 years just to break even. Not financially viable.
"I clearly hit a nerve in the industry, when judging by the number of individuals who reached out to chat," he wrote in an followup blog post. "In total, l've spoken with over two-dozen rather senior people in the datacenter universe, and there was an interesting and overriding theme to our conversations: no one understands how the financial math is supposed to work. They are as baffled as I am, and they do this for a living."
Kupperman's original skepticism was built on a guess that the components in an average Al data center would take ten years to depreciate, requiring costly replacements. That was bad enough: "I don't see how there can ever be any return on investment given the current math," he wrote at the time.
But ten years, he now understands, is way too generous.
" had previously assumed a 10-year depreciation curve, which I now recognize as quite unrealistic based upon the speed with which Al datacenter technology is advancing," Kupperman wrote. "Based on my conversations over the past month, the physical data centers last for three to ten years, at most."
In his previous analysis, Kupperman assumed it would take the tech industry $160 billion of revenue to break even on data center spending in 2025 alone. And that's assuming an incredibly generous 25 percent gross margin - not to mention the fact that the industry's actual Al revenue is closer to $20 billion annually, as the investment manager noted in his previous blog. "In reality, the industry probably needs a revenue range that is closer to the $320 billion to $480 billion range, just to break even on the capex to be spent this year," Kupperman posited in his updated essay. "No wonder my new contacts in the industry shoulder a heavy burden - heavier than I could ever imagine. They know the truth."
Kupperman called that gulf between tech industry spending and actual revenue in 2025 "astonishing."
However, it doesn't even begin to scratch the surface. For example, how does it all shake out when we account for 2026, when hundreds of new data centers are expected to pop up?
"Adding the two years together, and using the math from my prior post, you'd need approximately $1 trillion in revenue to hit break even, and many trillions more to earn an acceptable return on this spend," he writes.
"If the economics don't work, doing it at massive scale doesn't make the economics work any better
- it just takes an industry crisis and makes it into a national economic crisis," he concludes.
Overall, the pessimists broadly agree: it's no longer a matter of if Al is massively overhyped, but when the whole thing comes crashing down.
More on Al hype: Data Shows That Al Use Is Now Declining at Large Companies
willjames.bsky.social
Several of the conservative influencers meeting with Trump, including Choe, are from Seattle.

Mining Seattle and other blue cities for shock content has been a reliable formula for success and power among conservative influencers for years.

Some reporting that keeps being relevant:
willjames.bsky.social
"Slop" is okay, but I'm really hoping "munge" catches on.
willjames.bsky.social
Here's Brian Eno with the most devastatingly accurate description I've yet heard of things made with generative AI:

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/03/o...
willjames.bsky.social
Here's Brian Eno with the most devastatingly accurate description I've yet heard of things made with generative AI:

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/03/o...
willjames.bsky.social
Reading @edzitron.com on how the rush to automate jobs using AI is a function of bosses being increasingly disconnected from what their companies actually produce, reducing every job to its outputs:

www.wheresyoured.at/the-case-aga...
willjames.bsky.social
The Amtrak train that derailed in Dupont? I reported on that, but I don't remember the antifa conspiracies!
willjames.bsky.social
Hearing "antifa" in the news is a trip; To me, it's such a relic of 2017-2018, when many of us covered regular right-wing protests and leftist counterprotests in the PNW.

Appreciated this necessary refresher on antifa and all the mythologizing around it by @letsgomathias.bsky.social on @kuow.org:
What’s behind the White House’s anti-antifa order
President Trump says he is designating "Antifa" as a terrorist organization and going after its funders.
www.kuow.org
willjames.bsky.social
Alternative view: What they actually built was a bunch of janky, addictive toys.
adriandaub.bsky.social
2025 will go down as the year when all the subtext became text
willjames.bsky.social
A point missing from years of “learn to code” taunts:

Building a career out of any kind of creative work requires a level of risk tolerance, scrappiness, and entrepreneurship that’s probably alien to anyone aspiring to graduate college directly into a six-figure job.
willjames.bsky.social
At what point do journalists get to start taunting tech people with “Learn to write”?
willjames.bsky.social
At what point do journalists get to start taunting tech people with “Learn to write”?
willjames.bsky.social
Finally checking out this William James guy to see what the hype is about.
willjames.bsky.social
I'm so sorry, Josh. For Seattle's sake, I hope there is a way for you to keep reporting here. If I can help in any way as you figure out your next move, please hit me up.
willjames.bsky.social
Many Cascade PBS journalists I admire are losing their jobs. Seattle is also losing a valuable piece of its news ecosystem. I think of the many journalists scattered throughout local newsrooms who passed through Cascade PBS/Crosscut at some point, freelanced there, or got their start there.
ericacbarnett.bsky.social
BREAKING: Cascade PBS, which operates the website Crosscut, is laying off 19 people, reportedly including its entire news staff. In an email to staff, CEO Rob Dunlop blamed federal cuts, saying the nonprofit is "winding down our longform, written journalism."
willjames.bsky.social
I did not! Didn't know about it.
willjames.bsky.social
If I could make people understand one thing about the computer, it would be that if a piece of information feels too good — if it has that sweet, addictive pull — there's a good chance it's bad for you.

People have come to understand this about food. Maybe they can learn the same for information.
cwarzel.bsky.social
Wrote about the week. How the shooter's ID didn't appear to matter to ppl. How the discourse takes place in very same spaces that incubate/perpetuate hate & violence. How shooters now know that their acts will be flattened, analyzed, argued over & amplified. How all of this feels so dark & poisonous
Something Is Very Wrong Online
Our political conversations take place in very same spaces that incubate and perpetuate unthinkable violence.
www.theatlantic.com
willjames.bsky.social
I will not stop saying it: "Fantasy A Gets a Mattress" is the most authentically Seattle piece of art to come out in a decade. I hope the filmmakers get a distributer.

Some laugh out loud moments in this story by @vivmccall.bsky.social:
The Team That Made the Cult Hit 'Fantasy A Gets a Mattress' Learns About the Virtue and Danger of Whimsy
Fantasy A is a Seattle icon whose face has decorated lampposts and phone poles for a decade.
www.thestranger.com
willjames.bsky.social
A few days later, I'm still surprised at how bleak this made me feel.

Sometimes a piece of writing manages to pull something ubiquitous out of the air and make it visible.
longreads.com
"Disney’s ethos began to change in the 1990s . . . but only after the economic shock of the pandemic did the company seem to more fully abandon any pretense of being a middle-class institution." —Daniel Currell for @nytimes.com

www.nytimes.com/2025/08/28/o...
Opinion | Disney and the Decline of America’s Middle Class
The theme-park operator, like so many other companies, is abandoning America’s middle class.
www.nytimes.com
willjames.bsky.social
Hold on, getting a master’s degree real quick so I can understand why all protest is automatically good and never backfires.