OSINT Intuit
@urikikaski.bsky.social
7.2K followers 3 following 4.6K posts
Occasionally irreverent analysis of global conflicts. USAF Veteran, retired engineer, USCG Master Captain, 2% Neanderthal. Pronouns: skipper, me matey.
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urikikaski.bsky.social
Pakistan is reporting 23 of its soldiers died during fighting thus far and that 200 Afghans have been killed.

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
The Taliban is reporting that at least 50 Pakistani soldiers were killed and 30 wounded during fighting last night. They also claim they captured a "significant" amount of weapons during fighting last night. All I have seen so far as evidence is a small pile of G-3's (6 to 10 guns).

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
Pakistani fighter jets continue to bomb Taliban targets in the Kandahar region. Since midnight last night, the Taliban has issued five ceasefire requests to Pakistan which have all been rejected!

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
Pakistani authorities release images of them striking Taliban military targets in Afghanistan. Taliban spokesmen are still reporting their "great victory" and don't seem in the mood for more fighting.

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
A couple moscovian specimens brag about their new advanced UAV countermeasures basically taunting the AFU to try and strike them now. Challenge accepted...

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
"The United States is closely involved in all stages of planning, it said, citing three people familiar with the operation. A U.S. official was quoted as saying Ukraine selected the targets for long-range strikes and Washington then provided intelligence on the sites' vulnerabilities."
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urikikaski.bsky.social
The U.S. has been helping Ukraine mount long-range strikes on Russian energy facilities for months in a joint effort to weaken the economy and force President Vladimir Putin to the negotiating table, the Financial Times reported on Sunday.

#OSINT
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urikikaski.bsky.social
Per the source, "UA tracker Strategic Aviation of the RF", almost all RFAF Tu-95MS have been relocated to the far east.

Satellite images of the "Ukrainka" airfield in far eastern Amur region of RF from 20251012 @ 0556 UTC show 38 Tu-95MS, 7 Tu-160, 3 Il-78M, and 2 Il-20M.

#Tomahawk

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
The target of an AFU drone strike in occupied Donetsk is a super-store (like Costco) called "Sigma Hypermart." Maybe it is a reciprocal strike for the Russians targeting those types of stores in free Ukraine???

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
I am taking bets on who will be the first world leader to claim they personally stopped the "war" between Pakistan and Afghanistan.

Go!

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
Social media chatter quoting Afghan MoD sources claims Afghanistan is now holding 12 Pakistanis as hostages (POWs?).

I still see them as terrorists so I will say they are hostages, which is what Pakistan will say, and you can say POWs if you want.

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
Just like I said... Afghanistan is claiming a "revenge" victory.

Enayatullah Khwarazmi, spokesperson for the Ministry of Defense of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan: We have concluded. If Paki violates Afghanistan's sovereignty again, our armed forces are ready to defend and respond decisively.
urikikaski.bsky.social
Afghanistan Ministry of Defense: The retaliatory attacks on Pakistani military centers ended at midnight and a strong response will be given.

They are holding at least 7 Pakistanis soldiers hostage (POWs?). The video shows Taliban crossing the border into Angur Ada in Pakistan.

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
Image from tonight of Mawlawi Mohammad Yaqub Mujahid, the Defense Minister of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan, leading his forces in the attacks on Pakistani soil tonight. Not a lot has changed...

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
There is social media chatter that Pujabis are joining in the attacks on Pakistan which explains why Lahore was under attack.

Can someone who speaks Punjabi confirm if this video is from there?

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
More video of Afghan forces attacking Pakistani border guard facilities. There are reports they are advancing. Probably not for long but they have the momentum of surprise right now. It will probably all be over when enough "saving face" is accomplished so both sides can claim victory.

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
Launched of Afghan ballistic missiles without watermark:

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
Reported to be fighting along the Afghan Pakistan border.

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
Reported to be Pakistan ballistic missiles being fired at Taliban targets.

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
There is an AFU strike in progress on unidentified targets occupied Donetsk.

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
There are reports of fierce battles along the Afghanistan/Pakistan border. Columns of Taliban in US HMMWV's and armored cars are heading towards the border with sounds of gunfire in the background. Afghan media reports the Taliban Air Force stuck the city of Lahore on the Punjab border.

#OSINT
urikikaski.bsky.social
This can be ensured through strength. Thank you, Mr. President!"
4/4
urikikaski.bsky.social
We discussed possibilities to strengthen our air defense and the agreements we are preparing regarding this. There are good options, strong ideas on how to really strengthen us. There needs to be a readiness from the Russians to participate in genuine diplomacy.
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urikikaski.bsky.social
And if it is possible to stop the war in that region, surely other wars can be stopped as well, including this Russian war. Informed President Trump about the Russian strikes on our energy sector. Grateful for the willingness to support us.
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