The Progress Report
@theprogressreport.co.nz
430 followers 250 following 260 posts
If you're interested in NZ politics, polling and elections you're in the right place. #nzpol www.theprogressreport.co.nz
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
Pinned
theprogressreport.co.nz
Welcome to the BlueSky home of The Progress Report - a repository of tools and data for anyone interested in New Zealand politics. Check us out at theprogressreport.co.nz #nzpol
The Progress Report
The Progress Report.
theprogressreport.co.nz
theprogressreport.co.nz
Note these numbers don't include Labour-aligned tickets like City Vision and The People's Choice - who also seem to have done very well.
theprogressreport.co.nz
Note, some councils did a poor job of listing their candidates' affiliations online - so it's possible I may have missed a handful.
theprogressreport.co.nz
Te Pāti Māori only contested 5 seats - and they did a great job of winning all 5. If they'd managed to stand more candidates they could have picked up a ton more seats. That said there will be far fewer Māori constituencies in play next time.
theprogressreport.co.nz
The Greens have won 8 of the 20 (40%) races they contested - much harder for them to pick up seats when they have a much lower overall level of support than Labour.
theprogressreport.co.nz
By my count Labour won 50 of the 68 (74%) local government races they contested. They should be very happy happy with this result - and hopefully it encourages more local government efforts in the future. #nzpol
theprogressreport.co.nz
With a quick count it looks like ACT Local have won 8 of the 47 (17%) local government contests they stood in. They just lost out in a decent number of other races too. #nzpol
Reposted by The Progress Report
theloyalorder.bsky.social
wikipedia pageviews for various mayoral candidates
#nzpol

Auckland:
Graph showing page views for Kerrin Leoni and Wayne Brown's Wikipedi articles.
theprogressreport.co.nz
Happy New Zealand Local Government Election Day to those who celebrate (eg everyone except Tauranga).
theprogressreport.co.nz
Good example of it done well here:
theprogressreport.co.nz
And yes - I know this thread is in itself doing what I'm saying to avoid - but I'm going out on a limb and assuming that my audience has far more voters than non voters!
theprogressreport.co.nz
But ultimately, local democracy in NZ needs massive reform - a month long postal ballot period gives people too many excuses not to vote. At the end of the day the only way to actually fix this is compulsory voting.
theprogressreport.co.nz
When turnout is framed as low, it can signal that non-participation is 'normal' - weakening the social norm of voting. We should emphasise that many will vote, and share stories of people returning their ballot today.
theprogressreport.co.nz
In get-out-the-vote / mobilisation studies, social pressure messages that highlight positive participation norms (e.g. "many in your area have already voted") tend to outperform messages that highlight abstention. link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Social Pressure, Descriptive Norms, and Voter Mobilization - Political Behavior
Several recent field experimental studies show that social pressure raises the likelihood of turning out to vote in elections. Ratcheting up social pressure to show subjects their own as well as their neighbors’ prior voting history significantly increases the effectiveness of direct mail messages. A key component in stimulating this effect seems to be the presence of individual vote history. When voters are presented with less specific turnout information, such as vote history for the community at-large, the effects on turnout often dissipate. Sensitizing voters to such descriptive norms appears to do little to stimulate participation. To address this contrast, this study presents results from a voter mobilization field experiment conducted in Hawthorne, CA prior to the November 2011 municipal elections. The experiment is a fully crossed 2 × 3 factorial study in which subjects were randomly assigned to one of six conditions, in which they receive no mailing, a mailing with individual vote history only, a mailing with individual vote history and a message emphasizing high (or low) community-level turnout from a previous election, and a mailing emphasizing high (or low) community-level turnout only. County voter files were used to randomly assign voters to treatment and control and to report the effects of each mailing on voter turnout. We find that only messages that included information about subjects’ own voting histories effectively mobilized them to vote.
link.springer.com
theprogressreport.co.nz
Psychological research shows that when people hear "few people are voting," it weakens the sense that voting is the norm. In field experiments, messages emphasising low expected turnout are less effective (or even counterproductive) compared to messages emphasising high turnout.
theprogressreport.co.nz
Low ballot returns in the local government elections so far? That's worrying - but highlighting 'low turnout' can turn it into a self-fulfilling prophecy. Better: show that many are voting, share local examples, and remind people their vote counts. A 🧵 #nzpol
Reposted by The Progress Report
morgangodfery.bsky.social
TPM probably leaking the internal budgeting details of their own MP. they’re not beating the “toxic” allegations
theprogressreport.co.nz
Thank you - have added those to the database!
theprogressreport.co.nz
Thank you! And please feel free to submit news stories you're aware of that my automated systems haven't picked up on. Historic ones about "controversial" candidates are particularly helpful to keep voters informed. #nzpol
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
By the way, thank you to @theprogressreport.co.nz for theprogressreport.co.nz/local-candid... as telling colleagues than can click on a candidates name and see any past news stories contributed about them seems to have been helpful at getting people past "I don't know enough about them"
theprogressreport.co.nz
I've made some pretty major changes to the database behind The Progress Report. I've consolidated all of my general election candidates (and extended back to 2017) & 2025 local govt data. It's now all stored together so you can see what other elections & parties someone has stood for. #nzpol
theprogressreport.co.nz
Insane that they've been teasing a recognition announcement for weeks. Even putting the substance of it aside, this is horrifically bad political management.
henrycooke.bsky.social
BREAKING: Winston Peters says is NZ is "not ready" to recognise Palestinian statehood.

"We do not think the time is now."

He says recognition at this time would be "open for political manipulation by both Hamas and Israel".
Reposted by The Progress Report
henrycooke.bsky.social
BREAKING: Winston Peters says is NZ is "not ready" to recognise Palestinian statehood.

"We do not think the time is now."

He says recognition at this time would be "open for political manipulation by both Hamas and Israel".