Robbie Orvis
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robbieorvis.bsky.social
Robbie Orvis
@robbieorvis.bsky.social
Senior Director, Modeling and Analysis
@energyinnovation.bsky.social. Working to help deploy clean energy technologies, drive down costs , and cut greenhouse gas emissions through smart and innovative policy. Posts are my own.
Pinned
Today, the President will sign the OBBBA into law, repealing and and modifying many clean energy tax credits. Last night we finished updating our analysis of OBBBA at the state-level to see what this bill means for Americans. The results are ugly.

Full dataset here: zenodo.org/records/1580...
EI House OBBBA Modeling - State Results
State level EPS model results used in published EI fact sheets: https://energyinnovation.org/report/one-big-beautiful-bill-act/.
zenodo.org
Will be interesting how this changes sales
Canada will lower tariffs on some Chinese electric vehicles and China will do the same for Canadian canola products, a major shift in policy that was announced on Friday during a landmark state visit by Prime Minister Mark Carney of Canada to Beijing.
Canada Breaks With U.S. to Slash Tariffs on Some Chinese Electric Vehicles
China will in turn cut its own tariffs on Canadian canola products, Prime Minister Mark Carney of Canada said in Beijing on Friday.
nyti.ms
January 17, 2026 at 2:25 AM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
Do you like charts? Oh yes you do. I've just published hundreds of them, as I do every year. www.nathanielbullard.com/presentations
January 15, 2026 at 12:59 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
"Not only were sales up globally, they were up in most regions. China saw a 17% rise to 12.9 million, Europe rose 33% to 4.3 million, and 'Rest of World' sold 1.7 million EVs, a whopping 48% increase." electrek.co/2026/01/14/c...
New data: EVs grew more in '25 than '24, despite constant lies saying otherwise
Another year in opposite world: EV sales growth accelerated in 2025, even as media, automakers & governments wrongly said sales were slowing.
electrek.co
January 14, 2026 at 2:40 PM
“This isn’t industrial policy; it’s industrial suicide.”

Spot. On.

$25 Billion. That’s What Trump Cost Detroit. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/14/o...
Opinion | $25 Billion. That’s What Trump Cost Detroit.
www.nytimes.com
January 14, 2026 at 1:51 PM
Pretty sure this is textbook extortion…
Sen. Kevin Cramer: "Maybe the point should be if you're the attorney for Jay Powell and you want to avoid an indictment, how about you go to Jeanine Pirro and say, 'I'll make a deal. I'll step down today if you drop the investigation today.' To me, that would be a win win for everybody."
January 14, 2026 at 3:20 AM
💯
If Canada ends up dramatically lowering or dropping tariffs on Chinese EVs in part to protect Canadian ag exports and is made easier as a result of US actions I can't begin to imagine how much of an impact this will make on EV sales here www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/art...
In a pivot, Carney seeks to reset relationship with China, build trade ties
After years of fraying relations and last year’s foreign interference report, PM looks to offset economic damage from Trump’s tariffs
www.theglobeandmail.com
January 13, 2026 at 3:33 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
@dangearino.bsky.social asks seven energy and climate experts - including @robbieorvis.bsky.social, Michael Webber, @spears.bsky.social, and Amory Lovins - to weigh in on what they expect in 2026: insideclimatenews.org/news/0801202... 🔌💡
Looking Ahead to a Deepening Affordability Crisis, an Election and the Threat of an AI Investment Bubble - Inside Climate News
Seven experts weigh in on what they expect in 2026.
insideclimatenews.org
January 8, 2026 at 11:34 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
I had no idea
2026 has been a long year.
January 9, 2026 at 2:56 AM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
🔌💡 @dangearino.bsky.social spoke with experts about #energy affordability, including our @robbieorvis.bsky.social.

See what the experts have to say about the outlook for U.S. energy markets and policy for 2026 👇
insideclimatenews.org/news/0801202...
@insideclimatenews.org #greensky
Looking Ahead to a Deepening Affordability Crisis, an Election and the Threat of an AI Investment Bubble - Inside Climate News
Seven experts weigh in on what they expect in 2026.
insideclimatenews.org
January 8, 2026 at 5:18 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
This is how you do journalism in the face of authoritarianism. The facts are appalling. All you need to do is state them plainly. Well done @chrislhayes.bsky.social
@chrislhayes.bsky.social: “A 37-year-old American citizen, the mother of a young child is dead tonight. She was shot in the face by an agent of the federal government, and that government has spent the day telling despicable lies about her.”
January 8, 2026 at 1:44 AM
Every single news outlet should be reporting that ICE murdered someone. Not that they fired shots. Not that it was in defense. It’s blatantly clear from the video they murdered Renee Good and the media should be reporting it that way. And the admin should be held accountable while they’re at it.
January 8, 2026 at 3:03 AM
I’ll simply leave this here.
WH sources say Venezuela's opposition leader committed the "ultimate sin": She accepted the Nobel Peace prize.

“If she had turned it down and said, ‘I can’t accept it because it’s Donald Trump’s,’ she’d be the president of Venezuela today,” one said.

www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
January 5, 2026 at 4:25 AM
Surely Congress will do something about this totally illegal declaration of war… right?… Right??

Trump says Maduro captured in ‘large scale strike’ against Venezuela

www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/0...
Live updates: Trump says Maduro captured in ‘large scale strike’ against Venezuela
The United States launched a large-scale strike on Venezuela, captured its president, Nicolás Maduro and flew him out of the country, President Trump said.
www.washingtonpost.com
January 3, 2026 at 2:04 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
Everyone is now paying attention to NYC, where big climate victories will be married with big wins for affordability and overall quality of life.
Congestion pricing "has been a striking success. Traffic speeds have increased. Pollution is down. The fee is generating a large amount of revenue for the city’s transit system. And predictions that it would be bad for business have proved completely wrong." Via @pkrugman.bsky.social
Notes on New York
The Big Apple had a pretty good 2025, but …
paulkrugman.substack.com
January 2, 2026 at 2:14 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
some good climate/energy news:

* 96% of new US power capacity was carbon-free in 2024 (56 gigawatts!)

* 2025 included the first month ever when 51% of power on the U.S. grid was carbon-free

* The golbal trend is overwhelming: The world is now investing more $ in clean energy than fossil fuels
December 26, 2025 at 2:09 PM
Dude that is not how math works. My god.
FOX: If you cut something by 100%, the cost goes down to 0. If you cut it by 600%, the drug companies are actually paying you

LUTNICK: What he's saying is if a drug was $100 and you bring it down to $13, it's down 7 times

F: Not a 600% cut

L: But it's 700% higher price before. It's down 700% now
December 19, 2025 at 1:52 PM
Wow. That is… not great.
A three-year Swiss study found that enhanced rock weathering (ERW) removed 10 to 30 times less CO₂ than expected due to soil chemistry and local climate.
Three Years of Field Trials Indicate a Sustained Enhanced Rock Weathering Signal with Limited CO2 Removal
Enhanced rock weathering (ERW) is a CO2 removal technology that involves spreading finely ground silicate rock on fields. The chemical weathering of this rock powder removes atmospheric CO2 in the form of bicarbonate ions and secondary carbonates. Despite some promising theoretical simulations and laboratory findings, results from field trials that evaluate the ERW’s impact on soil biogeochemistry and CO2 removal are still scarce. This study investigated the impact of basaltic rock powder applied at the equivalent rate of 20 t per hectare (2 kg m–2) in three temperate vineyard fields in Switzerland over 1000 days. Analyses of soil pore water revealed that most standard ERW monitoring proxies (pH, electrical conductivity, total dissolved inorganic carbon, calcium, and magnesium concentrations) did not increase significantly. By contrast, sodium concentration in soil pore water was on average 3-fold higher in the rock powder-treated plots, indicating active mineral dissolution. Integrating the pore water results with model analyses, we estimated that the average CO2 removal rate was 100 ± 30 kg CO2 ha–1 yr–1, which is 10 to 30 times lower than the upper rates reported in some previous modeling and experimental studies. Future work is now needed to improve our understanding of ERW’s CO2 removal potential and soil contamination under a variety of soils, rock feedstocks, and climate conditions.
pubs.acs.org
December 19, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
Our full report on how to clean up manufacturing through electrification is available at: www.2035initiative.com/clean-manufa...

You can also explore data on facilities in your state and community using our webtool: www.2035initiative.com/clean-manufa...
December 16, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
We have the technologies we need to cut pollution from the industrial sector. In our new report, we take a deep dive into an immediate, practical opportunity: electrifying low- and medium-temperature process heat in manufacturing food, beverage, paper and chemicals. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
New Roadmap Shows How to Cut a Surprisingly Big Source of Emissions
Electricity can replace natural gas to provide the low- and medium-grade heat needed to make food, paper and chemicals.
www.bloomberg.com
December 16, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
The US is losing blue-collar jobs for the first time since the pandemic—year-on-year job losses have hit 65k as manufacturing, transportation, & mining industries lose jobs at a rapid pace while growth in construction has nearly zeroed out
December 16, 2025 at 1:43 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
Is the energy transition speeding up or spinning its wheels?

@davidkeith.bsky.social, @shastingssimon.bsky.social & Ed chat w/ @robbieorvis.bsky.social (@energyinnovation.org) about what changed in 2025 & what to watch for in 2026.

Watch/Listen: www.energyvsclimate.com/energy-past-...
December 12, 2025 at 10:11 PM
The narrative from Rep. Moreno here is completely upside down. The U.S.' failure to compete with China on EV manufacturing to date is an existential threat to the US automakers, not the other way around.

subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eene...
E&E News: Republicans’ new EV narrative: China made US do it
Sen. Bernie Moreno argues that encouraging the U.S. electric vehicle industry only helps America’s biggest geopolitical adversary.
subscriber.politicopro.com
December 10, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Well that’s refreshing.
December 9, 2025 at 1:20 AM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
You know what all Americans want? To spend even more on gasoline…sheesh.
Sean Duffy on slashing fuel economy standards: "This rule will actually allow you to bring back the 1970s station wagon. Maybe a little wood paneling on the side. We can bring back choice to consumers."
December 4, 2025 at 5:55 PM