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Opta Analyst US
@optaanalystus.optajoe.com
Data-driven sports storytelling. The account for @OptaAnalyst's U.S. coverage.

https://www.theanalyst.com
THE YAYS AND NAYS FOR WEEK 14

🟢Daniel Jones
🟢 Alec Pierce
🟢Ashton Jeanty
🛑Joe Burrow
🛑Bucky Irving

Find out who else our projections value differently than the expert consensus rankings to get an edge in your matchup this week.

theanalyst.com/articles/week...
Week 14 Fantasy Football Start ’Em, Sit ’Em: All the Yays, Nays, Projections & Rankings | Opta Analyst
In our 2025 NFL Week 14 fantasy football start/sit analysis, we let the data give another perspective that likely varies from the overall expert picks.
theanalyst.com
December 6, 2025 at 4:13 PM
THE YAYS AND NAYS FOR WEEK 14

✅ Daniel Jones
✅ Alec Pierce
✅ Ashton Jeanty
🚫 Joe Burrow
🚫 Bucky Irving

Find out who else our projections value differently than the expert consensus rankings to get an edge in your matchup this week.

theanalyst.com/articles/week...
Week 14 Fantasy Football Start ’Em, Sit ’Em: All the Yays, Nays, Projections & Rankings | Opta Analyst
In our 2025 NFL Week 14 fantasy football start/sit analysis, we let the data give another perspective that likely varies from the overall expert picks.
theanalyst.com
December 5, 2025 at 9:57 PM
Championship Weekend has juice this year. Most of it comes from one source: the ACC, which has a bracket-busting possibility unlike any in the CFP era.

To help you sort through it, @alexkirshner.com ranks the title games by how much chaos they might cause.

theanalyst.com/articles/2025...
Conference Championship Game Predictions, Ranked by Potential College Football Playoff Chaos  | Opta Analyst
To help you sort through these games, we've ranked all nine FBS league championship games by how much playoff chaos they might cause.
theanalyst.com
December 5, 2025 at 5:23 PM
Although his numbers are uneven, Caleb Williams wins in the moments that matter. He has the Bears tied for the NFL lead with five fourth-quarter comebacks.

But are the NFC leaders a legitimate contender? And what does the Opta supercomputer think of their odds?

theanalyst.com/articles/chic...
True or False? The Chicago Bears Are the Best Team in the NFC | Opta Analyst
The Bears are doing a lot right on both sides of the ball. But the underlying data isn't impressive. So are they for real?
theanalyst.com
December 5, 2025 at 4:47 PM
NFL WEEK 14 PREDICTIONS

Cowboys at Lions✅
Steelers at Ravens✅
Texans at Chiefs✅
Bears at Packers✅

With the help of the Opta supercomputer, we reveal all the win probabilities for each game.

theanalyst.com/articles/nfl-...
NFL Predictions: Picks, Odds and Insights for Every Game in Week 14 | Opta Analyst
With the help of the Opta supercomputer, we’re revealing win probabilities for each game throughout Week 14.
theanalyst.com
December 5, 2025 at 3:25 AM
The Bears have had one of the NFL's easiest schedules and the underlying data isn't impressive, but teams don’t win by accident in this league.

So how are they doing it and what does the supercomputer say? @tylergreenawalt.bsky.social on the Bears.

theanalyst.com/articles/chic...
True or False? The Chicago Bears Are the Best Team in the NFC | Opta Analyst
The Bears are doing a lot right on both sides of the ball. But the underlying data isn't impressive. So are they for real?
theanalyst.com
December 4, 2025 at 10:32 PM
The Hawks have impressed without Trae Young. Should they move on from their star guard?

theanalyst.com/articles/atla...
The Trae Young Question: Are The Atlanta Hawks Better Without Their Star Player? | Opta Analyst
The Atlanta Hawks have been surging while Trae Young is out. Is their play sustainable enough to move on from the face of the franchise?
theanalyst.com
December 4, 2025 at 9:08 PM
Reposted by Opta Analyst US
Duke being in the ACC Championship has made this one the most compelling championship weekends ever. Kennesaw State is a playoff-relevant team on Friday night
December 3, 2025 at 9:03 PM
The Cowboys have been going to more play action in recent weeks, with Lamb and Pickens operating as two of the top WRs in the league on such plays.

Can Detroit slow them down? We've got the keys and the Opta supercomputer's win probability for TNF.

theanalyst.com/articles/cowb...
Cowboys vs. Lions Prediction: Which Team Will Get a Crucial Win to Stay in the Postseason Picture? | Opta Analyst
While a win by no means guarantees a playoff spot for either Dallas or Detroit, a loss would likely be a deathblow and too much for either team to overcome.
theanalyst.com
December 4, 2025 at 3:07 PM
It's conference championship weekend in college football, with plenty at stake in some of the title games.

To help you sort through it all, @alexkirshner.com ranks all nine championship games by how much CFP chaos they might cause.

theanalyst.com/articles/2025...
Conference Championship Game Predictions, Ranked by Potential College Football Playoff Chaos  | Opta Analyst
To help you sort through these games, we’ve ranked all nine FBS league championship games by how much playoff chaos they might cause. Conference championship games have had a rough few years. The expansion of the College Football Playoff has given some of these games more juice, as it’s put automatic bids on the line […]
theanalyst.com
December 3, 2025 at 8:25 PM
While a win by no means guarantees a playoff spot, a loss could be a deathblow and too much for either the Cowboys or Lions to overcome.

We've got the keys and the Opta supercomputer's win probability for the Week 14 opener on Thursday Night Football.

theanalyst.com/articles/cowb...
Cowboys vs. Lions Prediction: Which Team Will Get a Crucial Win to Stay in the Postseason Picture? | Opta Analyst
While a win by no means guarantees a playoff spot for either Dallas or Detroit, a loss would likely be a deathblow and too much for either team to overcome.
theanalyst.com
December 3, 2025 at 4:49 PM
Kicker stats! Points added adjusts for distance of attempt, crediting kickers for successfully making tougher field goals.
December 2, 2025 at 8:05 PM
The TRACR NFL power rankings for Week 14.

Find all the data on our NFL page.
December 2, 2025 at 8:00 PM
The Opta supercomputer has projected the rest of the NFL season, giving us the probable playoff scenarios.

We’ve included projected records, chances of winning the division, making the playoffs and the Super Bowl.

theanalyst.com/articles/nfl-...
NFL Playoff Predictions: The Supercomputer Projects the Road to Super Bowl LX | Opta Analyst
The Opta supercomputer has projected the rest of the season, giving us the probable playoff scenarios for each team in both conferences.
theanalyst.com
December 2, 2025 at 6:30 PM
The Broncos hung on to win a wild Sunday Night Football game in Washington, topping the Commanders 27-26. Nik Bonitto was the hero, deflecting a two-point conversion attempt to seal the Broncos win and move them to the top of the AFC standings.
December 1, 2025 at 5:08 AM
Davante Adams keeps catching touchdowns and the Jaguars were normal for once. Here are the key numbers from Week 13.

theanalyst.com/articles/nfl-...
NFL Week 13 Recap: Reacting to Some of Sunday’s Biggest News and Numbers | Opta Analyst
Like every weekend on the slate, Week 13 of the NFL had some incredible performances and some wildly perplexing outcomes.
theanalyst.com
November 30, 2025 at 9:43 PM
Davante Adams is inevitable close to the end zone. He opened the scoring against the Panthers with a 4-yard touchdown catch, his ninth TD inside the opponent's 10-yard line this year.
November 30, 2025 at 6:33 PM
Thanksgiving is a time for gratitude ... and football. With that in mind, here's one reason every NFL team should be thankful.

theanalyst.com/articles/nfl-...
One Savory Stat for Every NFL Fanbase This Thanksgiving | Opta Analyst
In honor of Thanksgiving, here's one stat each fanbase should be able to appreciate entering Week 13 of the 2025 NFL season.
theanalyst.com
November 27, 2025 at 1:02 AM
Frank Ragnow announced he is coming back to the Lions. His 81.2 pass-block rating and 87.9 run-block rating are both better than any other Lions interior lineman.
November 26, 2025 at 9:20 PM
The NFC holds down the top four spots in our TRACR NFL power rankings.

Find all the data on our NFL page.

theanalyst.com/competition/n...
November 26, 2025 at 3:00 PM
The Browns were the first defense to get 10 sacks in a game this season, and Shedeur Sanders made enough plays to get the win in his first career start.

theanalyst.com/articles/nfl-...
NFL Week 12 Recap: Reacting to Some of Sunday’s Biggest News and Numbers | Opta Analyst
Like every weekend on the slate, Week 12 of the NFL had some incredible performances and some wildly perplexing outcomes.
theanalyst.com
November 24, 2025 at 1:38 AM
The Giants blew a fourth quarter lead for the third straight week, losing to the Lions in overtime. Jahmyr Gibbs had 264 scrimmage yards and three touchdowns and Amon-Ra St. Brown had 149 receiving yards and a score for the Lions, who kept pace in the competitive NFC North.
November 23, 2025 at 9:42 PM
There’s still a lot to be decided before the CFP’s Selection Sunday. And there several teams with playoff hopes in action this weekend.

Check out our guide to Week 13 with notes, observations and the Opta supercomputer’s picks for all the big matchups.

theanalyst.com/articles/coll...
College Football Week 13 Predictions: Picks, Odds and Insights for Every Top 25 Game | Opta Analyst
We have a guide to Week 13 of the college football season with notes, observations, and the Opta supercomputer's picks for all the big matchups.
theanalyst.com
November 21, 2025 at 5:30 PM
Breathe easy. These teams would all make the field even if they didn’t win again:

✅Ohio State
✅Indiana
✅Texas A&M
✅Ole Miss

After the release of new CFP rankings, @alexkirshner.com has updated his tiers of teams that could make up the 12-team field.

theanalyst.com/articles/coll...
College Football Playoff Contenders Updated Tier Rank | Opta Analyst
With new rankings for the College Football Playoff selection committee, it's time to update our tiers of playoff contenders.
theanalyst.com
November 21, 2025 at 4:04 PM
Jonathan Taylor’s rushing yards over expected — the yards he creates after first interacting with a defender — is 275.48.

That’s 112% more than the next-closest RB and more than double Saquon Barkley’s total at this point this past year. Is he the MVP?

theanalyst.com/articles/jona...
Is It Time a Running Back Finally Wins the NFL's MVP Award Again? | Opta Analyst
A running back hasn't won the league's MVP honors since Adrian Peterson in 2012. Jonathan Taylor is making a strong case.
theanalyst.com
November 21, 2025 at 2:23 PM