@nateingram.bsky.social
70 followers 100 following 150 posts
Just chiming in mostly on econ and finance
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nateingram.bsky.social
Just listened to @gelliottmorris.com and @statenavigate.org discussing the state of VA politics on Strength in Numbers. Amazing the kind of high quality analysis we have of state elections now
nateingram.bsky.social
Shelter may keep the headline number suppressed (haven’t been as locked in on the data there recently), but consumer experience of inflation on daily goods could get bad again here soon
nateingram.bsky.social
From Apollo this AM. Concerning uptrend here. At a time when the labor market is also 🚮🚮🚮 it’s going to be very challenging for the Fed to balance inflation and labor market strength
nateingram.bsky.social
When you look at past crises and see private companies, engaging in the bubble of the day, doing deals with complex financing structures, it’s usually presented as ominous foreshadowing. Availability bias to that of course
nateingram.bsky.social
Yep, these companies still see a long customer acquisition ramp ahead. But you also see Flutter (Fan Duel parent) for example, recently becoming net income profitable, and consistently growing FCF.
nateingram.bsky.social
They’re doing better than ever, in fact. Could change in the future at some point of course.
nateingram.bsky.social
Very interesting to see large jumps among the core betting demographics
nateingram.bsky.social
It’s basically like buying a house. The bank will lend to you in the form of a mortgage, which is secured against the asset you are about to buy. The buyer can’t afford to put in 100% equity, much like a PE firm executing an LBO
nateingram.bsky.social
Anything related to the Sempra infrastructure unit sale?
nateingram.bsky.social
Isn't this just the nature of capitalism? If you have any values beyond return associated with a project, it won't be as streamlined. And the more extreme your "values" are, the slower it will go compared to the value-free (or value-lite) alternative scenario
nateingram.bsky.social
Funny joke once, now every moment of downtime is Bargatze hammering the same joke
nateingram.bsky.social
Wondering if this is related to the CAVA, SG, CMG doing poorly while the EAT, CAKE, DRI seem to be doing fine
Reposted
wmatagm.bsky.social
My monthly thx you for recognizing the hard work of Team Metro delivering the service that fuels our national leading growth! I’ll set an alarm for next month!
josephpolitano.bsky.social
Another month of US transit agency data is just in, and DC's WMATA remains the fastest-growing major US transit agency, with ridership up 14% compared to last year

SEPTA (Philly) and King County Metro (Seattle) have performed well, while LA Metro & NJTransit have lost riders🧵
a graph of ridership growth from Jan-July 2025 vs 2024 for the 10 largest US transit agencies, showing WMATA at the top followed b
nateingram.bsky.social
10 months ago I thought there was a chance they would just keep the lights on, let “business confidence” improve, and take credit for a good economy…
nateingram.bsky.social
Construction jobs drying up
nateingram.bsky.social
Is the view based on some theory that tariff announcements were a one time hit to business confidence?
nateingram.bsky.social
Really great charts today Ben
nateingram.bsky.social
The doves would argue the Fed is closer to the inflation target than their targeted labor market health
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conorsen.bsky.social
Prime-age employment-population is falling, the % of consumers who say jobs are hard to get is rising — turning points in these tend to be pretty infrequent and I’m not willing to make a call like that without a strong reason/policy shift:
nateingram.bsky.social
This has been a very strong, if somewhat accidental theme of Odd Lots over the years @tracyalloway.bsky.social @weisenthal.bsky.social
nateingram.bsky.social
Finally got to reading this, great work Alex
nateingram.bsky.social
Pretty slight miss though, and they reaffirmed guidance right