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Mark Pack

@markpackuk.bsky.social

7.5K followers 820 following 3.8K posts

Lib Dem President and Life Peer. Author, "Polling UnPacked" / http://www.theweekinpolls.co.uk / https://libdemnewswire.substack.com / imprint + privacy http://markpack.org.uk/legal-privacy / he/him

www.theweekinpolls.co.uk

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · Jul 6

A secret about how the House of Lords works: the Chief Whip's ring binder buff.ly/Whmcf0l < I have a new email newsletter

A secret about how the House of Lords works: the Chief Whip's ring binder

Welcome

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 2h

Though for gut-wrenching fear that is beyond any mitigation:

RO rejects DNO forms.

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 3h

Walked into wrong lobby.

Queen Olivia III @queenoliviaiii.com · 9h

In honour of spooky month, share a 4 word horror story that only someone in your profession would understand.

“The tapes wouldn’t start”

Eleanor G @zaichishka.bsky.social · 9h

In honour of spooky month, share a 4 word horror story that only someone in your profession would understand.

“Translate 'yoroshiku onegai shimasu'”.

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 7h

I've tried something a little different from my polling newsletter, out at 6pm today.

Sign up here to receive it: buff.ly/EXq68Yt

Welcome to the 182nd edition of The Week in Polls (TWIP), which takes a look at polling related to whether it would be okay for the House of Lords to vote down legislation for assisted dying. I also give a couple of AI platforms a go to see if they can do better than the newspaper report.

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 18h

“Our group has not lived up to voters’ expectations”: former Reform councillor Nicole Brooke

"Our group has not lived up to voters' expectations": former Reform councillor Nicole Brooke

Nicole Brooke was elected a Reform councillor in Northumberland in May, but is now out of the party. She's been talking to the local paper.

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 19h

Welcome Harry!

Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 22h

Ah, one of my favourite roads for badgering Thames Water about unrepaired leaks.

Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 23h

That there is a big potential upside where we can show local credibility.

Reposted by Mark Pack

Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 1d

Well, this is fun.

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Liberal Democrats @libdems.org.uk · 1d

"During Hate Crime Awareness Week, we call on everyone - individuals, organisations and political leaders - to stand up against hate, support those affected, and help build a society where everyone can live free from fear, prejudice and discrimination."

@MarieCGoldman.bsky.social

Image of Marie Goldman MP, Lib Dem Spokesperson for Women & Equalities, in the House of Commons.

"National Hate Crime Awareness Week is a powerful reminder that hatred and prejudice continue to have a devastating impact on far too many people across the UK.
No one should have to suffer or live in fear simply because of their identity.
The Liberal Democrats say: enough is enough."

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 1d

Think that is due to the party's appeal being a mix of attitudinal and geographic, and so cuts across demographics.

Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 1d

Although pollsters vary in their detail, on balance the evidence is that LDs do as well or a bit better with younger voters. Which contradicts some of the cliches about Coalition. As to why the overall evenness of support, that goes back to days of the Alliance and even earlier.

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 1d

Lib Dems deliver millions in funding to tackle Long Covid

Scottish Liberal Democrat leader Alex Cole-Hamilton has today hailed a major budget win for his party as the Scottish Government announced details of a £4.5 million fund which will deliver specialist...

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LGA Liberal Democrat Group @libdemlocalgov.bsky.social · 1d

The LGA is running two BAME events:
‘Claiming space, shaping change – leadership for a new political era’ masterclass on 18-19 October
‘Developing your political leadership skills’ on 21-22 February.

Email [email protected] for more details.

A platform for growth - first magazine for councillors

This year, we celebrate a remarkable milestone – 21 years of the LGA’s flagship leadership event for black, Asian and ethnic minority (BAME) councillors

www.lgafirst.co.uk

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 1d

Data tables: d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Gr...

d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 1d

Well, this is fun.

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 1d

Cole-Hamilton: Delayed NHS app is another SNP saga

The long-promised NHS and social care app has faced more government delays.

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Ed Davey @eddavey.libdems.org.uk · 2d

A stonker of a night for us. Three huge wins, Reform nowhere near us and the Tories down to ten percent in Mel Stride’s own seat.

We are the only party taking Farage on and the only party beating him.

Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 2d

Kenn Valley (Teignbridge) Council By-Election Result:

🔶 LDM: 50.4% (+11.0)
➡️ RFM: 23.1% (New)
🌳 CON: 9.6% (-19.0)
🙋 Ind: 8.2% (New)
🌍 GRN: 5.5% (-13.9)
🌹 LAB: 2.7% (-9.9)
🙋 Ind: 0.5% (New)

Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative.
Changes w/ 2023.

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 1d

... that lots of time treating symptoms means you end up having no time to treat the cause, though I wonder what your perspective is on the idea that treating the symptoms means you're better informed about what the causes might be and how to tackle them?

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 1d

I think you did pretty well at doing both :)

I think also though we tend to look down on 'treating the symptoms' as if that's not a good thing in itself. E.g. we don't disparage taking an aspirin if you have a headache because it's only 'treating the symptoms'. This is of course the risk...

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 2d

If I understand the methodology correctly, an 18 year old working in a museum shop counts as 'Establishment'. Which seems an unusual definition?

Very striking how different the answers among the "Establishment" are by age, making the age weighting very important.

Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 2d

To me, the most significant part of these findings seems to be the huge variation between different panel providers. Which highlights the value in knowing where a poll's panel data has come from, something that otherwise good polling transparency rules in the UK doesn't really tackle?

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 2d

Hang on, don't you write newspaper columns Rob... :)

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 2d

The ending of two party politics is looking rather like two party politics.

Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 2d

Aggregate Result of the 122 Council By-Elections (for 125 Seats) since the 2025 Local Elections:

RFM: 47 (+40)
LDM: 32 (+10)
CON: 13 (-15)
LAB: 12 (-30)
GRN: 11 (+3)
Ind: 5 (-4)
Local: 3 (-3)
SNP: 1 (-1)
PLC: 1 (=)

Explore: electionmaps.uk/byelections-...

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 2d

It's a two member ward that split Labour and Reform last time, and hence those vote share changes showing Labour top last time.

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Mark Pack @markpackuk.bsky.social · 2d

What's the best column of his that you'd point people to in order to dispel scepticism about him? (I mainly come across his pieces when others are rubbishing them, which I know comes with a lot of selection bias.)