banner
LightNews
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob
@marcjacob.bsky.social
1.1K followers 560 following 19 posts
Assistant Professor @ Kellogg Institute for International Studies, University of Notre Dame. Comparative Politics, Political Behavior, Political Economy.
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · 1d
In short, heterogeneous coalitions do backfire electorally, but mainly because voters feel distant from the coalition’s overall composition, not just because they dislike a particular partner party. More here: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.....
Voting for Pre-Electoral Coalitions
Pre-electoral coalitions can improve parties' electoral prospects but may lose appeal when they combine ideologically diverse members. To analyze when coalition
papers.ssrn.com
1 1 5
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · 1d
Zooming in on this case, @ugurozdemir.bsky.social and I have examined when too much diversity in pre-electoral coalitions backfires; that is, when they reduce support from voters who might have backed any of the constituent parties if they had run separately.
1 3
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · 1d
A case in point for this decision problem is the 2023 Turkish general election. A highly diverse opposition alliance united behind a single presidential candidate, while the main opposition party (CHP) opened its parliamentary lists to candidates from smaller allied parties.
1 2
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · 1d
Party leaders often face a tough choice: should they join forces with other parties in pre-electoral coalitions or run alone? The stakes are even higher when opposition parties try to unseat an authoritarian incumbent.
1 3 8
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · Mar 23
Thanks so much for visiting, Ben --you're doing excellent work!
2
Reposted by Marc Jacob
bachmannrudi.bsky.social
Rudi Bachmann @bachmannrudi.bsky.social · Feb 10
. @notredame.bsky.social @robert-habeck.de
1 3 33
Reposted by Marc Jacob
kellogginstitute.bsky.social
Kellogg Institute at the University of Notre Dame @kellogginstitute.bsky.social · Feb 10
The Kellogg Institute is now officially on Bluesky! Please spread the word and follow us!
5 6 22
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · Dec 16
Haha, you just caught me ;) I'm not from Baden-Württemberg, though.
1 2
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · Dec 11
German vibes on the Notre Dame campus in Indiana
1 12
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · Dec 6
Consider following the wonderful Kellogg Institute community at the University of Notre Dame: go.bsky.app/CoZB5N8. Kellogg is a vibrant group of graduate, visiting, and faculty fellows working on topics related to democracy and human development worldwide.
6
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · Dec 3
"Backsliding occurs either when citizens knowingly consent to erosion of democracy because they find the incumbent highly appealing or when citizens unconditionally oppose the incumbent, so that the incumbent can remain in office only by backsliding." (Luo/Przeworski 2023, QJPS)
1 15
Reposted by Marc Jacob
promarket.bsky.social
ProMarket @promarket.bsky.social · Feb 20
A new Stigler Center working paper proposes a mechanism linking legislative gridlock to voters’ support for candidates who hold extreme policy positions.
@marcjacob.bsky.social, @bartonelee2.bsky.social (Stigler Affiliate Fellow), @grattonecon.bsky.social (UNSW):
www.chicagobooth.edu/-/media/rese...
2 4
Reposted by Marc Jacob
eepgworkshop.bsky.social
East European Politics Graduate Workshop @eepgworkshop.bsky.social · Jan 30
✨ We're back this Friday (2/2) at 11AM EST w/ @hannafolsz.bsky.social and @slucek.bsky.social (Stanford) presenting "Losing my Religion? How Partisan Polarization Drives or Tempers Secularization" + @marcjacob.bsky.social (Stanford) discussing.

Link+paper via email list: eepg-workshop.github.io
2 3
Reposted by Marc Jacob
prl.bsky.social
Polarization Research Lab @prl.bsky.social · Dec 1
15 days left to apply to present at PRL's Annual Meeting March 21-22 in NOLA! polarizationresearchlab.org/annual-meeti...

polisky
Annual Meeting
Meetings and Events   Annual Meetings The 2024 PRL Annual Meeting will take place in New Orleans on March 21-22, 2024!  This boutique conference brings together the best and most innovative wo…
polarizationresearchlab.org
1 1
Reposted by Marc Jacob
bartonelee2.bsky.social
Barton Lee @bartonelee2.bsky.social · Nov 15
Is gridlock causing polarization? 🧐

Proud to be interviewed and have my work with @marcjacob.bsky.social and @grattonecon.bsky.social featured on my favorite podcast!

Check it out — link below 👇

Thank you for the invitation Wiola Dziuda, Anthony Fowler, and William Howell

t.co/v4Otr7cMSi
‎Not Another Politics Podcast: Is Gridlock Causing Polarization? on Apple Podcasts
‎Show Not Another Politics Podcast, Ep Is Gridlock Causing Polarization? - Nov 15, 2023
t.co
1 3 10
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · Oct 17
2) As Manes already pointed out, support in the cities was among the lowest in 2019. So the vote share was already comparatively low there. Also in the 2019 election, PiS support did not substantially increase in the cities, but almost everywhere else.
1
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · Oct 17
I was surprised by this as well. I can think of two factors. 1) In relative terms, both cities and more rural regions welcomed refugees: Powiat Grójecki, Wrocław, Powiat Pruszkowski, Przemyśl, and Powiat Rawski, along with Warsaw, saw the largest inflow relative to their populations.
2
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · Oct 17
The party could win additional % across the country in 2019 compared to 2015, so the level of support was quite high in 2019 even in the Northeast. But I agree that floor effects may be present.
2
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · Oct 17
This is an important point. Just to provide a bit more context: In 2019, PiS performed well even in the Northeast.
2 2
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · Oct 17
The 2023 election was fundamentally different; this time, the opposition, not PiS, mobilized more voters.
6
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · Oct 17
There was already a substantial increase in turnout in the 2019 elections, during which PiS gained compared to 2015. These electoral gains were mainly related to improved economic conditions and public goods provision (see papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....).
Undemocratic Incumbents and the Shifting Electorate: Evidence from Polish Elections
Do voters withdraw their support from undemocratic incumbents who seek re-election due to concerns about democracy? I argue that citizens can only hold their go
papers.ssrn.com
6
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · Oct 17
and 3) the relative number of Ukrainian refugees seems unrelated to PiS punishment.
1 13
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · Oct 17
2) increased turnout harmed PiS in all regions,
8
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · Oct 17
1) PiS lost particularly in 2019 strongholds,
1 8
marcjacob.bsky.social
Marc Jacob @marcjacob.bsky.social · Oct 17
Three tentative patterns emerged in last Sunday’s Polish elections at the regional (powiaty) level:
7 22 46