groktown.substack.com/p/open-sourc...
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A small delivery video⤵️
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Not all have public proof of death, so real number is higher. Poteru don't count Ukrainians or others that Russia forced to their deaths. They can also take months-years to confirm.
👉2022=15k
👉2023=32k
👉2024=50k
👉2025=63k + more to come.
Not all have public proof of death, so real number is higher. Poteru don't count Ukrainians or others that Russia forced to their deaths. They can also take months-years to confirm.
👉2022=15k
👉2023=32k
👉2024=50k
👉2025=63k + more to come.
Total proceeds in 2025 (roubles):
Borrowed = ~6488bn
Goal = ~6981bn
Auctions left = 4
Amount needed = ~493bn
Needed per week = ~123bn
Proceeds this week = ~128bn
Now on course to fund the planned budget deficit. The deficit might be bigger than planned
Total proceeds in 2025:
Borrowed = ~6357bn
Goal = ~6981bn
Auctions left = 5
Amount needed = ~624bn
Needed per week = ~104bn
Proceeds this week = ~124bn
Early Nov auction was huge (and expensive), it put them on target.
Total proceeds in 2025:
Total borrowed = ~4468bn
2025 goal = ~6981bn
Auctions left = 7
Amount needed = ~2513bn
Needed per week = ~359bn
Proceeds this week = ~185bn
Yields ~15.3%, vs ~15.1% last week.
Total proceeds in 2025 (roubles):
Borrowed = ~6488bn
Goal = ~6981bn
Auctions left = 4
Amount needed = ~493bn
Needed per week = ~123bn
Proceeds this week = ~128bn
Now on course to fund the planned budget deficit. The deficit might be bigger than planned
They say they aim to sell ~880bn rub more in "face value" for proceeds of ~620bn rub, just over 70% of the face value. Recent results were over 90%.
880bn placed should net ~800bn rub, i.e. ~180bn above alleged plan.
NOTE: Their goals may be inadequate. We don’t know yet if they will actually need more money before the end of the year.
They say they aim to sell ~880bn rub more in "face value" for proceeds of ~620bn rub, just over 70% of the face value. Recent results were over 90%.
880bn placed should net ~800bn rub, i.e. ~180bn above alleged plan.
👉 This is much bigger than in the 07/08 financial crisis. ~0.26tr was biggest I saw.
👉 There were bigger repos after Russia invaded Crimea and sanctions kicked in.
2.85 trillion rubles allotted
With bids received for 4.51 trillion rubles
Weighted average rate
👉 16.5174%
www.cbr.ru/eng/hd_base/...
👉 This is much bigger than in the 07/08 financial crisis. ~0.26tr was biggest I saw.
👉 There were bigger repos after Russia invaded Crimea and sanctions kicked in.
Tl;dr if the deficit is bigger than 3.8-3.9tr rub then they're off course and would need need bigger changes in December to achieve their budget.
If it's at or below 3.8-3.9tr rub they achieved their goals in November.
Tl;dr if the deficit is bigger than 3.8-3.9tr rub then they're off course and would need need bigger changes in December to achieve their budget.
If it's at or below 3.8-3.9tr rub they achieved their goals in November.
The ending of freedom for millions is now the official US position.
The ending of freedom for millions is now the official US position.
Reply here with proof, or put "leo diggers" in Paypal donation comment and I will double your impact.
Read Constantine's thread for amazing stories. One digger's emplacements saves dozens of lives and $10 millions of kit.
I'm starting a new fundraiser for $120,000 to help Ukraine with engineering equipment, heavy trucks with cranes, and excavators
Please watch the video and read to understand why this matters
donation link www.paypal.com/donate?campa...
Reply here with proof, or put "leo diggers" in Paypal donation comment and I will double your impact.
Read Constantine's thread for amazing stories. One digger's emplacements saves dozens of lives and $10 millions of kit.
More like a peace plan vs the Republican-Russian war pause plan.
More like a peace plan vs the Republican-Russian war pause plan.
For the 1000th time, how to deal with Trump: Show strength. Shape events. Make him react to your move rather than jumping like a scared rabbit whenever he says something nuts.
Europe’s consistent failure to do so only encourages more American madness.
For the 1000th time, how to deal with Trump: Show strength. Shape events. Make him react to your move rather than jumping like a scared rabbit whenever he says something nuts.
Europe’s consistent failure to do so only encourages more American madness.
Interpretation is for later but here are some numbers for people to play with and reference later.
Interpretation is for later but here are some numbers for people to play with and reference later.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=e_Ft...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=e_Ft...
- 2024 Nov = 105m rub/day
- 2025 Nov 1-20th = 89m rub/day
Over 15% cuts vs 2024 - helping their budget.
Daily expenses are "lumpy", & there can be big end-of-month payments. Upcoming bond payments will also add 3-4m/day to the average.
- 2024 Nov = 105m rub/day
- 2025 Nov 1-20th = 89m rub/day
Over 15% cuts vs 2024 - helping their budget.
Daily expenses are "lumpy", & there can be big end-of-month payments. Upcoming bond payments will also add 3-4m/day to the average.
Winter: 245km2
Spring: 582km2
Summer: 676km2
Autumn: 1701km2
There were 460K russians in January 2024 and increased to 600K over the year.
Winter: 245km2
Spring: 582km2
Summer: 676km2
Autumn: 1701km2
There were 460K russians in January 2024 and increased to 600K over the year.
‘US-Kremlin plan’ shames the US and makes it sound deeply unappealing to the broader US and European publics.
‘US-Kremlin plan’ shames the US and makes it sound deeply unappealing to the broader US and European publics.
There's a chance it's because Russia knows it cannot finance the war much longer.
The Republicans & Russians could be pushing hard to lock in odds of Ukraine's future extermination before Russia's failure is obvious.
There's a chance it's because Russia knows it cannot finance the war much longer.
The Republicans & Russians could be pushing hard to lock in odds of Ukraine's future extermination before Russia's failure is obvious.
If you don't want to be constantly falling for lies and getting screwed over, it's a good approach IMO.
If you don't want to be constantly falling for lies and getting screwed over, it's a good approach IMO.
bsky.app/profile/teoy...
Respond below or DM proof, or put "leo" in paypal message. I'll match total donations after 30th...
Check the quoted thread to see how one excavator saved dozens of lives and $millions of equipment.
Every $1 helps, please share Constantine's thread and tell friends about my match. We can help democracy's defenders.
bsky.app/profile/teoy...
Respond below or DM proof, or put "leo" in paypal message. I'll match total donations after 30th...
Check the quoted thread to see how one excavator saved dozens of lives and $millions of equipment.
Every $1 helps, please share Constantine's thread and tell friends about my match. We can help democracy's defenders.
Check the quoted thread to see how one excavator saved dozens of lives and $millions of equipment.
Every $1 helps, please share Constantine's thread and tell friends about my match. We can help democracy's defenders.
My first guess is that this would save Russian finances and set them up to prepare for their next European invasion. Depending on what happens.
My first guess is that this would save Russian finances and set them up to prepare for their next European invasion. Depending on what happens.
1-18th Nov 2025 is 2nd fastest daily rate, already beat every monthly total from Feb 2022-Oct 2024.
Russia changed reporting rules so a lot of these are deaths from 2024 & early 2025 finally being recorded.
1-18th Nov 2025 is 2nd fastest daily rate, already beat every monthly total from Feb 2022-Oct 2024.
Russia changed reporting rules so a lot of these are deaths from 2024 & early 2025 finally being recorded.
And I ask you to do one more step to close our needs. It will help our drone operators to protect themselves.
Nights became longer and our team needs your help to be able to see Russian infantry — 2 thermal imaging.
They are costly: 4000$
PP: [email protected]
WFP: secure.wayforpay.com/donate/Krieg...
And I ask you to do one more step to close our needs. It will help our drone operators to protect themselves.
👉Nov 2024 = 105m rub/day
👉1st-14th Nov 2025 = 89m rub/day
Those are the sorts of cuts they need to hit budget goals, but daily spending is variable.
Bond payments + end-of-month spending could push it back up.
👉Nov 2024 = 105m rub/day
👉1st-14th Nov 2025 = 89m rub/day
Those are the sorts of cuts they need to hit budget goals, but daily spending is variable.
Bond payments + end-of-month spending could push it back up.