Julien Pinter
@julien-pinter.bsky.social
Economist #centralbanks, Assistant Professor @ University of Alicante. Previous #ECB, #Harvard and #Princeton visitor. Tweet in English and French. @bsi_economics member. Enjoy debating here
Source: @BostonFed www.bostonfed.org/publications...
Why Have Inflation Expectations Surged Recently? A Historical Perspective
www.bostonfed.org
November 2, 2025 at 6:19 PM
Source: @BostonFed www.bostonfed.org/publications...
This is quite surprising to me. Changes in salient prices and underlying inflation would explain little of the 2025 U.S. inflation expectations surge, leaving 7.5 p.points unexplained (grey part) at the 8 p.point peak. Does anyone know any work on that?
November 2, 2025 at 6:19 PM
This is quite surprising to me. Changes in salient prices and underlying inflation would explain little of the 2025 U.S. inflation expectations surge, leaving 7.5 p.points unexplained (grey part) at the 8 p.point peak. Does anyone know any work on that?
Reposted by Julien Pinter
Stephen Cecchetti and Kermit L. Schoenholtz argued in a recent CEPR #PolicyInsight that tokenisation is the truly transformative innovation in finance today.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
October 1, 2025 at 3:34 PM
Stephen Cecchetti and Kermit L. Schoenholtz argued in a recent CEPR #PolicyInsight that tokenisation is the truly transformative innovation in finance today.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
Philosophers, psychiatrist consider what we lose when we outsource struggle to AI - "I worry that 50 years from now we’ll only have people who learned with these devices present, and it will be harder and harder to motivate people to get an education"
news.harvard.edu/gazette/stor...
news.harvard.edu/gazette/stor...
What is creativity without sweat and tears? — Harvard Gazette
Harvard philosophers and a psychiatrist consider what we lose when we outsource struggle to artificial intelligence.
news.harvard.edu
September 12, 2025 at 3:21 PM
Philosophers, psychiatrist consider what we lose when we outsource struggle to AI - "I worry that 50 years from now we’ll only have people who learned with these devices present, and it will be harder and harder to motivate people to get an education"
news.harvard.edu/gazette/stor...
news.harvard.edu/gazette/stor...
This seems great "AI Agents for Economic Research". I found the first paper and its update from Korinek (Generative AI for economists) very useful, nice to see a new update on AI agents www.aeaweb.org/content/file...
www.aeaweb.org
September 4, 2025 at 1:56 PM
This seems great "AI Agents for Economic Research". I found the first paper and its update from Korinek (Generative AI for economists) very useful, nice to see a new update on AI agents www.aeaweb.org/content/file...
Reposted by Julien Pinter
We find large excellence gaps emerge by 3rd grade across all demographics and persist through high school.
Paper is here: ideas.repec.org/p/feb/artefa...
Paper is here: ideas.repec.org/p/feb/artefa...
Five Facts About the First-Generation Excellence Gap
Parents are crucial to children's educational success, but the role of parental education in fostering academic excellence remains underexplored. Using longitudinal administrative data covering all No
ideas.repec.org
August 31, 2025 at 11:02 AM
We find large excellence gaps emerge by 3rd grade across all demographics and persist through high school.
Paper is here: ideas.repec.org/p/feb/artefa...
Paper is here: ideas.repec.org/p/feb/artefa...
Took BlaBlaCar again yesterday after years (great company). As often, when I mention I work on central banks, the first question is about money creation—essentially, why it’s not a magic fix for government budget constraints. Small sample, but I got the same question on my last BlaBlaCar 4 years ago
August 14, 2025 at 8:50 AM
Took BlaBlaCar again yesterday after years (great company). As often, when I mention I work on central banks, the first question is about money creation—essentially, why it’s not a magic fix for government budget constraints. Small sample, but I got the same question on my last BlaBlaCar 4 years ago
Was happy to attend, grateful for the prize and the enriching interactions during the 2025 Afrimed Finance Conference (worth attending)
🏆 Our colleague Julien Pinter (@julien-pinter.bsky.social) (Universidad de Alicante - @ua.es) has received the Best Banking Paper Award for his article ‘Market Disappointment with Central Bank Announcements’.
July 30, 2025 at 9:24 AM
Was happy to attend, grateful for the prize and the enriching interactions during the 2025 Afrimed Finance Conference (worth attending)
Reposted by Julien Pinter
Survey invitations often describe the topic of the survey. A simple, classic example of how this biases results: survey recruitment materials about bird watching led to higher estimates of the % of people who engage in bird-watching. doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
July 15, 2025 at 9:30 AM
Survey invitations often describe the topic of the survey. A simple, classic example of how this biases results: survey recruitment materials about bird watching led to higher estimates of the % of people who engage in bird-watching. doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
Hey @blueskystarterpack.com please add: bsky.app/starter-pack...
July 10, 2025 at 8:47 PM
Hey @blueskystarterpack.com please add: bsky.app/starter-pack...
Next week, Workshop on Macroeconomics and Productivity at UA, open to the public 👇
☝️ The countdown is on! The ‘Workshop on Macroeconomics and Productivity’ is just around the corner, and the full program is now available. 📄📊
June 5, 2025 at 10:57 AM
Next week, Workshop on Macroeconomics and Productivity at UA, open to the public 👇
Congrats Davide - wishing you efficient referee report turnarounds, like the 10-min one you produced in Alicante :)
April 25, 2025 at 9:19 AM
Congrats Davide - wishing you efficient referee report turnarounds, like the 10-min one you produced in Alicante :)
Consistent with what some sociologists have been telling - effects on school choice especially present for 1st generation students and underrepresented minorities
High-performing students who received an encouragement email were more likely to take intermediate microeconomics but not to major in economics, from Olivia Edwards and Jonathan Meer https://www.nber.org/papers/w33676
April 16, 2025 at 9:17 PM
Consistent with what some sociologists have been telling - effects on school choice especially present for 1st generation students and underrepresented minorities
Reading a speech from Isabel Schnabel, I discovered the #ECB has a youtube channel, Expresso Economics. Goal is to reach a broader public. Videos-high quality-published 2 months ago total... 500 views. Says a lot.
April 9, 2025 at 8:15 AM
Reading a speech from Isabel Schnabel, I discovered the #ECB has a youtube channel, Expresso Economics. Goal is to reach a broader public. Videos-high quality-published 2 months ago total... 500 views. Says a lot.
Reposted by Julien Pinter
Social scientists take note: asking the right question is crucial to getting the important answer. @jburnmurdoch.ft.com has a banger of an analysis in today’s FT, and the right question is about media fragmentation and how we go about getting shared information. It’s not about misinformation.
The misinformation discourse is a distraction
Media fragmentation and the erosion of shared sources of truth are bigger threats
www.ft.com
March 22, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Social scientists take note: asking the right question is crucial to getting the important answer. @jburnmurdoch.ft.com has a banger of an analysis in today’s FT, and the right question is about media fragmentation and how we go about getting shared information. It’s not about misinformation.
Reposted by Julien Pinter
Understanding causality vs. correlation is genuinely hard especially on complex topics like inflation. Our research finds that 60% of Americans think high interest rates cause high inflation & support rate cuts to fight it. But high rates usually respond to inflation,not cause it
March 21, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Understanding causality vs. correlation is genuinely hard especially on complex topics like inflation. Our research finds that 60% of Americans think high interest rates cause high inflation & support rate cuts to fight it. But high rates usually respond to inflation,not cause it
Weird, but this is what Le Monde is reporting
French researcher, going to a conference in Houston, was forbidden entry to US; his work and personal electronics were both confiscated.
Why? Because a “random search” of his cell phone revealed a negative personal opinion on Trump and the Trump administration. www.lemonde.fr/internationa...
Why? Because a “random search” of his cell phone revealed a negative personal opinion on Trump and the Trump administration. www.lemonde.fr/internationa...
Etats-Unis : un chercheur français refoulé pour avoir exprimé « une opinion personnelle sur la politique menée par l’administration Trump »
Le ministre de la recherche a dit sa « préoccupation », mercredi, après cette décision des autorités américaines. Le chercheur du CNRS aurait subi un contrôle aléatoire à son arrivée, avant que son or...
www.lemonde.fr
March 19, 2025 at 6:50 PM
Weird, but this is what Le Monde is reporting
If you could also make available the "day of the survey" for the Consumer Expectations Survey, like the Fed does for its Expectation Survey (enabling papers like this: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...), that would be super great too ☺️ (the CES team told me it is not accessible to ECB-external)
Consumer inflation expectations: Daily dynamics
We use high frequency identification methods to study the response of consumer inflation expectations to many different types of events using data fro…
www.sciencedirect.com
March 13, 2025 at 7:31 PM
If you could also make available the "day of the survey" for the Consumer Expectations Survey, like the Fed does for its Expectation Survey (enabling papers like this: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...), that would be super great too ☺️ (the CES team told me it is not accessible to ECB-external)
Today we (are lucky to) have Matteo Ciccarelli from the ECB in our Macro seminar in Alicante ! ☀️ (adding to this year’s great lineup of speakers)
👉 A new macro seminar is scheduled for today.
📅🕒 Tuesday, 11th March 2025 at 14:30 h
📍 Sala Vicens Vives
🎙 Matteo Ciccarelli, European Central Bank ( @ecb.europa.eu )
📲 Title: Forecasting and Policy Modelling at the ECB
📅🕒 Tuesday, 11th March 2025 at 14:30 h
📍 Sala Vicens Vives
🎙 Matteo Ciccarelli, European Central Bank ( @ecb.europa.eu )
📲 Title: Forecasting and Policy Modelling at the ECB
March 11, 2025 at 9:06 AM
Today we (are lucky to) have Matteo Ciccarelli from the ECB in our Macro seminar in Alicante ! ☀️ (adding to this year’s great lineup of speakers)
Here is the (French) economic youtuber who gets most views in France (more than Bank of France..), I think the communication tools he uses (light, background, animations..) matter a lot for his videos to reach a broad audience, perhaps that’s useful if that’s the goal! youtu.be/zRPiNFhkb0w?...
Les marchés financiers sont-ils efficients ? - Heu?reka
YouTube video by Heu?reka
youtu.be
March 9, 2025 at 11:02 PM
Here is the (French) economic youtuber who gets most views in France (more than Bank of France..), I think the communication tools he uses (light, background, animations..) matter a lot for his videos to reach a broad audience, perhaps that’s useful if that’s the goal! youtu.be/zRPiNFhkb0w?...
Reposted by Julien Pinter
To those in the US who want to donate $ to #Ukraine, consider these options
National Bank of UKR: bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/...
Humanitarian aid (tax deductible):
Kyiv-Mohyla Foundation of America: www.kmfoundation.org
Kyiv School of Economics: kse.ua/support/dona...
Nova Ukraine: novaukraine.org
National Bank of UKR: bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/...
Humanitarian aid (tax deductible):
Kyiv-Mohyla Foundation of America: www.kmfoundation.org
Kyiv School of Economics: kse.ua/support/dona...
Nova Ukraine: novaukraine.org
NBU Opens Special Account to Raise Funds for Ukraine’s Armed Forces (updated)
The National Bank of Ukraine has decided to open a special fundraising account to support the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The central bank’s decision comes after the Ukrainian gove...
bank.gov.ua
March 5, 2025 at 11:02 PM
To those in the US who want to donate $ to #Ukraine, consider these options
National Bank of UKR: bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/...
Humanitarian aid (tax deductible):
Kyiv-Mohyla Foundation of America: www.kmfoundation.org
Kyiv School of Economics: kse.ua/support/dona...
Nova Ukraine: novaukraine.org
National Bank of UKR: bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/...
Humanitarian aid (tax deductible):
Kyiv-Mohyla Foundation of America: www.kmfoundation.org
Kyiv School of Economics: kse.ua/support/dona...
Nova Ukraine: novaukraine.org
This Friday I will be at the ECB presenting my work at this internal workshop, happy to meet researchers around
March 5, 2025 at 2:03 PM
This Friday I will be at the ECB presenting my work at this internal workshop, happy to meet researchers around
Staggering stats -and great to see research flourishing in this area. > than 50% of academics said to come from the 20% richest families, 5% from the poorest 20%. Father’s occupation predicts professors’ discipline choice. Difference in research agenda identified too papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Climbing the Ivory Tower: How Socio-Economic Background Shapes Academia
We explore how socioeconomic background shapes academia, collecting the largest dataset of U.S. academics' backgrounds and research output. Individuals from poo
papers.ssrn.com
December 27, 2024 at 10:46 AM
Staggering stats -and great to see research flourishing in this area. > than 50% of academics said to come from the 20% richest families, 5% from the poorest 20%. Father’s occupation predicts professors’ discipline choice. Difference in research agenda identified too papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Reposted by Julien Pinter
Despite a large increase in the share of lower-income students in the college-going population, their representation at elite private or public colleges has remained at similarly low levels throughout the last century, from Abramitzky, Kowalski, Pérez, and Price https://www.nber.org/papers/w33164
November 22, 2024 at 4:00 PM
Despite a large increase in the share of lower-income students in the college-going population, their representation at elite private or public colleges has remained at similarly low levels throughout the last century, from Abramitzky, Kowalski, Pérez, and Price https://www.nber.org/papers/w33164
Hola Santiago. Podrias por favor anadir @ivanpaya-econ.bsky.social (y yo si está abierto a economistas que trabajan en España :) )
November 21, 2024 at 10:52 AM
Hola Santiago. Podrias por favor anadir @ivanpaya-econ.bsky.social (y yo si está abierto a economistas que trabajan en España :) )