John Malloy
@jsmalloy.com
Civic, Electoral & Advocacy Analytics | Kentuckian in DC | 🏳️🌈 he/him/his | views my own
Reposted by John Malloy
Immigration salience has less to do with aggregate Immigration numbers than
- visibility of boats & asylum > visas
- general vibes about integration
- elite cues from media & political discourse in shaping public perceptions
This is more true when immigration is falling then when it is rising
- visibility of boats & asylum > visas
- general vibes about integration
- elite cues from media & political discourse in shaping public perceptions
This is more true when immigration is falling then when it is rising
December 21, 2025 at 12:12 PM
Immigration salience has less to do with aggregate Immigration numbers than
- visibility of boats & asylum > visas
- general vibes about integration
- elite cues from media & political discourse in shaping public perceptions
This is more true when immigration is falling then when it is rising
- visibility of boats & asylum > visas
- general vibes about integration
- elite cues from media & political discourse in shaping public perceptions
This is more true when immigration is falling then when it is rising
Reposted by John Malloy
President Donald Trump came to North Carolina on Friday to talk about the economy.
He ended up explaining how his wife organizes her lingerie drawer.
He ended up explaining how his wife organizes her lingerie drawer.
Trump talks about neuroses, purchasing chairs and his wife’s underwear drawer in latest affordability speech | CNN Politics
President Donald Trump came to North Carolina on Friday to talk about the economy.
www.cnn.com
December 21, 2025 at 2:05 AM
President Donald Trump came to North Carolina on Friday to talk about the economy.
He ended up explaining how his wife organizes her lingerie drawer.
He ended up explaining how his wife organizes her lingerie drawer.
Reposted by John Malloy
how to handle the what now
Wet rat winter? How to handle toilet rats after Washington's heavy rain
Rats finding their way through plumbing and up through toilets is nothing new. But after heavy rain and flooding, like the record-setting floods Washington state experienced in December 2025, can forc...
www.kuow.org
December 20, 2025 at 9:34 PM
how to handle the what now
Reposted by John Malloy
This is one of the pictures the Justice Department removed from the Epstein files release:
A picture of a table with framed photos of Epstein and famous people. There are two photos of Trump in the picture — including one of him surrounded by women in bathing suits.
A picture of a table with framed photos of Epstein and famous people. There are two photos of Trump in the picture — including one of him surrounded by women in bathing suits.
December 20, 2025 at 11:15 PM
This is one of the pictures the Justice Department removed from the Epstein files release:
A picture of a table with framed photos of Epstein and famous people. There are two photos of Trump in the picture — including one of him surrounded by women in bathing suits.
A picture of a table with framed photos of Epstein and famous people. There are two photos of Trump in the picture — including one of him surrounded by women in bathing suits.
Reposted by John Malloy
Things are going great over at X, The Everything App
December 18, 2025 at 11:48 PM
Things are going great over at X, The Everything App
Reposted by John Malloy
Muting a Black woman to claim the vote was unanimous is so incredibly on the nose
The White House claims the vote to rename the Kennedy Center was “unanimous.” That is false. I was muted on the call and denied the opportunity to speak or register my opposition. That is not consensus. That is censorship.
December 18, 2025 at 10:22 PM
Muting a Black woman to claim the vote was unanimous is so incredibly on the nose
Reposted by John Malloy
The further away from the election, the further pundit discourse gets from these basic facts. But it makes for a smarter discussion if you remember these basic facts. /3
December 11, 2025 at 4:26 PM
The further away from the election, the further pundit discourse gets from these basic facts. But it makes for a smarter discussion if you remember these basic facts. /3
Reposted by John Malloy
There was a swing toward Trump across the whole country, but it was bigger in the states exposed to very little campaign messaging. Harris presidential campaign messages appear to have been more effective than Trump's. She lost b/c of that general swing, likely caused by economic concerns. /2
December 11, 2025 at 4:25 PM
There was a swing toward Trump across the whole country, but it was bigger in the states exposed to very little campaign messaging. Harris presidential campaign messages appear to have been more effective than Trump's. She lost b/c of that general swing, likely caused by economic concerns. /2
Reposted by John Malloy
Sadly, I realize liking Heather Cox Richardson’s blog posts means I have a disease that makes me immediately divorce my husband who is $200k in debt to FanDuel.
December 17, 2025 at 12:55 AM
Sadly, I realize liking Heather Cox Richardson’s blog posts means I have a disease that makes me immediately divorce my husband who is $200k in debt to FanDuel.
Reposted by John Malloy
A quite startling overperformance for Democrats in tonight's special election for a state Senate seat in Kentucky:
Democrat Gary Clemons won 72% to 25%.
He was defending a Dem-held seat where Kamala Harris beat Trump by 5% last year.
Democrat Gary Clemons won 72% to 25%.
He was defending a Dem-held seat where Kamala Harris beat Trump by 5% last year.
December 17, 2025 at 12:31 AM
A quite startling overperformance for Democrats in tonight's special election for a state Senate seat in Kentucky:
Democrat Gary Clemons won 72% to 25%.
He was defending a Dem-held seat where Kamala Harris beat Trump by 5% last year.
Democrat Gary Clemons won 72% to 25%.
He was defending a Dem-held seat where Kamala Harris beat Trump by 5% last year.
Reposted by John Malloy
Everyone is focused on the "alcoholic personality" quote, but what Wiles is essentially saying is that she can work with Trump because she learned to manage her alcoholic, abusive father. Props for self-awareness, I guess, but did she confuse this reporter with her therapist?
December 16, 2025 at 7:22 PM
Everyone is focused on the "alcoholic personality" quote, but what Wiles is essentially saying is that she can work with Trump because she learned to manage her alcoholic, abusive father. Props for self-awareness, I guess, but did she confuse this reporter with her therapist?
Reposted by John Malloy
Reposted by John Malloy
Rob Reiner was one of the key people behind the effort to go to court to overturn California's anti-marriage equality Proposition 8 when it passed in 2008.
Working with Chad Griffin, they founded the American Foundation for Equal Rights and got Ted Olson and David Boies to team up to fight Prop 8.
Working with Chad Griffin, they founded the American Foundation for Equal Rights and got Ted Olson and David Boies to team up to fight Prop 8.
December 15, 2025 at 3:55 AM
Rob Reiner was one of the key people behind the effort to go to court to overturn California's anti-marriage equality Proposition 8 when it passed in 2008.
Working with Chad Griffin, they founded the American Foundation for Equal Rights and got Ted Olson and David Boies to team up to fight Prop 8.
Working with Chad Griffin, they founded the American Foundation for Equal Rights and got Ted Olson and David Boies to team up to fight Prop 8.
Reposted by John Malloy
Remembering the time in CCD as a child when I raised my hand really high and eager like IF GOD LOVES US WHY IS THERE SUFFERING??? And the teacher, Mrs Murphy, a mother of three with a thick Brooklyn accent, sighed, pinched the bridge of her nose, and said, “Donegan, I’m having a hard day, alright?”
December 13, 2025 at 2:15 PM
Remembering the time in CCD as a child when I raised my hand really high and eager like IF GOD LOVES US WHY IS THERE SUFFERING??? And the teacher, Mrs Murphy, a mother of three with a thick Brooklyn accent, sighed, pinched the bridge of her nose, and said, “Donegan, I’m having a hard day, alright?”
Reposted by John Malloy
Polling: "Do you think the rich have too much political power in the U.S.?"
Yes: 80%
No: 8%
Independent voters are 81%/6% on this; even Trump voters are 68%/18%.
Maybe a political party could lead on this issue.
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
Yes: 80%
No: 8%
Independent voters are 81%/6% on this; even Trump voters are 68%/18%.
Maybe a political party could lead on this issue.
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
December 11, 2025 at 9:02 PM
Polling: "Do you think the rich have too much political power in the U.S.?"
Yes: 80%
No: 8%
Independent voters are 81%/6% on this; even Trump voters are 68%/18%.
Maybe a political party could lead on this issue.
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
Yes: 80%
No: 8%
Independent voters are 81%/6% on this; even Trump voters are 68%/18%.
Maybe a political party could lead on this issue.
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
Reposted by John Malloy
washington post reporter code-switching on twitter and bluesky like a key & peele sketch
December 8, 2025 at 3:41 PM
washington post reporter code-switching on twitter and bluesky like a key & peele sketch
Reposted by John Malloy
One issue with voter registration is that there’s the strong temptation for people to chuck forms with “obviously fake” names but the reality is there are tons of real people who legitimately have the names of fictional characters.
December 6, 2025 at 9:44 PM
One issue with voter registration is that there’s the strong temptation for people to chuck forms with “obviously fake” names but the reality is there are tons of real people who legitimately have the names of fictional characters.
Reposted by John Malloy
"I believe that all bullies are frightened children who deserve to be well, and whom God wants to deliver from the spiritual forces of evil that have overtaken them," says David Black, who was paper sprayed by ICE officers in September.
sojo.net/magazine/dec...
sojo.net/magazine/dec...
‘All Bullies Are Frightened Children’
A pastor’s reflections after being shot at by ICE agents.
sojo.net
December 4, 2025 at 2:01 PM
"I believe that all bullies are frightened children who deserve to be well, and whom God wants to deliver from the spiritual forces of evil that have overtaken them," says David Black, who was paper sprayed by ICE officers in September.
sojo.net/magazine/dec...
sojo.net/magazine/dec...
Reposted by John Malloy
This Pluribus ad on a fridge caused a schizophrenic woman named Carol to be hospitalized.
December 4, 2025 at 3:08 AM
This Pluribus ad on a fridge caused a schizophrenic woman named Carol to be hospitalized.
Reposted by John Malloy
The privately reported numbers are all we have to go on now, and they aren’t good.
December 4, 2025 at 1:32 AM
The privately reported numbers are all we have to go on now, and they aren’t good.
Reposted by John Malloy
Van Epps starting the timer for his swearing-in to the House in mid-January, assuming Mike Johnson applies the same waiting period that he did to Grijalva.
December 3, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Van Epps starting the timer for his swearing-in to the House in mid-January, assuming Mike Johnson applies the same waiting period that he did to Grijalva.
Reposted by John Malloy
Even accounting for the new congressional maps, a swing like Aftyn Behn's (Trump+22 to D-8.6) would net Dems 259 seats in the midterms.
Even if the swing is *half* of tonight's, Dems win the House with 229 seats
Data: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Even if the swing is *half* of tonight's, Dems win the House with 229 seats
Data: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
December 3, 2025 at 2:56 AM
Even accounting for the new congressional maps, a swing like Aftyn Behn's (Trump+22 to D-8.6) would net Dems 259 seats in the midterms.
Even if the swing is *half* of tonight's, Dems win the House with 229 seats
Data: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Even if the swing is *half* of tonight's, Dems win the House with 229 seats
Data: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Reposted by John Malloy
Some angry QTs on this on the assumption that I'm trashing Harris. Not at all. There was a silly "Harris may be nationalizing the race" narrative when she made stops in district, but big GOP money - which I pay more attention to as a campaign reporter - was flowing in right before Harris got there.
Kamala will take some blame if Behn loses - which is what everyone would have expected three weeks ago.
But to be fair, the day she got there, the Club for Growth was already spending panic money on ads for Republican voters.
But to be fair, the day she got there, the Club for Growth was already spending panic money on ads for Republican voters.
December 3, 2025 at 1:19 PM
Some angry QTs on this on the assumption that I'm trashing Harris. Not at all. There was a silly "Harris may be nationalizing the race" narrative when she made stops in district, but big GOP money - which I pay more attention to as a campaign reporter - was flowing in right before Harris got there.
Reposted by John Malloy
Just in the last few mins more votes have come in, and total turnout in this special stands at 96% of the 2022 November election. With more votes coming in Nashville, it could EXCEED 2022.
The GOP can't explain this double digit swing away with their old excuses of low turnout.
The GOP can't explain this double digit swing away with their old excuses of low turnout.
The Dem (Behn) will fall short in the TN7 special, but what happened was a double digit margin swing from last year.
GOPs try to explain these special elections away by saying they are just low turnout and their voters will come out next November.
That's not true here...
GOPs try to explain these special elections away by saying they are just low turnout and their voters will come out next November.
That's not true here...
December 3, 2025 at 2:55 AM
Just in the last few mins more votes have come in, and total turnout in this special stands at 96% of the 2022 November election. With more votes coming in Nashville, it could EXCEED 2022.
The GOP can't explain this double digit swing away with their old excuses of low turnout.
The GOP can't explain this double digit swing away with their old excuses of low turnout.
Reposted by John Malloy
The Dem (Behn) will fall short in the TN7 special, but what happened was a double digit margin swing from last year.
GOPs try to explain these special elections away by saying they are just low turnout and their voters will come out next November.
That's not true here...
GOPs try to explain these special elections away by saying they are just low turnout and their voters will come out next November.
That's not true here...
December 3, 2025 at 2:38 AM
The Dem (Behn) will fall short in the TN7 special, but what happened was a double digit margin swing from last year.
GOPs try to explain these special elections away by saying they are just low turnout and their voters will come out next November.
That's not true here...
GOPs try to explain these special elections away by saying they are just low turnout and their voters will come out next November.
That's not true here...