Jasmin Mujanović
@jasminmuj.bsky.social
Political Scientist, PhD. Author of "Hunger and Fury: The Crisis of Democracy in the Balkans" (2018) and "The Bosniaks: Nationhood After Genocide" (2023), both available via Hurst and OUP.
📍 LAX via SJJ.
🌐 www.jasminmujanovic.com
📍 LAX via SJJ.
🌐 www.jasminmujanovic.com
Pinned
Jasmin Mujanović
@jasminmuj.bsky.social
· Nov 10
I am going to assume that the vast majority of people following me on this app likely already know my work but on the off chance that you don’t: I write about the Balkans and international relations, democratization and authoritarianism. I try to stay in my lane beyond that. Cheers!
Ukraine doesn't need peace per se, nor does America, nor Europe. For their long-term strategic interest and security, which are far more important than the agenda of this or that government, all three, in fact, need victory; Ukraine's victory over Russia. That must be the aim of any coherent policy.
December 4, 2025 at 5:03 PM
Ukraine doesn't need peace per se, nor does America, nor Europe. For their long-term strategic interest and security, which are far more important than the agenda of this or that government, all three, in fact, need victory; Ukraine's victory over Russia. That must be the aim of any coherent policy.
Some thoughts on Rep. Mike Turner's just introduced "bipartisan and bicameral resolution recognizing the 30th anniversary of the Dayton Peace Accords."
December 3, 2025 at 4:12 AM
Some thoughts on Rep. Mike Turner's just introduced "bipartisan and bicameral resolution recognizing the 30th anniversary of the Dayton Peace Accords."
Some thoughts on today's House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing on the Western Balkans:
December 2, 2025 at 9:44 PM
Some thoughts on today's House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing on the Western Balkans:
Things the Western Balkans knew years ago Case No. 7,364: “Anyone looking at Europe’s choices…can see a psychology of weakness…a continent lacking courage, unable to take decisive action even when it comes to its core interests.” www.politico.eu/article/euro...
Europe’s psychology of weakness
It’s time the EU ditched its failing strategy of “react, hope, repeat.”
www.politico.eu
December 2, 2025 at 6:19 PM
Things the Western Balkans knew years ago Case No. 7,364: “Anyone looking at Europe’s choices…can see a psychology of weakness…a continent lacking courage, unable to take decisive action even when it comes to its core interests.” www.politico.eu/article/euro...
Remember there are serious people in Brussels and Washington who think Vucic is actually just pretending to be aligned with Russia: "[Serbia's] government [will] allow payments and transactions for the U.S.-sanctioned Russian-owned oil company NIS...despite the risk of secondary sanctions."
Serbia will allow payments, transactions for Russian oil firm NIS this week reut.rs/4oo1dzf
Serbia will allow payments, transactions for Russian oil firm NIS this week
Serbia's President Aleksandar Vucic said on Tuesday the government would allow payments and transactions for the U.S.-sanctioned Russian-owned oil company NIS until the end of the week, despite the risk of secondary sanctions.
reut.rs
December 2, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Remember there are serious people in Brussels and Washington who think Vucic is actually just pretending to be aligned with Russia: "[Serbia's] government [will] allow payments and transactions for the U.S.-sanctioned Russian-owned oil company NIS...despite the risk of secondary sanctions."
The charges against Mogherini et al by the EPPO remind us that corruption is not unique to Europe’s east (e.g. Ukraine). As in the W. Balkans, “domestic” corruption has often been aided by generations of Western officials who have happily gone halfsies with local kleptocrats.
December 2, 2025 at 2:13 PM
The charges against Mogherini et al by the EPPO remind us that corruption is not unique to Europe’s east (e.g. Ukraine). As in the W. Balkans, “domestic” corruption has often been aided by generations of Western officials who have happily gone halfsies with local kleptocrats.
A week has gone by since the special elections in BiH’s RS entity. With a difference of just 2.21% between the candidates, the evidence of significant electoral fraud by the SNSD regime is overwhelming, ably laid out by Transparency Int. and others. Yet still no reaction from the EU, nor US.
December 2, 2025 at 2:41 AM
A week has gone by since the special elections in BiH’s RS entity. With a difference of just 2.21% between the candidates, the evidence of significant electoral fraud by the SNSD regime is overwhelming, ably laid out by Transparency Int. and others. Yet still no reaction from the EU, nor US.
There’s really nothing significant about MJ Calic’s recent essay on Sarajevo. She is a reheated historical revisionist, whose intellectual labor now consists exclusively of a compendium of tortured Islamophobic tropes for Germany’s tankie bourgeoisie. A budget Peter Handke.
November 29, 2025 at 5:05 PM
There’s really nothing significant about MJ Calic’s recent essay on Sarajevo. She is a reheated historical revisionist, whose intellectual labor now consists exclusively of a compendium of tortured Islamophobic tropes for Germany’s tankie bourgeoisie. A budget Peter Handke.
“History is cruel, geography crueler still…This American president demands peace, even if it is on the Kremlin’s terms. And Ukraine’s leaders, like [Bosnia’s] in 1995, must…choose whether to say yes or no to Washington.” For Odgovor.ba on (un)just peace. odgovor.ba/article/5552/
Lessons from an Unjust Peace: Bosnia 1995 and Ukraine Today
It is a historical coincidence but a nevertheless instructive one. We observe the 30th anniversary of the initialing of the Dayton Peace Agreement, just as the Trump administration mounts a major pres...
odgovor.ba
November 29, 2025 at 3:10 PM
“History is cruel, geography crueler still…This American president demands peace, even if it is on the Kremlin’s terms. And Ukraine’s leaders, like [Bosnia’s] in 1995, must…choose whether to say yes or no to Washington.” For Odgovor.ba on (un)just peace. odgovor.ba/article/5552/
Analyses by the BiH branch of @anticorruption.bsky.social suggest the results in 40 voting sites in BiH’s recent special election indicate improbably rapid voting, a clear indicator of fraud (by Dodik’s candidate Karan). They say the results at these sites affect some 8,500 votes.
November 27, 2025 at 5:13 PM
Analyses by the BiH branch of @anticorruption.bsky.social suggest the results in 40 voting sites in BiH’s recent special election indicate improbably rapid voting, a clear indicator of fraud (by Dodik’s candidate Karan). They say the results at these sites affect some 8,500 votes.
An important debate in the UK House
of Lords this week re: the developments in BiH. Especially key, as clarified through this question by Lord Browne, that UK government does not intend to remove its sanctions vs. Bosnian Serb secessionists Dodik and Cvijanovic.
of Lords this week re: the developments in BiH. Especially key, as clarified through this question by Lord Browne, that UK government does not intend to remove its sanctions vs. Bosnian Serb secessionists Dodik and Cvijanovic.
November 26, 2025 at 1:01 AM
An important debate in the UK House
of Lords this week re: the developments in BiH. Especially key, as clarified through this question by Lord Browne, that UK government does not intend to remove its sanctions vs. Bosnian Serb secessionists Dodik and Cvijanovic.
of Lords this week re: the developments in BiH. Especially key, as clarified through this question by Lord Browne, that UK government does not intend to remove its sanctions vs. Bosnian Serb secessionists Dodik and Cvijanovic.
Many empires and armies have come and gone, their trinkets long bereft of luster. But the stone remembers, old peoples and their older ways.
A joyous Statehood Day to all the citizens of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and to its many friends far across its verdant hills as well.
A joyous Statehood Day to all the citizens of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and to its many friends far across its verdant hills as well.
November 25, 2025 at 2:12 PM
Many empires and armies have come and gone, their trinkets long bereft of luster. But the stone remembers, old peoples and their older ways.
A joyous Statehood Day to all the citizens of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and to its many friends far across its verdant hills as well.
A joyous Statehood Day to all the citizens of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and to its many friends far across its verdant hills as well.
Banja Luka financial news outlet reports the Bosnian Serb secessionist regime under M. Dodik spent an est. $47 million on its recent lobbying efforts in the US, funneling the money through intermediaries in Vienna, Moscow, and DC. US lifted its sanctions vs Dodik in Oct. capital.ba/skidanje-san...
Skidanje sankcija SAD-a koštalo Srpsku 80 miliona KM
Vlada Republike Srpske povećala je drugim rebalansom budžet Ministarstva za evropske integracije i međunarodnu saradnju RS sa 54,9 na 94,6 miliona maraka
capital.ba
November 24, 2025 at 6:36 PM
Banja Luka financial news outlet reports the Bosnian Serb secessionist regime under M. Dodik spent an est. $47 million on its recent lobbying efforts in the US, funneling the money through intermediaries in Vienna, Moscow, and DC. US lifted its sanctions vs Dodik in Oct. capital.ba/skidanje-san...
Emerging OS evidence backing claims of significant irregularities in BiH's special election in RS entity: in Zvornik, SNSD's Karan won by a far greater margin in 2025 than Dodik won in 2022, while trailing his boss in the total vote count by 2k votes yet with a 10k vote decline in approved ballots.
November 24, 2025 at 1:17 PM
Emerging OS evidence backing claims of significant irregularities in BiH's special election in RS entity: in Zvornik, SNSD's Karan won by a far greater margin in 2025 than Dodik won in 2022, while trailing his boss in the total vote count by 2k votes yet with a 10k vote decline in approved ballots.
On Nov 21, on the 30th anniversary of the initialing of the DPA, I was honored to participate at the "Dayton to Brussels" symposium hosted by Clingendael, the Hague Centre for Strategic Studies & the newly launched BiH-NL-denktank. You can view our discussion here. www.youtube.com/live/nvSajQm...
LIVE | From Dayton to Brussels
YouTube video by Clingendael Institute
www.youtube.com
November 23, 2025 at 5:13 PM
On Nov 21, on the 30th anniversary of the initialing of the DPA, I was honored to participate at the "Dayton to Brussels" symposium hosted by Clingendael, the Hague Centre for Strategic Studies & the newly launched BiH-NL-denktank. You can view our discussion here. www.youtube.com/live/nvSajQm...
Independent elections monitors in BiH claim serious instances of fraud at nearly a quarter of all voting sites to replace Bosnian Serb secessionist Dodik as president of the RS entity. The 2022 RS presidency elections too were rerun due to fraud. www.klix.ba/vijesti/bih/...
Posmatrači obavijestili CIK o teškom kršenju izbornih pravila: "Porodično glasanje" na 23,7% biračkih mjesta
Koalicija "Pod lupom" objavila je ključne nalaze posmatranja izbornog dana do 12:00h na osnovu izvještaja svojih posmatrača/ica raspoređenih na otprilike svakom...
www.klix.ba
November 23, 2025 at 1:08 PM
Independent elections monitors in BiH claim serious instances of fraud at nearly a quarter of all voting sites to replace Bosnian Serb secessionist Dodik as president of the RS entity. The 2022 RS presidency elections too were rerun due to fraud. www.klix.ba/vijesti/bih/...
Reposted by Jasmin Mujanović
Is EU member #Croatia tilting toward the far right? Bosnian Genocide researcher Georgio Konstandi examines the patterns: a concert featuring fascist-era call-and-response and political meddling in neighboring #Bosnia:
www.justsecurity.org/125043/croat...
www.justsecurity.org/125043/croat...
Is Croatia Normalizing the Far Right in the Western Balkans?
The Croatian government appears to embrace far-right actions at home while undermining neighboring Bosnia's sovereignty and democracy.
www.justsecurity.org
November 20, 2025 at 2:14 PM
Is EU member #Croatia tilting toward the far right? Bosnian Genocide researcher Georgio Konstandi examines the patterns: a concert featuring fascist-era call-and-response and political meddling in neighboring #Bosnia:
www.justsecurity.org/125043/croat...
www.justsecurity.org/125043/croat...
“The Croatian government’s normalization of the neo-Nazi far-right is intrinsically linked to its undermining of democracy in post-war Bosnia, a country facing secession threats by a Bosnian Serb leader”.
Important text by Konstandi for Just Security. www.justsecurity.org/125043/croat...
Important text by Konstandi for Just Security. www.justsecurity.org/125043/croat...
Is Croatia Normalizing the Far Right in the Western Balkans?
The Croatian government appears to embrace far-right actions at home while undermining neighboring Bosnia's sovereignty and democracy.
www.justsecurity.org
November 21, 2025 at 7:21 AM
“The Croatian government’s normalization of the neo-Nazi far-right is intrinsically linked to its undermining of democracy in post-war Bosnia, a country facing secession threats by a Bosnian Serb leader”.
Important text by Konstandi for Just Security. www.justsecurity.org/125043/croat...
Important text by Konstandi for Just Security. www.justsecurity.org/125043/croat...
“Pressure the weak, accommodate the strong” is a diplomatic principle as old as the craft itself, closely followed by the principle of “we have exhausted all avenues for accommodation with this emboldened maniac, are now forced into a war we neither wanted nor prepared for”.
November 20, 2025 at 12:38 AM
“Pressure the weak, accommodate the strong” is a diplomatic principle as old as the craft itself, closely followed by the principle of “we have exhausted all avenues for accommodation with this emboldened maniac, are now forced into a war we neither wanted nor prepared for”.
Reposted by Jasmin Mujanović
sometimes on campus you accidentally walk by a poli sci class and the professor is writing like “natural spheres of influence” on the board and everyone is taking notes like its real school
November 19, 2025 at 4:19 PM
sometimes on campus you accidentally walk by a poli sci class and the professor is writing like “natural spheres of influence” on the board and everyone is taking notes like its real school
Russia’s single most important and effective weapon since 2014 has been the categorical refusal of large segments of Western officialdom to recognize that they are at war.
November 17, 2025 at 5:15 PM
Russia’s single most important and effective weapon since 2014 has been the categorical refusal of large segments of Western officialdom to recognize that they are at war.
Pleased to be back in London for a series of conversations on the critical role of the UK in the security of the Western Balkans, especially the Atlanticist aspirations of vulnerable democracies like Kosovo and BiH.
November 17, 2025 at 1:08 PM
Pleased to be back in London for a series of conversations on the critical role of the UK in the security of the Western Balkans, especially the Atlanticist aspirations of vulnerable democracies like Kosovo and BiH.
AM: Romanian far-right ultras pose in Belgrade with a banner celebrating the convicted genocidaire Ratko Mladic and the Srebrenica Genocide.
PM: Bosnia and Herzegovina eliminates Romania 3-1 in World Cup qualifying.
PM: Bosnia and Herzegovina eliminates Romania 3-1 in World Cup qualifying.
November 15, 2025 at 9:50 PM
AM: Romanian far-right ultras pose in Belgrade with a banner celebrating the convicted genocidaire Ratko Mladic and the Srebrenica Genocide.
PM: Bosnia and Herzegovina eliminates Romania 3-1 in World Cup qualifying.
PM: Bosnia and Herzegovina eliminates Romania 3-1 in World Cup qualifying.
I am heartened that, in line w/ the recommendations of our recent New Diplomacy Project policy report, the UK will be increasing its defense footprint in BiH, and deepening its training w/ the BiH Armed Forces. A critical partnership for BiH’s NATO trajectory. www.forcesnews.com/politics/uk-...
UK has deployed 1st Battalion Lancs to Bosnia, Defence Secretary announces in Berlin
John Healey also announced an extension to counter-drone specialist support to Belgium after recent drone threats
www.forcesnews.com
November 15, 2025 at 3:38 PM
I am heartened that, in line w/ the recommendations of our recent New Diplomacy Project policy report, the UK will be increasing its defense footprint in BiH, and deepening its training w/ the BiH Armed Forces. A critical partnership for BiH’s NATO trajectory. www.forcesnews.com/politics/uk-...
Very important intervention by Reps. Meeks & Keating re: recent US decision to remove sanctions vs Kremlin-backed Bosnian Serb secessionist Dodik. This undermines US national security interests in strategically vulnerable Balkans & US-brokered DPA. democrats-foreignaffairs.house.gov/2025/11/meek...
Meeks, Keating Slam Trump Administration for Removing Sanctions on Pro-Russian Balkan Leader
democrats-foreignaffairs.house.gov
November 14, 2025 at 7:25 PM
Very important intervention by Reps. Meeks & Keating re: recent US decision to remove sanctions vs Kremlin-backed Bosnian Serb secessionist Dodik. This undermines US national security interests in strategically vulnerable Balkans & US-brokered DPA. democrats-foreignaffairs.house.gov/2025/11/meek...