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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 12h

My friends and I might have been a little obsessed with him in high school. It was the combination of a unique last name and his singular skill, his speed.

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 12h

Luis Ugueto.

Claire @baseball-broad.bsky.social · 16h

Mariners fans, who (doesn’t have to be realistic lol) would you like to see throw out a first pitch this week?

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 1d

POLO IS INEVITABLE

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 1d

The only reason why I have my wife’s phone number memorized is because it’s our phone number associated with our fuel/grocery rewards. But ask me what Matt, Aaron, or Adam’s home phone numbers are, and I’ll recite them on cue.

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 1d

The Dodgers and Brewers couldn’t be more different. It’s big market vs. small market. Superstars vs. Average Joes. And it should make for a fascinating NLCS. My series preview for @fangraphs.com: blogs.fangraphs.com/nlcs-preview...

NLCS Preview: Dodgers and Brewers Set for a Clash of Styles

Can the Brewers’ scrappy roster overcome the Dodgers’ star power in the NLCS?

blogs.fangraphs.com

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 2d

Championship series predictions:
Mariners in 6.
Dodgers in 7.

Book it.

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 2d

The ALCS preview for @lookoutlanding.bsky.social has been updated with game-by-game odds. ZiPS gives the M's a 56% chance of advancing to the World Series. Read: www.lookoutlanding.com/series-previ...

AL Championship Series Preview: Mariners vs. Blue Jays

The Mariners advance to the ALCS to face the Blue Jays.

www.lookoutlanding.com

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 3d

The Mariners are going to play for the American League Championship.

The Blue Jays await an exhausted Seattle ballclub in what should be a very competitive ALCS. The series preview for @lookoutlanding.bsky.social:
www.lookoutlanding.com/series-previ...

AL Championship Series Preview: Mariners vs. Blue Jays

The Mariners advance to the ALCS to face the Blue Jays.

www.lookoutlanding.com

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 4d

Humpy can never lose the Salmon Race ever again. That’s the rule.

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 4d

You’re telling me we gotta go through that again for the ALCS? And then again for the World Series. I’m gonna die

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 4d

Yeah, the location on the changeup hasn’t been great, but it doesn’t matter. They’re flailing at it anyway.

Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 4d

lol nearly an 80% whiff rate on the changeup for Skubal.

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 4d

One of my compulsive responses to stress is deep cleaning. I think it’s my body’s way of channeling that negative energy into something productive. So anyway, the house is spotless ahead of first pitch. You’re welcome?

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 4d

From 2021–24, starters who started multiple times during a single postseason series performed worse in their second start:
⬆️ +0.23 ERA
⬆️ +0.52 FIP
⬆️ +.012 wOBA allowed
⬇️ -3.1 K-BB%
That familiarity penalty will be a big factor in Skubal's start against the Mariners tonight.

Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 4d

Tarik Skubal will have a fourth chance at finally beating the Mariners tonight. A look at how Seattle has approached him in the past and if there's a familiarity penalty for starters making multiple starts in a postseason series. My latest for @fangraphs.com: blogs.fangraphs.com/how-did-the-...

How Did the Mariners Beat Tarik Skubal Three Times — And Can They Do It Again?

Did the Mariners have a specific approach against Tarik Skubal that allowed them to beat him three times this season?

blogs.fangraphs.com

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 4d

On the Mariners approach:
- Refuse to chase the changeup
- Crush the slider
- Flail at the fastball

They'll need to be patient and wait for Skubal to come into the zone. @johntrupin.bsky.social wrote something similar yesterday -- you should go read it too. www.lookoutlanding.com/the-more-you...

How do the Seattle Mariners beat Tarik Skubal for a 4th time?

Can Seattle strike twice, twice?

www.lookoutlanding.com

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 4d

Tarik Skubal will have a fourth chance at finally beating the Mariners tonight. A look at how Seattle has approached him in the past and if there's a familiarity penalty for starters making multiple starts in a postseason series. My latest for @fangraphs.com: blogs.fangraphs.com/how-did-the-...

How Did the Mariners Beat Tarik Skubal Three Times — And Can They Do It Again?

Did the Mariners have a specific approach against Tarik Skubal that allowed them to beat him three times this season?

blogs.fangraphs.com

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 6d

The Tigers pounded out 7 extra-base hits on Wednesday, en route to a 9-3 blowout win. The Mariners’ bats went silent after taking a 3-0 lead. I wrote about the momentum shift in the series and the overtaxation of Gabe Speier in my Game 4 recap for @fangraphs.com: blogs.fangraphs.com/tigers-roar-...

Tigers Roar Back, Send ALDS to Game 5

The Tigers’ bats came alive during their Game 4 victory, sending the series back to Seattle for a decisive Game 5.

blogs.fangraphs.com

Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 6d

Consider this: through the first three games of the ALDS, the Mariners had hit more home runs (six) than the Tigers had extra-base hits (five). Detroit had seven extra-base hits today while Seattle had one. There's your ballgame.

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 7d

Here’s a fun fact: 8 runs is the fewest the Mariners have scored in four games in Detroit this year, tied with the 8 they scored on 7/13. They scored 12 and 15 in the other two games. I think they like hitting in Comerica Park.

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 7d

lol, Craig, Caleb. Get outs and I’ll remember your first name.

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 7d

Craig Ferguson was not the right mop up guy apparently.

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 7d

It’s a good feeling to be thinking about which back end bullpen guy is gonna mop up the ninth in a playoff game.

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 9d

After their Game 2 win, the Mariners odds to win the ALDS are back up to 51.5%. They were just 29.4% after yesterday’s loss.

Both the M’s and Tigers have scored 5 total runs in this series.

A coin flip feels pretty right.

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 9d

And breathe

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Jake Mailhot - y @jakemailhot.com · 9d

After every single pitch, the girls are asking “yeah? or nah?” There’s been a lot of “yeahs” in the last few minutes.

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