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Daniele

@hartreefock.bsky.social

1K followers 110 following 210 posts

Process and manufacturing engineer. Lvl 1 Certified Amateur Rocketeer 🚀. #NAFO fella. Casual OSINT. All opinions are my own. Member of @tochnyi.info

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Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 31

Alabuga plant: No Chain is stronger than its weakest link

New @tochnyi.info investigation on Shahed drones and the Alabuga plant, first in a mini-series.
If the Shahed is the arrow and the launch sites the bow, today we cover the blacksmith forging the arrow.

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · 2d

End. This preliminary release aims to underscore the enduring importance of long-range strikes, whether through missiles, drones, or sabotage operations. Ukraine has demonstrated that even when facing a theoretically superior opponent, airspace can remain highly vulnerable.

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · 2d

4/4 Investigating the aftermath of long-range strikes or sabotage is very challenging because a large fireball in footage does not always lead to conclusive evidence from satellites. In some cases, despite the fire and explosion, the damage remains limited.

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · 2d

3/4 The team analysed most of the operations, focusing on those more relevant, such as air defence attrition, particularly in the Occupied Ukrainian Territories. From an initial analysis, we have strong evidence of a correlation between AD destruction and LRS.

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · 2d

2/4 We have been analysing reports from various sources, including Telegram, VK, Russian news outlets, and Ukrainian channels. The data collection is mostly manual, but processing uses coding to filter relevant statistics for our analysis.

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · 2d

1/4 🗺️ Kinetic Operations in Russia & Occupied Ukrainian Territories

With my colleagues at @tochnyi.info , we are pleased to release today the first density map of all Long-Range Strikes, Short-Range Missile attacks, and Sabotage activity since June 2025.

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · 24d

An honour for me to be there and speak with such an eminent and competent person. Come and stay with us tonight, lot to discuss and unpack always with facts in one hand and coffee in the other!

Tochnyi @tochnyi.info · 24d

📷 Special Guest this Sunday:
Air Marshal Greg Bagwell, @gregbagwell.bsky.social
(CB CBE, former RAF Deputy Commander Ops)

We’ll talk:
– Russian drones in NATO airspace
– Escalation in Estonia
– Russia’s war buildup beyond Ukraine
– Euro-led air defense in Western Ukraine

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 31

Thank you!

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 31

End. Finally, a big thank you to the entire @tochnyi.info team for their support.

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 31

6. Disrupting nodes like Alabuga is not simple. But understanding its ecosystem and the vulnerabilities hidden within it is essential to countering Russia’s drone surge. Especially when one of the key components of Shaed is still hand-made.

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 31

5. But here’s the paradox: Alabuga’s “self-sufficient” war industry depends on fragile supply chains.
Carbon fibre production is impossible without an adequate flux of oxygen & nitrogen, once supplied by Air Liquide’s infrastructure.

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 31

4. Inside the plant, workers hand-layer carbon fibre for Shahed airframes. That carbon fibre comes from Alabuga-Fibre (UMATEX), acquired by Rosatom, aiming to hit 10,000 tonnes per year by 2030.

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 31

3. Alabuga has expanded quickly: new production halls, dormitories, and workshops. Thanks to tax breaks, customs benefits, and state investment, it has turned it into one of Russia’s most important industrial clusters.

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 31

2. Over the past 5 months, Russia has tripled its use of Shahed-type drones, now averaging 103 launches per day. Ukraine hasn’t had a single day without attacks. In April 2025, Russia launched 2,485 Shaheds. By July, 6,297. That’s a 1,378% increase compared to July 2024.

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 31

1. If you’d like to dive straight into the full investigation, you’ll find the link below. But for those following along here, this thread offers a summary of our main findings. tochnyi.info/2025/08/alab...

Alabuga plant – No Chain is stronger than its weakest link – Tochnyi.info

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 31

Alabuga plant: No Chain is stronger than its weakest link

New @tochnyi.info investigation on Shahed drones and the Alabuga plant, first in a mini-series.
If the Shahed is the arrow and the launch sites the bow, today we cover the blacksmith forging the arrow.

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 15

End. Due to its importance, we encourage others to investigate more: @rusi.bsky.social @csis.org

As always, big thanks to @tochnyi.info team for supporting this and to Jonathan for peer review and to Chris for the graphics.

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 15

5. When completed, it could intercept radio signals thousands of km away, track NATO comms, and talk to subs deep under the Baltic. A relic of Soviet “Krug” tech… updated for modern electronic warfare.
And it’s rising right on NATO’s doorstep.

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 15

4. 🚧 Construction timeline:
• Mar 2023, first new roadwork spotted
• May 2023, two outer rings defined
• Jul 2023, forest cleared, perimeter walls rise
• Jul 2024, all rings visible from space
• Jul 2025, central hub taking shape

Source: Sentinel-2

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 15

3. The site spans up to 1.6 km in diameter, far larger than most known military antenna arrays. Six concentric rings. 180 evenly spaced points are likely for vertical antennas. This isn’t a radar. It’s something bigger: a CDAA a Cold War–era listening giant reborn. 🎯

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 15

2.📍 Hidden in the forests of Kaliningrad, just 25 km from Poland’s border, using satellite imagery we noticed: a massive, perfectly circular construction. Huge size. Strategic location.
We decided to investigate. 🛰️

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 15

1. The full article can be found here: tochnyi.info/2025/08/puti...

Putin’s ears within Europe: Uncovering Kaliningrad’s Hidden Antenna Array – Tochnyi.info

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 15

Putin’s ears within Europe: Uncovering Kaliningrad’s Hidden Antenna Array

Our latest at @tochnyi.info investigation into Putin's military expansion in Europe focuses on a new intelligence site under construction in Kaliningrad, just 25km from the Polish border.

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 8

New day new challenge! Let’s do this!

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Aug 7

🚨 URGENT: We’re procuring with @KrikOksana20875 net guns to stop deadly Russian FPV drones and protect soldiers of the 93rd mechanised brigade.

Each unit costs just £380. Extra funds go to camouflage nets.

💥 Help us save lives:
www.paypal.com/pools/c/9hcr...

Daniele @hartreefock.bsky.social · Jun 9

I think this is a general rule someone in their high command came up to, and they need to obey. But since they cannot cover each plane they use of useless tire they ended up covering only those they do not use.