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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 1d

"It is also the first time a container ship has traveled from China to the UK via the Arctic": China-Europe Arctic Express heralds new direct UK - #HighNorth connectivity... h/t @vesselspotter.bsky.social gcaptain.com/chinese-cont...

Chinese Containership ‘Istanbul Bridge’ Reaches UK via Arctic Route in Record 20 Days

Chinese containership Istanbul Bridge arrived at the UK’s largest terminal Felixstowe early on October 13. The Panamax vessel completed the 7,500 nautical mile voyage via the Arctic Northern Sea Route...

gcaptain.com

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 2d

Germany: new BBK guide "Preparing for Crises & Disasters" published today... #civilprotection

SwissPrep 🇨🇭 @swissprepch.bsky.social · 2d

Heute ist der neue BBK Ratgeber "Vorsorgen für Krisen und Katastrophen" erschienen
www.bbk.bund.de/SharedDocs/D...

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 2d

Thank you - will explore! (& hope you're having a great time)

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 2d

"Jan Mayen, part of Norway’s sovereign territory, is strategically vital for NATO, serving as a key node for transatlantic supply routes and freedom of navigation in the Arctic..." #HighNorth #GIUK-NGap h/t @jsargentr.bsky.social www.raf.mod.uk/news/article...

RAF A400 Achieves Historic Landing on Remote Arctic Island

In a landmark operation, a UK Royal Air Force (RAF) A400M Atlas transport aircraft successfully landed on Jan Mayen, a remote volcanic island in the Norwegian Sea, marking the first-ever landing of it...

www.raf.mod.uk

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 4d

Baltics: "We talk about this every month, every week - at work, everywhere... Estonia, Latvia & Lithuania "are drawing up contingency plans to deal with the possibility of hundreds of thousands of people fleeing a Russian troop buildup or attack"... #civilprotection www.reuters.com/business/aer...

www.reuters.com

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 4d

#HighNorth: CAOC Bodø now opened, with "special responsibility for command & control of the airspace in the Nordic region & the High North". The plan is to be fully operational within two years... www.highnorthnews.com/nb/natos-nye...

Natos nye luftoperasjonssenteret er åpnet: Offisielt en del av alliansens kommando

Bodø (High North News): Natos tredje luftoperasjonssenter (CAOC) er offisielt innviet, etter en oppbygging i forrykende tempo. Allerede denne måneden kommer hovedkvarteret til å delta i en større Nato...

www.highnorthnews.com

Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 4d

#HighNorth: start of Adamant Serpent 26. U.S. SOF–led Arctic & sub-Arctic annual drill, with Danish, Norwegian & Swedish force participation. The exercise is "...emphasizing preparedness that cannot wait until conflict arises"

UK Defence Journal @ukdefencejournal.org.uk · 4d

The scenario stresses swift deployment, integration and sustainment in harsh climates, reflecting the alliance’s renewed focus on the High North and Baltic approaches.
ukdefencejournal.org.uk/?p=62881

NATO special forces head to the Arctic

The scenario stresses swift deployment, integration and sustainment in harsh climates, reflecting the alliance’s renewed focus on the High North and Baltic approaches.

ukdefencejournal.org.uk

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 4d

Not sure if you'd seen this... bsky.app/profile/heik...

Heiko Borchert @heikoborchert.bsky.social · 4d

"The Very Long Game: 25 Case Studies on the Global State of Defense AI" published by @defenseaio.bsky.social hast hit more than 300.000 accesses. Incredible - thank you. Go to link.springer.com/book/10.1007... to download your copy (open access).

Defense AI Observatory @defenseaio.bsky.social · 4d

++UPDATE+++ "The Very Long Game: 25 Case Studies on the Global State of Defense AI" has been on the market for a bit more than a year. This week our open access volume hit 300.000 accesses.🚀 Thank you!

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 6d

Agree. Let's hope we are able to actually see what it says!

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 6d

#3 - & beyond any joint intelligence committee focus, these are 'persistent transnational risks' likely requiring progressive response over time across 'whole of government'. This action, if realised, feels like it undermines the stated objectives in the recent Resilience Action Plan... 3/3

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 6d

#2 - the potential impacts of the Streisand Effect highlighted by @adambell.bsky.social... 2/3 bsky.app/profile/adam...

Adam Bell @adambell.bsky.social · 6d

Instead, this report has now got more coverage than it otherwise would and No10 look like pantomime villains. Someone was always going to leak this, it is too important to think otherwise. Now you have the Streisand Effect for your complicity in global collapse.

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 6d

UK: article suggests delayed but not yet confirmed as being formally withdrawn. Prompts three thoughts: #1 - to paraphrase @edrusi.bsky.social from a recent RUSI article 'Until politicians are clearly preparing... why should society?'... 1/3 #societalresilience www.theguardian.com/environment/...

National security threatened by climate crisis, UK intelligence chiefs due to warn

Report by joint intelligence committee delayed, with concerns expressed that it may not be published

www.theguardian.com

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 6d

UK: the Tier 1 Exercise Pegasus is ongoing. There are many non-governmental organisations, across sectors, actively involved downstream of the LGD's as part of the 'others' mentioned here... #civilprotection

Tim Durrant @timdurrant.bsky.social · 6d

What day is it? That's right, it's Day 2 ("containment") of Exercise Pegasus, the "largest ever simulation of a pandemic in UK history" - right now, teams in the NHS, govt depts and others are testing their approach to dealing with a possible future pandemic...

hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2025...

A written statement from Ashley Dalton MP, health minister:

Exercise Pegasus will be the largest ever simulation of a pandemic in UK history and will involve participation from every Department, the devolved Governments and representation from arm’s length bodies and local resilience fora.

The exercise is due to take place from September to November 2025, led by the Department of Health and Social Care and delivered with the UK Health Security Agency. Core exercise days have been confirmed for 18 September, 9 October and 30 October, simulating the first phases of a pandemic: emergence, containment, and mitigation. A fourth phase—recovery—is also planned for 2026. The UK Government have committed to communicating the findings and lessons of the exercise as recommended by the covid-19 inquiry and a post-exercise report will be delivered in due course.

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 6d

Thank you!

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 6d

Are any of the Leadership Salon Stage presentations being live-streamed at all?

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 6d

Germany: "...they should be asking critical questions about long-term resilience, rather than sensationalizing scenario planning & crisis exercises." #futuresliteracy #societalresilience

Gesine Weber @gesineweber.bsky.social · 7d

Very cool piece on the importance of strategic foresight and forward-looking strategy by @bressansar.bsky.social for @gppi.bsky.social :

gppi.net/2025/10/08/g...

Germany’s National Security Council Must Be Futures-Literate

Germany has finally established a national security council. To truly make German security policy strategic, the council must seriously consider foresight, and imagine possible future developments and...

gppi.net

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 7d

Sweden: "The aim is to generate knowledge that can be directly applied to build resilience against information influence..." Malign information influence (MII) & #societalresilience

Swedish Defence University @forsvarshogskolan.bsky.social · 7d

Researchers at the Swedish Defence University are launching a new study to explore how to strengthen democratic resilience against information influence - by testing countermeasures and sharing findings with the public through a new web platform.

New pilot study to strengthen resilience against malign information influence

Information influence from authoritarian states is a growing threat to democratic societies. Through misleading narratives, foreign actors seek to undermine trust in institutions and create division. ...

fhs.se

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 8d

UK: "The time has come not only to ‘think the unthinkable’ but to act on it – treating war as a real & imminent threat. As our adversaries will target societal cohesion & health systems, resilience must be moved from an aspiration to a political priority..." #civilprotection #societalresilience

RUSI @rusi.bsky.social · 9d

Russia's playbook in Ukraine includes bombs, cyberattacks, misinformation, and supply disruptions—all aimed at healthcare resilience. As European militaries ready themselves for war, the UK risks making medical readiness an afterthought, write @edrusi.bsky.social and Si Horne.

European Medical Provision in Times of War

As European militaries ready themselves for war, creating resilient medical systems remains an afterthought for the UK.

www.rusi.org

Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 8d

Drone walls: prospective EU or otherwise, & the nascent interplay of #totaldefence - #civilprotection implications...

Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 9d

In any case a bigger problem here is how far effective drone defence needs to be also anchored on cheap gear that is portable enough to move in a car and easy to use enough for a regular cop. It's not just a military or border guard challenge.

Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 10d

Norway: "Total preparedness must also apply to medicines..." #totaldefence #societalresilience www.aftenposten.no/meninger/deb...

Norske myndigheter må starte opp en offentlig legemiddelproduksjon

Tiden er inne for at norske myndigheter igangsetter en offentlig legemiddelproduksjon.

www.aftenposten.no

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 10d

#ResilienceDilemma: "We now have enough data to state that deterrence by resilience does not work". Challenging a broadly held idea of a part of resilience's underlying strategic rationale. "Deterrence by punishment is now the avenue that Europe needs to explore..." #totaldefence #societalresilience

Minna Ålander 🌻 @alanderminna.bsky.social · 11d

This week’s short Europe Dispatch with @phillipspobrien.bsky.social:

Deterrence by denial doesn’t work in hybrid warfare because denying effect doesn’t stop Russia from continuing the attacks. What a nice life we all could have had if Russia had just become a normal country after the Cold War. Alas

The Resilience Dilemma

In this week’s Europe Dispatch, Minna Ålander reflects on the fact that deterrence by resilience clearly does not work.

open.substack.com

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 12d

IYKYK...

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 15d

cc @jsargentr.bsky.social

ChrisO_wiki @chriso-wiki.bsky.social · 15d

1/ The introduction of severe new restrictions on military movements in occupied regions of Ukraine is causing havoc for logistics, according to a warblogger serving in the Russian army. As most supplies are purchased by soldiers or volunteers, this is causing major problems. ⬇️

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Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 15d

"Impact of a coordinated attack...": some useful additional perspectives here (apologies if already aware) > publications.parliament.uk/pa/jt5901/jt...

Subsea telecommunications cables: resilience and crisis preparedness

Report of the Joint Committee on the National Security Strategy

publications.parliament.uk

Guy Yeomans @guyyeomans.bsky.social · 15d

May just be a problem at my end: thanks for posting