Glaeldys González
@glaeldys.bsky.social
260 followers 100 following 89 posts
Analyst, South Andes @crisisgroup.org I Bolivia, Ecuador, Perú
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Reposted by Glaeldys González
Reposted by Glaeldys González
dickinsonbeth.bsky.social
Entering a polarizing election year, & 9yrs after the 2016 peace accord, Colombia’s transitional court laid down its long-awaited first sentences against leadership of the former FARC.

🧵 on what this means for a refreshed debate about balancing justice & peace

www.jep.gov.co/Sala-de-Pren...
Reposted by Glaeldys González
crisisgroup.org
🚨 Today we’re launching eEARTH - @crisisgroup.org
’s new early warning system for resource-related conflict.

Built on years of climate-security work, eEARTH combines data monitoring and field expertise to spot risks around the world before escalation.

eearth.io?utm_source=b...
Reposted by Glaeldys González
dmoravera.bsky.social
Today marks a year since the Sinaloa Cartel’s two largest factions, Chapitos and Mayos, fell into a deadly wave of infighting after the former kidnapped and rendered “El Mayo” Zambada to U.S. authorities. I visited the state recently for @crisisgroup.org and this is some of what I saw.
Local policeman on watch near a crime scene in Culiacan, Sinaloa
glaeldys.bsky.social
On his first visit to Ecuador, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio expressed full support on security.

He announced the designation of Los Lobos and Los Choneros as terrorist groups, pledged $13.5M to fight org crime, and suggested a possible U.S. military presence to address shared threats.
Reposted by Glaeldys González
glaeldys.bsky.social
Historic elections in Bolivia.

Surprise frontrunner Senator Rodrigo Paz, son of ex-president Jaime Paz Zamora, leads the vote and heads to a runoff with former president Jorge Quiroga.

MAS loses nearly 20 years of dominance, and the left is out of the race.
glaeldys.bsky.social
No matter who wins, Bolivia’s next government will face major challenges: a deep economic crisis, a fractured legislature, social divides and rising social demands.

The country’s stability hinges on cross-party consensus, respect for results and peaceful conflict resolution.
glaeldys.bsky.social
Tensions remain high ahead of Bolivia’s vote. Morales supporters say the process isn't fair or free, and while his calls for mobilization have lost steam, the risk of violence and unrest persist. Still, Bolivians are committed to defending the process.
t.co/ED9UHfiDVQ
https://acleddata.com/report/bolivia-braces-tense-elections-ruling-party-implodes
t.co
glaeldys.bsky.social
With MAS dominance at risk, President Arce has pledged to respect the results and ensure a peaceful transition regardless of who wins.

Preliminary results are expected on election night, while official tallies may take up to 3 days.
eldeber.com.bo/pais/arce-va...
Arce: “Vamos a entregar el Gobierno sin importar quién es” el ganador de las elecciones
El Jefe del Estado asegura que no dejará de hacer política y que morirá siendo socialista
eldeber.com.bo
glaeldys.bsky.social
Nearly 40,000 security forces will be deployed to protect the vote, focusing on Santa Cruz, La Paz, and Cochabamba. Meanwhile, over 2,000 observers will monitor the elections. The EU leads the largest electoral observation mission.
glaeldys.bsky.social
The road to the polls has been turbulent, with demonstrations, blockades, and clashes involving MAS and pro-Morales supporters backing his candidacy. Tensions peaked in June, when clashes left 8 dead (police officers and protesters), and dozens injured.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=6-CF...
Bloqueos y choques con autoridades tensan la carrera electoral en Bolivia • FRANCE 24 Español
YouTube video by FRANCE 24 Español
www.youtube.com
glaeldys.bsky.social
The ruling left-wing MAS party is fractured by infighting between Evo Morales and President Arce, threatening its dominance.

With the official candidate Eduardo del Castillo polling poorly, the stage is set for major political change.
t.co/UJqXLqJCGz
https://www.crisisgroup.org/latin-america-caribbean/andes/bolivia/counting-costs-bolivias-high-level-schism
t.co
glaeldys.bsky.social
Eight male candidates are running for the presidency.

While polling in Bolivia has historically been unreliable, recent surveys suggest opposition figures such as Samuel Doria Medina and Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga are among the frontrunners.

t.co/Ui3gkJFnyu
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/15/a-political-shift-ahead-what-to-know-about-bolivias-presidential-election
t.co
glaeldys.bsky.social
7.9 million Bolivians are eligible to vote. Participation is expected to be high, as voting is mandatory.

To win outright, a candidate must secure over 50% of votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead. But with no clear frontrunner in the polls, a runoff in October is likely.
glaeldys.bsky.social
Polls will be held amid the country’s worst economic crisis in decades, with soaring inflation, plummeting gas production, depleted dollar reserves, and fuel shortages.

For many, this election is a crucial chance to reset the country’s economic course.
glaeldys.bsky.social
🇧🇴 Bolivia will hold general elections this Sunday that could mark a turning point in the nation’s trajectory.

Voters will elect a new President, Vice President, and all members of the legislature for the 2025–2030 term. 🧵
Reposted by Glaeldys González
latam.crisisgroup.org
NUEVA PUBLICACIÓN | La maldición del oro: Minería y violencia en el sur de Venezuela

La minería ilegal de oro está causando estragos en el sur de Venezuela. Aunque es difícil persuadir a Caracas, los gobiernos extranjeros deben presionar por medidas para frenar los daños que conlleva.
La maldición del oro: Minería y violencia en el sur de Venezuela | International Crisis Group
La minería ilegal de oro está generando un daño cada vez mayor en el sur de Venezuela, a su delicado ecosistema y a su población. Frenar este daño es responsabilidad del gobierno de Caracas. Los gobie...
www.crisisgroup.org
Reposted by Glaeldys González
vmaguilar.bsky.social
Esta semana, con @glaeldys.bsky.social, hemos tenido el privilegio de estar en Quito conversando con distintos sectores acerca de la situación de seguridad y cómo el país está enfrentando la rápida y alarmante erupción de la violencia del crimen organizado en Ecuador.
Reposted by Glaeldys González
glaeldys.bsky.social
Bolivia’s Ombudsman has called on the government and political leaders to engage in dialogue to prevent further escalation of the conflict and secure agreements that ensure fair elections on 17th August, tackle the economic crisis, and safeguard human rights. 6/6
glaeldys.bsky.social
Morales, in turn, claims that the protests have been criminalised and warns that removing the blockades will provoke greater rebellion and further insurrection against the government. 5/6
glaeldys.bsky.social
Evo Morales is barred from running due to a 2023 Constitutional Court ruling that set a two-term limit for presidents.

He failed to register his candidacy in May, preventing his participation in the upcoming elections. 4/6
glaeldys.bsky.social
The government argues that the blockades are a pressure tactic aimed at forcing authorities to allow Evo Morales to run for a fourth term in the 17 August presidential elections. 3/6