Spencer J Fox
@foxandtheflu.bsky.social
750 followers 370 following 120 posts
Assistant prof at UGA in Epi/Bios, disease modeler, and data scientist. Posts are my own opinions
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foxandtheflu.bsky.social
John talks about the route of exposure with ingestion leading to high viral counts, and an inverse of this has been the possible low viral load when people have gotten eye-based infections. I think that could also contribute to the lower mortality seen in the US
Reposted by Spencer J Fox
carlzimmer.com
Today my @nytimes.com colleagues and I are launching a new series called Lost Science. We interview US scientists who can no longer discover something new about our world, thanks to this year‘s cuts. Here is my first interview with a scientist who studied bees and fires. Gift link: nyti.ms/3IWXbiE
nyti.ms
Reposted by Spencer J Fox
clauswilke.com
No university will pay $100k for an H-1B visa. These visas are primarily used for postdocs, and nobody can justify paying an extra $100k for that type of position. That's an entire additional year of postdoc funding. 1/2
thexylom.com
EXCLUSIVE: A new analysis by The Xylom's @alexip718.com shows for the first time just how much America’s top research institutions have grown to depend on H-1B skilled workers — and how this delicate balance might be disrupted by U.S. President Donald Trump’s crackdown on legal immigration.
The Most Detailed Maps of H-1B Visa Holders Joining America's Top Research Institutions
A new analysis by The Xylom shows for the first time just how much America’s top research institutions have grown to depend on the specialized knowledge of H-1B skilled workers — and how this…
www.thexylom.com
Reposted by Spencer J Fox
marklevinenyc.bsky.social
The Legionnaire's Disease cluster in Central Harlem has now grown to 58 cases. 21 hospitalized.

Tragically there has been a 2nd death.

If you live or work in zip codes 10027, 10030, 10035, 10037 or 10039 and you develop flu-like symptoms, contact a health care provider immediately.
Reposted by Spencer J Fox
malar0ne.bsky.social
From Senator @murray.senate.gov: the Senate's proposed NIH budget would reject 40% cuts, increase funding by $400M.

"We're not going to give up the fight against cancer, Alzheimer's or rare diseases."

Message to scientists: "we support you. We need you to stay here & keep this research going."
malar0ne.bsky.social
Deep cuts to NIH proposed by the White House could cause economic losses of over $1B in 13 states: California, New York, Massachusetts, North Carolina, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Texas,
Washington, Illinois, Ohio, Michigan, Florida, and New Jersey.
scienceimpacts.org/fy26
Reposted by Spencer J Fox
bachynski.bsky.social
“The Legionnaires' disease cluster is in Central Harlem. According to NYC Health, the following zip codes are affected:

10027
10030
10035
10037
10039

People who live or work around these ZIP codes and develop flu-like symptoms should see a health care provider right away, the agency said.”
1 dead, multiple people sickened in Legionnaires' disease cluster in New York City
New York City officials said they are investigating a cluster of Legionnaires' disease that has caused one death and nearly two dozen illnesses.
www.usatoday.com
foxandtheflu.bsky.social
I will be part of the School of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems (SICCS) and the center for Community Health and Engaged Research (CHER) there and will soon post announcements for postdoc and graduate student positions. Feel free to reach out to me beforehand if you’re interested!
foxandtheflu.bsky.social
I announced it at SISMID so now to make it official. In August the Fox lab will be moving to NAU in Flagstaff AZ. I am so sad to leave all my wonderful UGA colleagues, but am excited to settle permanently in the Southwest near these mountains and the desert.
foxandtheflu.bsky.social
Thank you to the authors for such a nice contribution to the field and giving me an easy thing to cite when these issues crop up 🙏 🙏 🙏
foxandtheflu.bsky.social
I think it has large implications for seasonal diseases like flu, covid, and RSV. Since initial susceptibility is so hard to pin down and reporting rates change every season, it means we need auxiliary data sets (e.g. serological data) at the beginning of the season to make predictions.
foxandtheflu.bsky.social
To get around this problem in practice we typically assume that everyone in the population is susceptible or fix the reporting rate at some reasonable value, but this paper is a reminder that those decisions wholly determine the parameters we estimate, so we need to be very careful
foxandtheflu.bsky.social
Been thinking about this preprint a lot the past couple of weeks: arxiv.org/abs/2506.07825

It says that for an outbreak you cannot estimate a transmission rate, initial susceptibility pool, and reporting rate together. This makes sense intuitively but it’s nice to have the proof
Identifiability in epidemic models with prior immunity and under-reporting
Identifiability is the property in mathematical modelling that determines if model parameters can be uniquely estimated from data. For infectious disease models, failure to ensure identifiability can ...
arxiv.org
foxandtheflu.bsky.social
This will be Qianying and my second time teaching the course and we have a bunch of updated and new material for everyone
foxandtheflu.bsky.social
Enjoyed wildflower season in the mountains this weekend and now I’m on my way to teach Simulation-based inference of epidemiological dynamics at SISMID! See y’all in Atlanta soon!
foxandtheflu.bsky.social
This is so cool to play with!
seabbs.bsky.social
The new support for claude with artefacts let me take a grant app rest day to try and create my dream .... customised chat interfaces to package docs (yes I am very fun).

claude.ai/public/artif...

rough around the edges but pretty insanely trendy
Primary Censored Learning Assistant | Claude
Primary Censored Learning Assistant - interactive HTML page created with Claude.
claude.ai
foxandtheflu.bsky.social
Great way to stay in touch with all of the amazing infectious disease modeling work happening these days:
scauchemez.bsky.social
Infectious Disease Modelling starter pack update! Many more modellers have joined Bluesky recently so this update is overdue. Pls keep on sending suggestions! (bio should contain experience relevant for this pack)
IDModelling pack 1: go.bsky.app/86Ao1a5
IDModelling pack 2 : go.bsky.app/2oBB7KX
Reposted by Spencer J Fox
fangferric.bsky.social
"The money the government sends to Harvard is not a subsidy to advance the university's mission. It's a payment for the role Harvard plays in advancing the research mission of the U.S."

"This is larger than any individual grant. What we are losing is a future."

www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Here Is All the Science at Risk in Trump’s Clash With Harvard (Gift Article)
More than 900 research grants worth $2.6 billion are in jeopardy. So is the 80-year-old model of American science.
www.nytimes.com
foxandtheflu.bsky.social
Thank you to Adam for summarizing all of these thoughts so succinctly! Go give this a read to learn about what we knew and now know about controlling pandemics
adamjkucharski.bsky.social
New piece on why it’s unhelpful to characterise COVID debate as ‘lockdowns are bad’ vs ‘lockdowns are good’ when it was really about people who claimed that COVID was 100x less fatal than it was + optimal to have a massive epidemic immediately before vaccine… vs those who sense checked these claims.
Restrictions had unequal impacts, but the pandemic itself did too. - Boston Review
Adam Kucharski responds to Stephen Macedo and Frances Lee.
www.bostonreview.net
Reposted by Spencer J Fox
jbyoder.org
The proposed sell-off of federal lands in the Senate budget bill includes a LOT of Joshua tree habitat—the trees grow in some of the largest areas of undeveloped land in the lower 48 states

The place where eastern and western Joshua trees hybridize, north of Creech AFB, is included

buff.ly/5GlLXMA
A map of Bureau of Land Management and US Forest Service proposed for sale, covering a lot of southern Nevada, southeastern California, and western Arizona A map of Joshua tree habitat determined from satellite imagery, covering southern Nevada, southeastern California, and western Arizona
Reposted by Spencer J Fox
brittanytrang.com
NEW from @chelseacirruzzo.bsky.social:

The Trump administration has reversed the firings of hundreds of staffers at the CDC, including those who work in divisions that handle cruise ship safety, STI prevention, and global health.
🩺
www.statnews.com/2025/06/11/h...
HHS reverses hundreds of CDC firings
The Trump administration has reversed the firings of hundreds of staffers at the CDC.
www.statnews.com