Joe
@electionsjoe.bsky.social
630 followers 170 following 350 posts
NJ📍| Elections & Politics | Researcher 📊 | ET 🗳️ | No Hate, All Jokes 💙| Progressive 🌳 | These Views are my own‼️ https://linktr.ee/electionsjoe
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Democrats are voting significantly faster now, bringing the GOP lead from 1.8% to 1.4% after just TWO DAYS. They are definitely on track to surpass republicans in return RATE.
Current New Jersey Mail Vote Return RATE:
🟦Dem: 38.6% (+5.5%)
🟥GOP: 40.0% (+5.1%)

2021 FINAL Mail Vote Return RATE:
🟦Dem: 66.4%
🟥GOP: 63.6%
Also, please give umichvoter and VoteHubUS a follow! They're doing incredible work with election information and maps!
Note: Not all counties are reporting evenly and some are slower than others!
Also, "IND" includes unaffiliated voters and other 3rd party voters.
In case you are new here, Mail Vote Return RATE, is the Percent of people who returned their requested ballot (By party).
And Mail Vote Returns are the total amount of ballots returned (by party)
Remember there is no concrete correlation between early/mail vote and final results!
But all data should be available to the public and it is a shame NJ doesnt have an easy to access reporting system like Florida.
2022 FINAL Mail Vote Return RATE :
🟦Dem: 68.3%
🟥GOP: 65.4%

2024 FINAL Mail Vote Return RATE :
🟦Dem: 81.3%
🟥GOP: 79.9%
(Change in parentheses is from my last rate post of October 14th)
Current New Jersey Mail Vote Return RATE:
🟦Dem: 38.6% (+5.5%)
🟥GOP: 40.0% (+5.1%)

2021 FINAL Mail Vote Return RATE:
🟦Dem: 66.4%
🟥GOP: 63.6%
Reposted by Joe
i jokingly said to someone I can never change my ~10yr old pfp at this point because nobody will know who i am
it is very funny to me that 'abbot of unreason' was a bit inspired by a friend changing her handle to 'lady of misrule' (because those two and 'prince de sots' are all names used for the master of the revels at carnival) and now people deadass refer to me as 'abbot'
Fifth, please give umichvoter and VoteHubUS a follow! They're doing incredible work with election information and maps!
Fourth, remember as always, all county offices are different. Many get backlogged or there could be issues with the mail! So always keep that into consideration!
Third, remember there isn't really much of a correlation between mail and early vote rate numbers and general election results!
Second, in case you are new here, Mail Vote Return RATE, is the Percent of people who returned their requested ballot (By party).

And Mail Vote Returns is the total amount of ballots returned (by party)
First, here is a map of the counties in case you are not familiar with NJ!
THREE WEEKS UNTIL ELECTION DAY, 2025 NJ General Mail Vote Returns by County Visualized!
Also, please give umichvoter and votehub a follow! They're doing incredible work with election information and maps!
In case you are new here, Mail Vote Return RATE, is the Percent of people who returned their requested ballot (By party).
And Mail Vote Returns are the total amount of ballots returned (by party)
Note: Not all counties are reporting evenly and some are slower than others!
Also, "IND" includes unaffiliated voters and other 3rd party voters.
Remember there is no concrete correlation between early/mail vote and final results!
But all data should be available to the public and it is a shame NJ doesnt have an easy to access reporting system like Florida.
2022 FINAL Mail Vote Returns:
🟦Dem: 62.9%
🟥GOP: 19.5%
🟨IND: 17.6%

2023 FINAL Mail Vote Returns:
🟦Dem: 64.6%
🟥GOP: 20.7%
🟨IND: 14.7%

2024 FINAL Mail Vote Returns:
🟦Dem: 56.9%
🟥GOP: 20.0%
🟨IND: 23.1%
(Change in parentheses is from my last returns post of October 10th)
Current New Jersey Mail Vote Returns:
🟦 Dem: 63% (+0.1%)
🟥 GOP: 22.4% (-0.3%)
🟨 IND: 14.6% (+0.3%)
2021 FINAL Mail Vote Returns:
🟦 Dem: 62.7%
🟥 GOP: 19.1%
🟨 IND: 18.2%
Fifth, please give umich and votehub a follow! They're doing incredible work with election information and maps!
Fourth, remember as always, all county offices are different. Many get backlogged or there could be issues with the mail! So always keep that into consideration!
Third, remember there isn't really much of a correlation between mail and early vote rate numbers and general election results!