Ed Hill
edmhill.bsky.social
Ed Hill
@edmhill.bsky.social
Researcher in mathematical epidemiology & infectious disease modelling.

Affiliations: Civic Health Innovation Labs (CHIL) @livunichil.bsky.social, @thepandemicinst.bsky.social, @livuni-phps.bsky.social‬, @livuni-iph.bsky.social, @liverpooluni.bsky.social.
Pinned
1/ 🎙️ New 'Health Data Decoded' episode! #SciComm

❓ What are the contributions of a comms manager to interdisciplinary research projects?

👤 Guest: Jenny Garden, Senior Communications Manager, Mersey Care NHS Foundation Trust.

📹: www.youtube.com/watch?v=WpHt...

🎧: open.spotify.com/episode/5nwV...
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 28 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth🧪

🐔 Second large commercial poultry unit near Gainsborough, Lincolnshire.

📊 57 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 45
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 4
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 29, 2025 at 12:00 AM
1/ 🎙️ New 'Health Data Decoded' episode! #SciComm

❓ What are the contributions of a comms manager to interdisciplinary research projects?

👤 Guest: Jenny Garden, Senior Communications Manager, Mersey Care NHS Foundation Trust.

📹: www.youtube.com/watch?v=WpHt...

🎧: open.spotify.com/episode/5nwV...
November 28, 2025 at 11:34 AM
Reposted by Ed Hill
🆕 #UKHSAVirusWatch: The latest flu, COVID-19 and RSV data from our weekly winter surveillance report.
🟢 Flu activity has increased this week following a dip in recent weeks. Outbreaks in care homes and schools have also increased.
November 27, 2025 at 5:22 PM
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 27 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth🧪

🐔 Large commercial poultry unit near Ely, East Cambridgeshire.

📊 57 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 45
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 4

🔗: www.gov.uk/government/n...
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 27, 2025 at 11:15 PM
1/ Seasonal influenza summary from latest @ukhsa.bsky.social surveillance report. #IDSky #EpiSky 🧪

🗓️ Based on data up to week 47 2025 (17-23 Nov 2025)

📊 Influenza circulating at low levels in England, but increases in activity measured by multiple indicators.

Report 🔗: www.gov.uk/government/s...
National flu and COVID-19 surveillance report: 27 November 2025 (week 48)
www.gov.uk
November 27, 2025 at 5:24 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
The WHO/WOAH/FAO H5 Evolution Working Group just released a major nomenclature update: 12 new H5 clades across 2.3.2.1 and 2.3.4.4, the result of a decade of relentless viral evolution stretching from Asia to Africa, the Americas, and even Antarctica. 🥼🔬🧪🦠🐓😷

www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
Nomenclature updates to the hemagglutinin gene clade designations resulting from the continued evolution of high pathogenicity avian influenza A(H5) virus clades 2.3.2.1c and 2.3.4.4
The evolutionary divergence of the A(H5) hemagglutinin (HA) gene of high pathogenicity avian influenza (HPAI) viruses (A/goose/Guangdong/96 lineage) was analyzed by phylogenetic and average pairwise d...
www.biorxiv.org
November 26, 2025 at 4:06 PM
❓Do epidemiological data indicate a more transmissible A/H3N2 flu strain than previous seasons?

❓ For a flu virus with increased transmissibility, earlier seeding and/or substantial immune evasion, what is potential impact on cumulative & peak healthcare burden?

👇 See🧵& preprint studying those qns
November 26, 2025 at 12:09 AM
Reposted by Ed Hill
New Paper 🍃! *Projected increase in risk of large measles outbreaks in the Netherlands as susceptible children enter secondary school in 2025/26* out now in the International Journal of Infectious Diseases doi.org/10.1016/j.ij...
Redirecting
doi.org
November 25, 2025 at 1:52 PM
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 25 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth🧪

🐔 Two large commercial poultry premises near:
▶️ Mundford, Norfolk
▶️ Lydd, Kent

📊 56 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 44
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 4
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 25, 2025 at 11:08 PM
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 23 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth🧪

🐔 Commercial poultry premises near Dalton-in-Furness, Cumbria.

📊 53 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 41
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 4

🔗: www.gov.uk/government/n...
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 24, 2025 at 10:24 PM
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 23 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth🧪

🐔 Two commercial poultry premises (near Swaffham, Norfolk; near Gainsborough, Lincolnshire).

📊 52 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 41
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 3
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 23, 2025 at 10:42 PM
🦆 High Pathogenicity Avian Influenza – WOAH Sit Rep 76 #IDSky #IDEpi 🧪

🗓️ Covers Oct 2025

📊 Outbreaks reported in Africa, Americas, Asia & Europe: 72 in poultry; 154 in non-poultry birds & mammals.

▶️ Reported total of 3,444,691 poultry birds died or culled

🔗: www.woah.org/app/uploads/...
November 22, 2025 at 9:22 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
1. #Flu 🧵: #CDC reports that #influenza activity has been "trending upward slowly" in the US over the past few weeks. This could change markedly after Thanksgiving, with all the cross country travel & intergenerational mingling. Right now only 2 places are reporting moderate activity, LA & PR.
November 21, 2025 at 11:58 PM
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 21 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth🧪

🐔 Commercial poultry near Claydon, Suffolk.

📊 50 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 39
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 3

🔗: www.gov.uk/government/n...
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 21, 2025 at 11:53 PM
1/ Seasonal influenza summary from latest @ukhsa.bsky.social surveillance report. #IDSky #EpiSky 🧪

🗓️ Data up to week 46 2025 (10-16 Nov 2025)

📊 Unusually early start to influenza season in England. Influenza activity showing mixed trends. Circulating at low levels.

🔗: www.gov.uk/government/s...
National flu and COVID-19 surveillance report: 20 November 2025 (week 47)
www.gov.uk
November 20, 2025 at 5:01 PM
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 19 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth🧪

🐔 Commercial poultry near Driffield, East Riding of Yorkshire.

📊 48 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 37
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 3

🔗: www.gov.uk/government/n...
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 19, 2025 at 10:43 PM
1/ 📰 Fantastic to see the official website for the Global Society for Infectious Disease Dynamics (GSIDD) is now live! #GSIDD #IDsky #EpiSky 🧪

🗺️ GSIDD serves the global community of researchers, practitioners and educators in infectious disease dynamics.

🔗: www.gsidd.org
Global Society for Infectious Disease Dynamics (GSIDD) | infectious disease dynamics
GSIDD serves the global community of researchers, practitioners, and educators in infectious disease dynamics.
gsidd.org
November 19, 2025 at 6:24 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
I was just internal examiner for a passing PhD viva; it's one of the bits of my job I absolutely love. Someone's put a few years into really achieving at the high end of what humans do, and the viva works to get them to demonstrate mastery of that work over a few hours.
November 18, 2025 at 3:56 PM
1/ Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in Great Britain & Europe - DEFRA outbreak assessment for 11 Nov 2025. #IDsky #IDEpi #OneHealth #H5N1 🧪

🗓️ Report period: 28 Oct - 11 Nov 2025

🔗 to report: assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/691b32...
November 18, 2025 at 11:06 PM
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 18 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth🧪

🐔 Commercial poultry unit near Milford Haven, Wales.

🐔 Backyard poultry flock in Suffolk.

📊 47 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 36
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 7
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 3
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 18, 2025 at 11:01 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
We're advertising an MRC-LID PhD studentship on modelling measles outbreak risk in teenagers and adults, with me, @amsuffel.bsky.social and @rozeggo.bsky.social
You'll design mathematical models using vaccine data and Electronic Health Records to analyse recent transmission patterns, get in touch!
2026-27 Project (Robert & Eggo & Suffel) - MRC London Intercollegiate Doctoral Training Partnership Studentships
Modelling measles transmission risk in adults SUPERVISORY TEAM Supervisor Dr Alexis Robert at LSHTMFaculty of...
mrc-lid.lshtm.ac.uk
November 17, 2025 at 1:21 PM
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 16 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth🧪

🐔 Large commercial poultry unit near Thorne, South Yorkshire.

📊 45 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 35
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 6
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 3

🔗: www.gov.uk/government/n...
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 16, 2025 at 9:32 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
"..the first known human H5N5 infection has captured a good deal of attention, but the `other' flu story we've been following this week has been the rapid spread of a new seasonal H3N2 subcade (K) virus, which emerged in the Southern Hemisphere"

afludiary.blogspot.com/2025/11/cdc-...
CDC FluView, ECDC CDT & Canada Announce Early H3N2 Subclade K Prevalence Numbers
Credit NIAID   #18,947 Yesterday's announcement for the first known human H5N5 infection has captured a good deal of attention, but the `ot...
afludiary.blogspot.com
November 15, 2025 at 8:40 PM
📰 UK HPAI H5N1 reported cases: 15 Nov 2025 #IDsky #OneHealth🧪

🐔 Large commercial poultry unit in Norfolk

🐦 2 x small group of captive birds (Norfolk,Devon)

📊 44 confirmed HPAI H5N1 cases in poultry & other captive birds from 01 Oct 2025
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: 34
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 1
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales: 6
🇬🇧 Northern Ireland: 3
Bird flu (avian influenza): latest situation in England
Find out about the latest bird flu situation in England and guidance for bird keepers and the public.
www.gov.uk
November 15, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Reposted by Ed Hill
1/ The US CDC has restarted influenza reporting!

The data support what we've seen in the wastewater, Walgreens, & genome sequencing data.

Flu rates are low, but rising (especially in kids).

70% of subtyped viruses were H3 and 50% of those were the "K" variant.

Now is the time to get vaccinated.
1/ A expected, the latest data update from Walgreens shows rising levels of general respiratory infections and also the first signs of influenza activity in the US!

We're also seeing wastewater signals in Georgia rising, in support of what Walgreens is report.
1/ A concerning flu "variant" may be driving an early rise in cases in the UK.

The virus is an H3N2, but has mutations that suggest it may evade some prior immunity.

We're not seeing much activity in the US, but that may be changing.

A 🧵 on what signals I'm watching.

www.bbc.com/news/article...
November 14, 2025 at 5:01 PM