Daniel Devine
@danjdevine.bsky.social
public opinion, behaviour, attitudes, &c.
Associate Prof, @sotonpolitics.bsky.social; Assoc. Editor, @poqjournal.bsky.social & @jeppjournal.bsky.social
ColU, Pompey, music, books, & pubs
https://djdevine.org
Associate Prof, @sotonpolitics.bsky.social; Assoc. Editor, @poqjournal.bsky.social & @jeppjournal.bsky.social
ColU, Pompey, music, books, & pubs
https://djdevine.org
I got the train from London to Florence and the first delay I had was from London to Southampton on the way home
January 22, 2026 at 9:32 PM
I got the train from London to Florence and the first delay I had was from London to Southampton on the way home
Reposted by Daniel Devine
What happens when #Trust becomes volatile? 💥
@cvalebeek.bsky.social @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social & @hakhverdian.bsky.social use survey data from the Netherlands 🇳🇱 to analyse how #VotingBehaviour is impacted by three key components of #PoliticalTrust.
Find out what they are 👉 📖
buff.ly/gT7AWxe
@cvalebeek.bsky.social @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social & @hakhverdian.bsky.social use survey data from the Netherlands 🇳🇱 to analyse how #VotingBehaviour is impacted by three key components of #PoliticalTrust.
Find out what they are 👉 📖
buff.ly/gT7AWxe
Stable or variable distrust? Disentangling the relationship between political trust and electoral behavior | European Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
Stable or variable distrust? Disentangling the relationship between political trust and electoral behavior
buff.ly
January 20, 2026 at 12:58 PM
What happens when #Trust becomes volatile? 💥
@cvalebeek.bsky.social @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social & @hakhverdian.bsky.social use survey data from the Netherlands 🇳🇱 to analyse how #VotingBehaviour is impacted by three key components of #PoliticalTrust.
Find out what they are 👉 📖
buff.ly/gT7AWxe
@cvalebeek.bsky.social @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social & @hakhverdian.bsky.social use survey data from the Netherlands 🇳🇱 to analyse how #VotingBehaviour is impacted by three key components of #PoliticalTrust.
Find out what they are 👉 📖
buff.ly/gT7AWxe
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Out now:
*A Research Agenda for Political Trust*
This excellent collection of papers points out future directions for political trust research: the unanswered questions, problems, promising theoretical pathways, and methodological innovations.
www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/a-r...
And: it's open access!
*A Research Agenda for Political Trust*
This excellent collection of papers points out future directions for political trust research: the unanswered questions, problems, promising theoretical pathways, and methodological innovations.
www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/a-r...
And: it's open access!
A Research Agenda for Political Trust
‘Low trust in government provides the fuel for democratic backsliding. There is no more important topic for scholars to confront. This volume is invaluable because it provides important insights on tr...
www.e-elgar.com
January 9, 2026 at 4:55 PM
Out now:
*A Research Agenda for Political Trust*
This excellent collection of papers points out future directions for political trust research: the unanswered questions, problems, promising theoretical pathways, and methodological innovations.
www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/a-r...
And: it's open access!
*A Research Agenda for Political Trust*
This excellent collection of papers points out future directions for political trust research: the unanswered questions, problems, promising theoretical pathways, and methodological innovations.
www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/a-r...
And: it's open access!
Some weekend reading for you
📰 Issue 33:2 out! 👉 Special Issue: European Democracy in Action? The 2024 European Parliament Elections, guest edited by @sarahobolt.bsky.social, Sebastian-Adrian Popa, and Wouter van der Brug
Read the whole issue: www.tandfonline.com/toc/rjpp20/3...
📸 © European Union 2024 - Source : EP
Read the whole issue: www.tandfonline.com/toc/rjpp20/3...
📸 © European Union 2024 - Source : EP
January 16, 2026 at 6:11 PM
Some weekend reading for you
Reposted by Daniel Devine
📢 New book chapter
👥 Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social (ISV) & Jonas Linde @jonaslinde.bsky.social
🔎 Political Trust in Norway; A Large But Lopsided Research Field
📖 Published in Oxford Handbook of Norwegian Politics
🔗 doi.org/10.1093/oxfo...
👥 Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social (ISV) & Jonas Linde @jonaslinde.bsky.social
🔎 Political Trust in Norway; A Large But Lopsided Research Field
📖 Published in Oxford Handbook of Norwegian Politics
🔗 doi.org/10.1093/oxfo...
January 16, 2026 at 11:44 AM
📢 New book chapter
👥 Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social (ISV) & Jonas Linde @jonaslinde.bsky.social
🔎 Political Trust in Norway; A Large But Lopsided Research Field
📖 Published in Oxford Handbook of Norwegian Politics
🔗 doi.org/10.1093/oxfo...
👥 Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social (ISV) & Jonas Linde @jonaslinde.bsky.social
🔎 Political Trust in Norway; A Large But Lopsided Research Field
📖 Published in Oxford Handbook of Norwegian Politics
🔗 doi.org/10.1093/oxfo...
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Please help spread the word on this, especially to those who may be feeling cold winds towards their research.
We’ve opened the call for our International Fellowships, enabling early career researchers to work for two years at a UK research institution
www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/funding/sche...
We’ve opened the call for our International Fellowships, enabling early career researchers to work for two years at a UK research institution
www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/funding/sche...
January 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM
Please help spread the word on this, especially to those who may be feeling cold winds towards their research.
We’ve opened the call for our International Fellowships, enabling early career researchers to work for two years at a UK research institution
www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/funding/sche...
We’ve opened the call for our International Fellowships, enabling early career researchers to work for two years at a UK research institution
www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/funding/sche...
Given that only a third of the hypotheses were supported, one takeaway is that our theories are crap.
This is a belated post about our paper in @poqjournal.bsky.social.
We analyzed 100 survey experiments fielded by TESS (tessexperiments.org), using only information from the proposals to identify intended hypotheses.
Here are some of the things we learned:
We analyzed 100 survey experiments fielded by TESS (tessexperiments.org), using only information from the proposals to identify intended hypotheses.
Here are some of the things we learned:
An Audit of Social Science Survey Experiments
Abstract. Survey experiments have become a popular methodology for causal inference across the social sciences. We study the efficacy of survey experiment
doi.org
January 15, 2026 at 9:33 AM
Given that only a third of the hypotheses were supported, one takeaway is that our theories are crap.
Watching a BBC documentary about the Titanic.
Of all 6 commentators, 4 went to Oxford. The other two were in the army. And none of them seem to have done anything remotely connected to the Titanic (but one was a sailor!).
Of all 6 commentators, 4 went to Oxford. The other two were in the army. And none of them seem to have done anything remotely connected to the Titanic (but one was a sailor!).
January 14, 2026 at 8:26 PM
Watching a BBC documentary about the Titanic.
Of all 6 commentators, 4 went to Oxford. The other two were in the army. And none of them seem to have done anything remotely connected to the Titanic (but one was a sailor!).
Of all 6 commentators, 4 went to Oxford. The other two were in the army. And none of them seem to have done anything remotely connected to the Titanic (but one was a sailor!).
Reposted by Daniel Devine
A postdoc is available at @sotonpolitics.bsky.social in a Horizon project on 'the emotional expressions of grievance politics and implications for democratic governance':
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DQD118/r...
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DQD118/r...
Research Fellow in Emotions and Grievance Politics at University of Southampton
Looking for a new job opportunity in academia? Check out this job opening for a Research Fellow in Emotions and Grievance Politics on jobs.ac.uk!
www.jobs.ac.uk
January 14, 2026 at 12:59 PM
A postdoc is available at @sotonpolitics.bsky.social in a Horizon project on 'the emotional expressions of grievance politics and implications for democratic governance':
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DQD118/r...
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DQD118/r...
Reposted by Daniel Devine
From November 2025 -
The Politics of Imperial Nostalgia - https://cup.org/4p1QbRA
"right-wing opposition to criticism of the imperial past is stronger than left-wing support"
- Christopher Claassen & @danjdevine.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
The Politics of Imperial Nostalgia - https://cup.org/4p1QbRA
"right-wing opposition to criticism of the imperial past is stronger than left-wing support"
- Christopher Claassen & @danjdevine.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
January 14, 2026 at 7:10 AM
From November 2025 -
The Politics of Imperial Nostalgia - https://cup.org/4p1QbRA
"right-wing opposition to criticism of the imperial past is stronger than left-wing support"
- Christopher Claassen & @danjdevine.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
The Politics of Imperial Nostalgia - https://cup.org/4p1QbRA
"right-wing opposition to criticism of the imperial past is stronger than left-wing support"
- Christopher Claassen & @danjdevine.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Reposted by Daniel Devine
We are happy to release the Paths to Power Dashboard. It is the perfect tool for politics nerds!
You can find it here: ptp.isv.sv.uio.no/ptp/
It allows you to explore governments from 1966-2021 using the PtP and WhoGov datasets. See examples below.
The app has been programmed by Stuart Bramwell.
You can find it here: ptp.isv.sv.uio.no/ptp/
It allows you to explore governments from 1966-2021 using the PtP and WhoGov datasets. See examples below.
The app has been programmed by Stuart Bramwell.
January 14, 2026 at 11:44 AM
We are happy to release the Paths to Power Dashboard. It is the perfect tool for politics nerds!
You can find it here: ptp.isv.sv.uio.no/ptp/
It allows you to explore governments from 1966-2021 using the PtP and WhoGov datasets. See examples below.
The app has been programmed by Stuart Bramwell.
You can find it here: ptp.isv.sv.uio.no/ptp/
It allows you to explore governments from 1966-2021 using the PtP and WhoGov datasets. See examples below.
The app has been programmed by Stuart Bramwell.
A postdoc is available at @sotonpolitics.bsky.social in a Horizon project on 'the emotional expressions of grievance politics and implications for democratic governance':
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DQD118/r...
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DQD118/r...
Research Fellow in Emotions and Grievance Politics at University of Southampton
Looking for a new job opportunity in academia? Check out this job opening for a Research Fellow in Emotions and Grievance Politics on jobs.ac.uk!
www.jobs.ac.uk
January 14, 2026 at 12:59 PM
A postdoc is available at @sotonpolitics.bsky.social in a Horizon project on 'the emotional expressions of grievance politics and implications for democratic governance':
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DQD118/r...
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DQD118/r...
Reposted by Daniel Devine
What do people in England think about their local area? In this short report I take a look at surveys we conducted with @yougov.co.uk in 2022, 2024 and 2025 to gain some insights...
Some key findings...
Some key findings...
Perspectives on Place: what the English think about their local area
www.southampton.ac.uk
January 13, 2026 at 9:21 AM
What do people in England think about their local area? In this short report I take a look at surveys we conducted with @yougov.co.uk in 2022, 2024 and 2025 to gain some insights...
Some key findings...
Some key findings...
Reposted by Daniel Devine
If you work on any aspect of trust and politics, you'll definitely want to check out this agenda-setting collection co-edited by our brilliant colleague @danjdevine.bsky.social. Plus, it's open access and free for all! #polisky #commsky #socsky #econsky
A positive end to the first week back is that the book is now fully available. It's not on their website yet, but it is on mine.
I'm really happy with how it turned out and grateful to all the authors.
Hope it's useful.
🙌 djdevineorg.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...
I'm really happy with how it turned out and grateful to all the authors.
Hope it's useful.
🙌 djdevineorg.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...
January 12, 2026 at 8:40 AM
If you work on any aspect of trust and politics, you'll definitely want to check out this agenda-setting collection co-edited by our brilliant colleague @danjdevine.bsky.social. Plus, it's open access and free for all! #polisky #commsky #socsky #econsky
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Important agenda setter on public trust, including the who's who in that area.
A positive end to the first week back is that the book is now fully available. It's not on their website yet, but it is on mine.
I'm really happy with how it turned out and grateful to all the authors.
Hope it's useful.
🙌 djdevineorg.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...
I'm really happy with how it turned out and grateful to all the authors.
Hope it's useful.
🙌 djdevineorg.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...
January 12, 2026 at 5:24 AM
Important agenda setter on public trust, including the who's who in that area.
Reposted by Daniel Devine
A positive end to the first week back is that the book is now fully available. It's not on their website yet, but it is on mine.
I'm really happy with how it turned out and grateful to all the authors.
Hope it's useful.
🙌 djdevineorg.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...
I'm really happy with how it turned out and grateful to all the authors.
Hope it's useful.
🙌 djdevineorg.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...
January 9, 2026 at 5:02 PM
A positive end to the first week back is that the book is now fully available. It's not on their website yet, but it is on mine.
I'm really happy with how it turned out and grateful to all the authors.
Hope it's useful.
🙌 djdevineorg.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...
I'm really happy with how it turned out and grateful to all the authors.
Hope it's useful.
🙌 djdevineorg.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...
Record attendance for the south coast derby in the women's second division ⚽🔵
January 10, 2026 at 7:34 PM
Record attendance for the south coast derby in the women's second division ⚽🔵
A positive end to the first week back is that the book is now fully available. It's not on their website yet, but it is on mine.
I'm really happy with how it turned out and grateful to all the authors.
Hope it's useful.
🙌 djdevineorg.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...
I'm really happy with how it turned out and grateful to all the authors.
Hope it's useful.
🙌 djdevineorg.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...
January 9, 2026 at 5:02 PM
A positive end to the first week back is that the book is now fully available. It's not on their website yet, but it is on mine.
I'm really happy with how it turned out and grateful to all the authors.
Hope it's useful.
🙌 djdevineorg.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...
I'm really happy with how it turned out and grateful to all the authors.
Hope it's useful.
🙌 djdevineorg.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...
After the 2015 election I was pretty sad and wondering how bad things would get. Anyway, fast forward 11 years
Grok AI: is it legal to produce or post undressed images of people without their consent?
Grok AI: is it legal to produce or post undressed images of people without their consent?
Deluge of ‘nudified’ images on social media platform X raises questions about regulation of use of AI technologies
www.theguardian.com
January 9, 2026 at 9:36 AM
After the 2015 election I was pretty sad and wondering how bad things would get. Anyway, fast forward 11 years
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Last day to submit your paper(s)!
🚨Working on economic inequality perceptions and support for redistribution? Sonja Zmerli and I are coordinating a Section about perceived economic inequality at the next @ecpr.bsky.social's General Conference.
👉 Do consider submit your paper! ecpr.eu/Events/Event...
@vd-researchgroup.bsky.social
👉 Do consider submit your paper! ecpr.eu/Events/Event...
@vd-researchgroup.bsky.social
Exploring the intricacies of citizens' economic inequality perceptions and their redistributive correlates: Ill-informed, attitudinally incoherent, or predictably irrational?
European Consortium for Political Research
ecpr.eu
January 9, 2026 at 7:49 AM
Last day to submit your paper(s)!
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Very happy to see this out in CPS! We study class identities and their social and political relevance over several decades in Britain, Denmark, Norway, and the US. A small thread:
journals.sagepub.com/eprint/SIRW4...
journals.sagepub.com/eprint/SIRW4...
January 8, 2026 at 9:27 AM
Very happy to see this out in CPS! We study class identities and their social and political relevance over several decades in Britain, Denmark, Norway, and the US. A small thread:
journals.sagepub.com/eprint/SIRW4...
journals.sagepub.com/eprint/SIRW4...
Reposted by Daniel Devine
I am re-upping this as a reminder that @polbehavior.bsky.social is looking for a new editor! Editing was the most rewarding part of my career and I encourage folks to think about applying.
Political Scientists: I am the chair of the committee that is picking the next editor of @polbehavior.bsky.social. If you are interested, I'd be happy to chat about it (and I know the current editors would be too).
You can find the call for proposals here:
You can find the call for proposals here:
Political Behavior
NOTE FROM THE EDITORS OF POLITICAL BEHAVIOR:
We have recently transitioned from Editorial Manager to SNAPP. The submission process for SNAPP requires ...
link.springer.com
January 7, 2026 at 5:46 PM
I am re-upping this as a reminder that @polbehavior.bsky.social is looking for a new editor! Editing was the most rewarding part of my career and I encourage folks to think about applying.
Reposted by Daniel Devine
Populists and socialists are more likely than other politicians to come from lower-class families, and social democrats to have less educated parents. Yet both groups are just as likely to have highly educated and higher class friends and partners journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
Are socialists and populists better connected to the working class? Comparing politicians’ intimate social ties in 13 countries - Nino Junius, Stefaan Walgrave, 2025
Populist and social democrat parties often claim to better represent lower socio-economic status (SES) citizens, yet existing research shows their elected polit...
journals.sagepub.com
January 7, 2026 at 7:29 AM
Populists and socialists are more likely than other politicians to come from lower-class families, and social democrats to have less educated parents. Yet both groups are just as likely to have highly educated and higher class friends and partners journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
V happy to have another great paper published @jeppjournal.bsky.social
🥳 New year, new publication
📑"Contested memories: the political effects of de-commemoration proposals" @jeppjournal.bsky.social
With Francesco Colombo, we study a street renaming proposal in Berlin and find -contrary to conventional wisdom- no political backlash, but a positive feedback effect.
📑"Contested memories: the political effects of de-commemoration proposals" @jeppjournal.bsky.social
With Francesco Colombo, we study a street renaming proposal in Berlin and find -contrary to conventional wisdom- no political backlash, but a positive feedback effect.
January 7, 2026 at 10:32 AM
V happy to have another great paper published @jeppjournal.bsky.social
But at least the first and last aren't irrational. We've regularly seen violent protests over the last year and are regularly warned about the potential for cyber attacks.
Britain has talked itself into a flat tailspin. Had weeks of ppl telling me that the country's on the verge of catastrophe. In reality real wages are rising and the economy growing. God alone knows what ppl would say if we went back to the early 80s, 17% interest rates and four million unemployed.
January 6, 2026 at 11:52 AM
But at least the first and last aren't irrational. We've regularly seen violent protests over the last year and are regularly warned about the potential for cyber attacks.