Bryan Knowles
@brykno.bsky.social
Contributing Writer, FTN/DVOA
https://ko-fi.com/bryanknowles
https://ftnfantasy.com/contributor/bryanknowles
https://ko-fi.com/bryanknowles
https://ftnfantasy.com/contributor/bryanknowles
One more scenario update for tonight -- the Ravens losing is, once again, good for every team trying to scramble for a playoff slot.
The Titans Miracle Scenario continues unabated!
The Titans Miracle Scenario continues unabated!
November 28, 2025 at 4:47 AM
One more scenario update for tonight -- the Ravens losing is, once again, good for every team trying to scramble for a playoff slot.
The Titans Miracle Scenario continues unabated!
The Titans Miracle Scenario continues unabated!
With Cincinnati's win, both the Bengals AND Browns remain alive in the AFC North.
November 28, 2025 at 4:45 AM
With Cincinnati's win, both the Bengals AND Browns remain alive in the AFC North.
Updated AFC elimination scenarios after the Chiefs' loss -- a good result for everyone still scrapping for spots.
Perhaps most notably, the Jets now need the Bills AND Jags to win to get knocked out this week.
Perhaps most notably, the Jets now need the Bills AND Jags to win to get knocked out this week.
November 28, 2025 at 1:11 AM
Updated AFC elimination scenarios after the Chiefs' loss -- a good result for everyone still scrapping for spots.
Perhaps most notably, the Jets now need the Bills AND Jags to win to get knocked out this week.
Perhaps most notably, the Jets now need the Bills AND Jags to win to get knocked out this week.
The Chiefs' loss means the Bengals will stay alive for at least the #5 seed this week.
Anything else will depend on what they do tonight.
Anything else will depend on what they do tonight.
November 28, 2025 at 1:07 AM
The Chiefs' loss means the Bengals will stay alive for at least the #5 seed this week.
Anything else will depend on what they do tonight.
Anything else will depend on what they do tonight.
Your updated NFC playoff picture.
(Note that the Saints have also been eliminated from specifically the top wildcard seed; forgot to mark that last time I updated this!)
(Note that the Saints have also been eliminated from specifically the top wildcard seed; forgot to mark that last time I updated this!)
November 27, 2025 at 9:21 PM
Your updated NFC playoff picture.
(Note that the Saints have also been eliminated from specifically the top wildcard seed; forgot to mark that last time I updated this!)
(Note that the Saints have also been eliminated from specifically the top wildcard seed; forgot to mark that last time I updated this!)
Your updated scenarios after Lions-Packers!
Most notably, the Vikings are now knocked out of the NFC North with a loss.
Most notably, the Vikings are now knocked out of the NFC North with a loss.
November 27, 2025 at 9:19 PM
Your updated scenarios after Lions-Packers!
Most notably, the Vikings are now knocked out of the NFC North with a loss.
Most notably, the Vikings are now knocked out of the NFC North with a loss.
With the Packers' win, the Washington Commanders are eliminated from the #2 seed.
November 27, 2025 at 9:17 PM
With the Packers' win, the Washington Commanders are eliminated from the #2 seed.
A hell of a Thanksgiving slate this year. A very impactful Packers-Lions division game to start; the Chiefs and Cowboys clinging to playoff relevance in the middle, and the return of Joe Burrow in the evening.
Nevermind that this leaves Sunday bare, we'll enjoy the feast.
discord.gg/AyYaq6EM
Nevermind that this leaves Sunday bare, we'll enjoy the feast.
discord.gg/AyYaq6EM
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November 27, 2025 at 5:42 PM
A hell of a Thanksgiving slate this year. A very impactful Packers-Lions division game to start; the Chiefs and Cowboys clinging to playoff relevance in the middle, and the return of Joe Burrow in the evening.
Nevermind that this leaves Sunday bare, we'll enjoy the feast.
discord.gg/AyYaq6EM
Nevermind that this leaves Sunday bare, we'll enjoy the feast.
discord.gg/AyYaq6EM
One last one for the week. Because the Dolphins kept crawling their way up into some of these weird scenarios, let's just go ahead and put them through. Mike McDaniel keeps his job, why not!
November 26, 2025 at 8:45 PM
One last one for the week. Because the Dolphins kept crawling their way up into some of these weird scenarios, let's just go ahead and put them through. Mike McDaniel keeps his job, why not!
The Bengals, by contrast, are boring. Blah blah blah Joe Burrow is back win a bunch of games blah blah blah.
(Technically, this scenario isn't winning out, because I think CLE d. PIT is more likely than CIN d. BUF, but that's basically all this is. BAL/PIT split, BAL loses to GB, etc.)
(Technically, this scenario isn't winning out, because I think CLE d. PIT is more likely than CIN d. BUF, but that's basically all this is. BAL/PIT split, BAL loses to GB, etc.)
November 26, 2025 at 8:28 PM
The Bengals, by contrast, are boring. Blah blah blah Joe Burrow is back win a bunch of games blah blah blah.
(Technically, this scenario isn't winning out, because I think CLE d. PIT is more likely than CIN d. BUF, but that's basically all this is. BAL/PIT split, BAL loses to GB, etc.)
(Technically, this scenario isn't winning out, because I think CLE d. PIT is more likely than CIN d. BUF, but that's basically all this is. BAL/PIT split, BAL loses to GB, etc.)
Here's a fun one -- the Browns getting through due to Strength of Victory from playing in a tough AFC North.
This has the Browns winning out, of course; that's a gimmie. But that ~also~ includes Buffalo losing to them in Week 16! Normally, that's great for H2H, but not in a multi-way tie. But...
This has the Browns winning out, of course; that's a gimmie. But that ~also~ includes Buffalo losing to them in Week 16! Normally, that's great for H2H, but not in a multi-way tie. But...
November 26, 2025 at 8:26 PM
Here's a fun one -- the Browns getting through due to Strength of Victory from playing in a tough AFC North.
This has the Browns winning out, of course; that's a gimmie. But that ~also~ includes Buffalo losing to them in Week 16! Normally, that's great for H2H, but not in a multi-way tie. But...
This has the Browns winning out, of course; that's a gimmie. But that ~also~ includes Buffalo losing to them in Week 16! Normally, that's great for H2H, but not in a multi-way tie. But...
Switching back to the NFC, welcome to hopelessness, Vikings! Or, alternatively: ~the Max Brosmer era begins in earnest~
November 26, 2025 at 8:21 PM
Switching back to the NFC, welcome to hopelessness, Vikings! Or, alternatively: ~the Max Brosmer era begins in earnest~
Part of the reason the Titans are so hard to get in is because, at a max seven wins, you kind of have to let the Chargers go through and instead hit BUF or KC.
Not a problem for the Jets, who can still get EIGHT wins and then breeze past the Chargers!
Not a problem for the Jets, who can still get EIGHT wins and then breeze past the Chargers!
November 26, 2025 at 8:17 PM
Part of the reason the Titans are so hard to get in is because, at a max seven wins, you kind of have to let the Chargers go through and instead hit BUF or KC.
Not a problem for the Jets, who can still get EIGHT wins and then breeze past the Chargers!
Not a problem for the Jets, who can still get EIGHT wins and then breeze past the Chargers!
Most of the other "what do you MEAN they aren't eliminated yet?" teams are significantly less convoluted. Take the Saints, for instance -- their best chance is to just catch Tampa Bay.
Easiest path -- beat everyone, have TB lose all but one of their games.
v2.playoffpredictors.com/football/nfl...
Easiest path -- beat everyone, have TB lose all but one of their games.
v2.playoffpredictors.com/football/nfl...
November 26, 2025 at 8:10 PM
Most of the other "what do you MEAN they aren't eliminated yet?" teams are significantly less convoluted. Take the Saints, for instance -- their best chance is to just catch Tampa Bay.
Easiest path -- beat everyone, have TB lose all but one of their games.
v2.playoffpredictors.com/football/nfl...
Easiest path -- beat everyone, have TB lose all but one of their games.
v2.playoffpredictors.com/football/nfl...
One of the most common questions I got earlier this week was "what do you MEAN the Titans aren't eliminated yet?"
Well, I present to you -- the easiest path for the 7-10 Titans to get blown out in the wildcard round!
Well, I present to you -- the easiest path for the 7-10 Titans to get blown out in the wildcard round!
November 26, 2025 at 7:50 PM
One of the most common questions I got earlier this week was "what do you MEAN the Titans aren't eliminated yet?"
Well, I present to you -- the easiest path for the 7-10 Titans to get blown out in the wildcard round!
Well, I present to you -- the easiest path for the 7-10 Titans to get blown out in the wildcard round!
Reposted by Bryan Knowles
New from @brykno.bsky.social on @ftnfantasy.com is a look at our Thanksgiving Turkeys for 2025: the players that sunk your fantasy team (not due to injury).
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/jackson-...
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/jackson-...
Jackson, Barkley Lead Thanksgiving Turkeys for 2025
Bryan Knowles knows which players have disappointed your fantasy team this year, including Lamar Jackson, Saquon Barkley and Brian Thomas Jr.
ftnfantasy.com
November 26, 2025 at 2:52 PM
New from @brykno.bsky.social on @ftnfantasy.com is a look at our Thanksgiving Turkeys for 2025: the players that sunk your fantasy team (not due to injury).
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/jackson-...
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/jackson-...
Reposted by Bryan Knowles
Your Week 13 Elimination Scenario Thread!
Six teams can be fully eliminated from the playoffs this week -- the Commanders, Saints, Cardinals, Jets, Titans and Raiders. This post has the three NFC scenarios, the next one the three AFC scenarios, and then we're off to the scenario races.
Six teams can be fully eliminated from the playoffs this week -- the Commanders, Saints, Cardinals, Jets, Titans and Raiders. This post has the three NFC scenarios, the next one the three AFC scenarios, and then we're off to the scenario races.
November 25, 2025 at 4:03 AM
Your Week 13 Elimination Scenario Thread!
Six teams can be fully eliminated from the playoffs this week -- the Commanders, Saints, Cardinals, Jets, Titans and Raiders. This post has the three NFC scenarios, the next one the three AFC scenarios, and then we're off to the scenario races.
Six teams can be fully eliminated from the playoffs this week -- the Commanders, Saints, Cardinals, Jets, Titans and Raiders. This post has the three NFC scenarios, the next one the three AFC scenarios, and then we're off to the scenario races.
Most games with 50+ receiving yards for running backs. Playoffs included.
November 25, 2025 at 6:07 AM
Most games with 50+ receiving yards for running backs. Playoffs included.
Your Week 13 Elimination Scenario Thread!
Six teams can be fully eliminated from the playoffs this week -- the Commanders, Saints, Cardinals, Jets, Titans and Raiders. This post has the three NFC scenarios, the next one the three AFC scenarios, and then we're off to the scenario races.
Six teams can be fully eliminated from the playoffs this week -- the Commanders, Saints, Cardinals, Jets, Titans and Raiders. This post has the three NFC scenarios, the next one the three AFC scenarios, and then we're off to the scenario races.
November 25, 2025 at 4:03 AM
Your Week 13 Elimination Scenario Thread!
Six teams can be fully eliminated from the playoffs this week -- the Commanders, Saints, Cardinals, Jets, Titans and Raiders. This post has the three NFC scenarios, the next one the three AFC scenarios, and then we're off to the scenario races.
Six teams can be fully eliminated from the playoffs this week -- the Commanders, Saints, Cardinals, Jets, Titans and Raiders. This post has the three NFC scenarios, the next one the three AFC scenarios, and then we're off to the scenario races.
Tonight's MNF game is Cats versus People Who Want Your Gold.
If San Francisco wins, the 49ers and Buccaneers remain in playoff position.
If Carolina wins, the Panthers and Lions enter playoff position.
Now, if that's not a natural rivalry, I don't know what is.
discord.gg/Rw47FKesa2
If San Francisco wins, the 49ers and Buccaneers remain in playoff position.
If Carolina wins, the Panthers and Lions enter playoff position.
Now, if that's not a natural rivalry, I don't know what is.
discord.gg/Rw47FKesa2
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November 25, 2025 at 12:58 AM
Tonight's MNF game is Cats versus People Who Want Your Gold.
If San Francisco wins, the 49ers and Buccaneers remain in playoff position.
If Carolina wins, the Panthers and Lions enter playoff position.
Now, if that's not a natural rivalry, I don't know what is.
discord.gg/Rw47FKesa2
If San Francisco wins, the 49ers and Buccaneers remain in playoff position.
If Carolina wins, the Panthers and Lions enter playoff position.
Now, if that's not a natural rivalry, I don't know what is.
discord.gg/Rw47FKesa2
This will be Olson's third stint as Raiders offensive coordinator, which feels like it has to be some kind of record.
2013-14 under Dennis Allen, 2018-21 under Jon Gruden, and now again in 2025 under Pete Carroll.
2013-14 under Dennis Allen, 2018-21 under Jon Gruden, and now again in 2025 under Pete Carroll.
Raiders QBs coach Greg Olson is being named interim OC to replace Chip Kelly, per source.
November 24, 2025 at 6:55 PM
This will be Olson's third stint as Raiders offensive coordinator, which feels like it has to be some kind of record.
2013-14 under Dennis Allen, 2018-21 under Jon Gruden, and now again in 2025 under Pete Carroll.
2013-14 under Dennis Allen, 2018-21 under Jon Gruden, and now again in 2025 under Pete Carroll.
The Rams against the rest of the NFL this season:
November 24, 2025 at 6:50 PM
The Rams against the rest of the NFL this season:
The Cardinals, Commanders, Saints, Jets, Raiders and Titans will all have playoff elimination scenarios next week.
November 24, 2025 at 5:44 AM
The Cardinals, Commanders, Saints, Jets, Raiders and Titans will all have playoff elimination scenarios next week.
With the Rams win, the Arizona Cardinals have been eliminated from the NFC West.
The updated NFC playoff picture!
The updated NFC playoff picture!
November 24, 2025 at 4:16 AM
With the Rams win, the Arizona Cardinals have been eliminated from the NFC West.
The updated NFC playoff picture!
The updated NFC playoff picture!
If the Playoffs Started Today!
NFC:
1. Rams
2. Eagles (over CHI via conference record [7-2 to 5-2])
3. Bears
4. Buccaneers (over CAR via divisional record [2-0 to 2-1])
5. Seahawks
6. Packers
7. 49ers (over DET via conference record [7-2 to 4-3])
NFC:
1. Rams
2. Eagles (over CHI via conference record [7-2 to 5-2])
3. Bears
4. Buccaneers (over CAR via divisional record [2-0 to 2-1])
5. Seahawks
6. Packers
7. 49ers (over DET via conference record [7-2 to 4-3])
November 24, 2025 at 4:14 AM
If the Playoffs Started Today!
NFC:
1. Rams
2. Eagles (over CHI via conference record [7-2 to 5-2])
3. Bears
4. Buccaneers (over CAR via divisional record [2-0 to 2-1])
5. Seahawks
6. Packers
7. 49ers (over DET via conference record [7-2 to 4-3])
NFC:
1. Rams
2. Eagles (over CHI via conference record [7-2 to 5-2])
3. Bears
4. Buccaneers (over CAR via divisional record [2-0 to 2-1])
5. Seahawks
6. Packers
7. 49ers (over DET via conference record [7-2 to 4-3])