Bryan Knowles
@brykno.bsky.social
3K followers 91 following 1.9K posts
Contributing Writer, FTN/DVOA https://ko-fi.com/bryanknowles https://ftnfantasy.com/contributor/bryanknowles
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brykno.bsky.social
AFC Playoffs, Cont.

8. Chiefs
9. Texans
10. Bengals (over LV via conference record)
11. Raiders
12. Ravens (over CLE via head-to-head; over MIA/TEN via conference record)
13. Dolphins (over CLE/TEN via conference record)
14. Browns (over TEN via strength of victory)
15. Titans
16. Jets
brykno.bsky.social
If the Playoffs Started Today!
AFC

1. Colts
2. Steelers (over BUF via conference record)
3. Bills
4. Chargers (over DEN via head-to-head)
5. Jaguars (over DEN/NE via conference record)
6. Broncos (over NE via conference record)
7. Patriots
brykno.bsky.social
NFC Playoffs, Cont.

8. Vikings (over WAS via conference record)
9. Commanders
10. Panthers (over ATL via head-to-head; over CHI via conference record)
11. Falcons (over CHI via conference record)
12. Bears
13. Cowboys
14. Cardinals (over NYG via conference record)
15. Giants
16. Saints
brykno.bsky.social
If the Playoffs Started Today!
NFC

1. Buccaneers
2. Packers
3. 49ers (over SEA/LAR via head-to-head; over PHI via conference record)
4. Eagles
5. Seahawks (over LAR via divisional record; over DET via strength of victory)
6. Lions (over LAR via conference record)
7. Rams
brykno.bsky.social
Indeed. Jets failing the "play better football" part of the plan ;)
brykno.bsky.social
A 3-1-1 team has a winning percentage of .700. A 4-2 team would have a winning percentage of .667.
therea1wags.bsky.social
Pretty sure a 4 win team would be in first over a 3 win team
brykno.bsky.social
A Lions loss tonight would put the Packers in first place in the NFC North, dropping the Lions to #6.

The Chiefs are still not in playoff position, no matter what happens

discord.gg/Rw47FKesa2
brykno.bsky.social
A Lions loss tonight would put the Packers in first place in the NFC North, dropping the Lions to #6.

The Chiefs are still not in playoff position, no matter what happens

discord.gg/Rw47FKesa2
Join the DVOA Diaspora Discord Server!
A home away from home for fans of DVOA, Walkthrough, Scrambling, and the rest of the ex-Football Outsiders content. | 1016 members
discord.gg
brykno.bsky.social
A good reminder today that, while Mac Jones is good for a backup...he's good for a ~backup~.
brykno.bsky.social
It's a dislocated ankle for Fred Warner, per reports.

Question now would be if there's a fracture, and if so, how many. Ranges from a three-month injury to a year+.
brykno.bsky.social
Dating back to Greenlaw in the Super Bowl, really.
brykno.bsky.social
That's the fifth-round rookie, Dante Trader, who McConkey toasted.
brykno.bsky.social
I like aggressiveness, but passing up the short field goal to make things a three-score game in the fourth quarter is a bad call from the Rams.
Reposted by Bryan Knowles
aaronschatz.com
Currently, the worst DYAR game with 0 INT is Caleb Williams against the Patriots last year. 16-30-120 with 9 sacks.

Justin Fields today had 9-17-45 with 9 sacks.

Also of note: Spergon Wynn 5-16-17 with 5 sacks against a bad 2000 Jaguars defense.
brykno.bsky.social
I am excitedly looking forward to @aaronschatz.com listing the worst passing games ever this week in quick reads.

I suspect that opponent adjustments for the Broncos will save Fields from being ~too~ far down the list, but...
Reposted by Bryan Knowles
joshdubowap.bsky.social
The Jets currently have 0 net yards passing. Only teams since start of 2010 season with 0 or fewer net yards passing for entire game:
Giants -9 vs Jets 10/29/2023
Giants -6 vs Bears 1/2/2022
Reposted by Bryan Knowles
brykno.bsky.social
Both the Cubs and Brewers starting relievers for game 5 is a sentence that doesn't make sense for my brain. It really is a different game than it used to be.
brykno.bsky.social
Jaxson Dart was exciting last night, but Emeka Egbuka remains your frontrunner for offensive rookie of the year.

Let's take a look at the whole class and see how they're doing.

ftnfantasy.com/nfl/emeka-eg...
Emeka Egbuka Is Your Offensive Rookie of the Year Leader
Can anyone beat Emeka Egbuka for Offensive Player of the Year? Bryan Knowles looks at the candidates.
ftnfantasy.com
brykno.bsky.social
Because it was asked in the DVOA Discord chat, a list of teams that have lost to the Giants on Thursdays:
brykno.bsky.social
The Eagles loss means the 49ers and the Buccaneers control their own fates for the #1 seed in the NFC now.

The two worst 4-1 teams (by DVOA) are the two best 4-1 teams, naturally.
brykno.bsky.social
Step one of my "crazy, longshot Giants playoff scenario" was upsetting the Eagles tonight...
brykno.bsky.social
The New York Giants actually have lower odds than the Jets in FTN's playoff sims at just 1.1% -- the difference between the two conferences and a much harder schedule will do that. Hey, Jaxson Dart is kinda fun, though!

Let's go ahead and get THEM into the postseason too, why not.
A hypothetical scenario showing the New York Giants getting into the playoffs at 9-8.
brykno.bsky.social
Between the end of the Phillies game and Hurts not knowing what down it was, all Sports Knowledge left the heads of Philadelphia athletes for about five minutes there.