Avalonne
@avalonne.bsky.social
150 followers 670 following 1.9K posts
Certified 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 basard™. Knows some things. If you do not respect others, do not expect to be respected. Human rights are for all. 🏳️‍🌈 Any.
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avalonne.bsky.social
Almost everything I put out is a bit.
Through sarcasm, criticism, wit.

Life's but a joke and I'm always laughing, if not chuckling.
Reposted by Avalonne
bymossypine.bsky.social
🍂 Is it spooky time yet?!

#cuteart #illustration
Digital illustration of a black cat in a big round pumpkin. The illustration has an fall themed border with plants, mushrooms and pumpkins
avalonne.bsky.social
A belief system developed around public statements, not unlike when "dear dictator" would address the public.
People have forgotten that it is a civic duty to tune into addresses but it is also a civic obligation to NOT worship them.

The death of nuance is the beginning of populism.
avalonne.bsky.social
Most of the time, Italy does not report its supply. It's an old-fashioned European tradition/mindset but it works.

Germany also reported 3,000 helmets before the invasion and yet you see PzF-3 first day. So, it wasn't just helmets, and it also didn't and doesn't need to be publicly known.
avalonne.bsky.social
Money also doesn't portray quality.
You can get high quality stuff for dirt cheap. The US was always being statistically creative when it announced millions of in materiel and it was just a few Patriot missiles.
avalonne.bsky.social
But more than all that— we don't need to telegraph to the world our every move.

A lack of public scrutiny in this matter makes deliveries faster, more efficient and of higher possible payload.

So to all those that always complained about "slow"? You made it slow by demanding to know everything.
avalonne.bsky.social
Because honestly, the public at large is ignorant.
They think soldiers they think kill.

Soldiers do so much more. They build bridges, provide disaster relief, extremely expert level electrotechnical, radiological, explosive support.

They literally bring electricity where there's none.
avalonne.bsky.social
We also gone back to how Europe always did things before Biden and Trump dragged it into a competition for who gives most monetary value: MILITARY MATTERS ARE NOT FOR PUBLIC EYES

The public at large does not need to know and scrutinise everything we do regarding military aid, operations, etc
avalonne.bsky.social
They won't.
Rich oligarchs get more money for basically free? They'll pocket it.

This is where the Kleptocratic Oligarchy that Putin build reveals itself completely uninterested in his goals, unhelpful to him and eager to pocket as much money as it can.
avalonne.bsky.social
It won't have a successful campaign against NATO/Europe.
But that's the thing: it doesn't need to.
russia's goal hasn't been expansion from the moment they started reducing towns to rubble. What are they capturing? Ruins?

What we should be cautious is they're using the exact same playbook of 2014
avalonne.bsky.social
The thing is russia has enmeshed itself into every society with its oligarchs, routed money through institutions, killed important escapees of his regime (Skripal in the UK, the refugee russian pilot in Spain).

It won't go quietly. It will make it all our problem. It already has.
avalonne.bsky.social
Trump's logic is: Putin is white, Gazans aren't.
avalonne.bsky.social
Hm, seems like lack of strategic planning and thinking is more widespread than I thought.
Yet, it isn't immediatism that's causing it. No, that's just an eagerness for the NOW! NOW! NOW!

This is just... Strange.
Do people normally not think a week ahead, maybe a month?
avalonne.bsky.social
Lastly, Europe still produces materiel of higher quality and lower cost (Rheinmetall, Thales, Saab) than the US (Northrop-Grumman, Boeing), such that the US's money-value contributions to NATO are inflated by cost-price disparity.
avalonne.bsky.social
I think that with the right nudging and a cohesive policy (EU is great for that), Europe can rearm fairly fast, develop tech, AND procure materiel all at the same time with little/no economic hiccups.
This all without the US.

That was our Cold War policy— expecting to be cutoff. Be self-reliant.
avalonne.bsky.social
The US also deliberately engaged in a policy of economic vassalisation with Europe, with very limited success.
Europe maintained, though at lower pace, materiel development, production and procurement — most pieces being significantly cheaper than US-produced equivalents.
avalonne.bsky.social
I wouldn't say EU has been relying on US for protection.
I would say that during the Cold War, the US used its position far away from possible conflict to leverage materiel procurement— Europe had adopted 5.56 in the 50s only to get shangaiied into 7.62 by the US, and back to 5.56 in the 70s.
avalonne.bsky.social
I struggle to understand what exactly russia wins with time.
Maybe less pressure, the unrealistic expectation that sanctions/economic pressure fades, they think Putin is immortal maybe(?), that the russian economy needs time to bounce back?
avalonne.bsky.social
At the end of the day all "russia will steamroll Europe in a war" are miopic or just ignorant. They often quote population numbers, conveniently forgetting: the entire population does not go to war.

Some (today more than half) of the war effort stays at home: logistics, backline, intel, command.
avalonne.bsky.social
If you had thought about what you were writing a tiny bit more, you probably wouldn't have written it.

NATO falls apart?
- You're literally from a country that just joined it: Sweden.
- Quantitative contributions do not mean qualitative contributions

Ukraine war has shown the second part amply.
avalonne.bsky.social
Simply matched the level of thought gone into your post.
avalonne.bsky.social
It's like Smersh coming out of thin air after what, 40-50 years(?) with an insane, russian-financed story about Nordstream 2.
avalonne.bsky.social
I always find it fascinating how the most utterly passable and nobody of nobodies suddenly comes out of the woodwork with some "information" gathered from "spurces" that is little other than some crazy story based on vague notions, often greatly exaggerating the abilities of the entities depicted.
avalonne.bsky.social
Oh great another guy that thinks money is the indicator of everything.
You probably think Musk is intelligent, too.
avalonne.bsky.social
Ahh, foiled again by the magnificent french sarcasm! 😵‍💫
Seriously I love how sarcasm works in French, but it unfortunately doesn't translate to English equally. 😁