Troy Bouffard, Ph.D.
@arctictroy.bsky.social
390 followers 300 following 170 posts
Director of the Center for Arctic Security and Resilience - Asst. Professor of Arctic Security at the University of Alaska Fairbanks. Adj. Prof. at the U.S. Army War College. Research Fellow at West Point - MWI. Former Congressional Fellow - Arctic Advisor
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Reposted by Troy Bouffard, Ph.D.
Happy Monday! What an excellent way to start our week with comments from Rob Huebert and @arctictroy.bsky.social
www.wsj.com
Aurora is going strong again tonight.
So, rather than probing weakness and causing any mistakes, Putin forced NATO into a stronger, more unified posture. A costly error overall.
The ROE tightened against Russia, leading to a SACEUR advantage. Exposed an immediate cost imbalance against NATO relevant actors, but long term against Russia since this incident will likely justify sustained budget and posture.
My thought is that this wasn’t just symbolism. The incursion shut Polish airports, threatened Rzeszów (NATO’s Ukraine lifeline), and led directly to Operation Eastern Sentry—new allied jets, radars, and air defenses on the eastern flank. Poland also took it to the UNSC, building broader legitimacy.
Really solid piece on Poland’s Article 4 move after the Russian drone incursion. Paul is right: Warsaw used the consultation clause as a kind of “Article 5 lite,” showing how NATO’s political machinery works before anyone talks about collective defense. Smart framing.
"The ability to choose the right tool at the right moment—whether to attract, persuade, deter, or compel—gives Chinese delegations a level of tactical versatility that few states can match."

@marclanteigne.bsky.social and I on "China's 'Deep-Bench' Diplomatic Power"

tinyurl.com/2zdwjp3u
Grateful to my brilliant co-authors Whitney Lackenbauer and @marclanteigne.bsky.social for their efforts to help provide these two contributions on important topics in this inaugural edition of the new USINDOPACOM journal 'Strategic Horizons'.

shorturl.at/Ox3Vs

shorturl.at/IgeJU
Worst one isn't on the list:

Your beliefs.
Some of this is known as belief perseverance. Beliefs are basically undefeatable. Other cognitive aspects help explain more, esp. how to weaponize it. Combined with how Chris Hayes masterfully explains the power of treating and capturing attention as the essential human commodity, things get clearer
Thank you Thomas. My co-authors are the reason this came together nicely, esp. Les. He's an absolute legend. Every commander's office that I've been in always has his books on their shelves.
Absolutely delighted this work is finally out in the new quarterly edition of the U.S. Army War College journal, 'Parameters':

press.armywarcollege.edu/cgi/viewcont...
Reposted by Troy Bouffard, Ph.D.
Perhaps there will be a commemorative playing of the Pipe Bomb Organ.