Adanthar
@adanthar.bsky.social
Semi-retiredly shitposting online on a new blue website
Pinned
obviously the gimmick here is that all these charts are inverse, just quoting a funny and true post
MY BAGS aside, I currently find 0 investable assets in crypto, not even counting a late stage AI bubble that makes everything tech related riskier than usual
MY BAGS aside, I currently find 0 investable assets in crypto, not even counting a late stage AI bubble that makes everything tech related riskier than usual
November 30, 2025 at 7:12 PM
obviously the gimmick here is that all these charts are inverse, just quoting a funny and true post
MY BAGS aside, I currently find 0 investable assets in crypto, not even counting a late stage AI bubble that makes everything tech related riskier than usual
MY BAGS aside, I currently find 0 investable assets in crypto, not even counting a late stage AI bubble that makes everything tech related riskier than usual
I'm sorry but even given Trump's collapsing numbers there is just no real chance that a T+22 district is going to elect a Dem. It will be close but I don't expect an upset.
MAGA will then claim victory while ignoring the 17 point swing.
MAGA will then claim victory while ignoring the 17 point swing.
November 30, 2025 at 1:47 PM
I'm sorry but even given Trump's collapsing numbers there is just no real chance that a T+22 district is going to elect a Dem. It will be close but I don't expect an upset.
MAGA will then claim victory while ignoring the 17 point swing.
MAGA will then claim victory while ignoring the 17 point swing.
Still not donating to MTGs 2028 independent third party run, but it is definitely tremendous content
Definitely an “I feel bad for our country. But this is tremendous content” moment.
November 26, 2025 at 7:15 PM
Still not donating to MTGs 2028 independent third party run, but it is definitely tremendous content
Reposted by Adanthar
congratulations to r/buttcoin for holding onto their views in the face of overwhelming evidence of a successful meme for the fourth consecutive cycle
you may not be rich, but you'll have more content than ever on the way back down, and that's more important than money
you may not be rich, but you'll have more content than ever on the way back down, and that's more important than money
March 5, 2024 at 2:12 AM
congratulations to r/buttcoin for holding onto their views in the face of overwhelming evidence of a successful meme for the fourth consecutive cycle
you may not be rich, but you'll have more content than ever on the way back down, and that's more important than money
you may not be rich, but you'll have more content than ever on the way back down, and that's more important than money
this poll is temporarily fake (just pissed off R nonresponse) but is the type of thing you could actually see in a year if the AI bubble pops early, in which case, it's probably House D+100 or something similar
November 19, 2025 at 3:37 PM
this poll is temporarily fake (just pissed off R nonresponse) but is the type of thing you could actually see in a year if the AI bubble pops early, in which case, it's probably House D+100 or something similar
the line between "we're in a bubble" and "the bubble has popped, get out" is the exact trickiest thing to time as an investor/trader, and not just in crypto; it's basically impossible to be perfect.
but
these are glaring mid 2008 signs, and not just in crypto
but
these are glaring mid 2008 signs, and not just in crypto
November 18, 2025 at 1:22 PM
the line between "we're in a bubble" and "the bubble has popped, get out" is the exact trickiest thing to time as an investor/trader, and not just in crypto; it's basically impossible to be perfect.
but
these are glaring mid 2008 signs, and not just in crypto
but
these are glaring mid 2008 signs, and not just in crypto
late stage bubble behavior; combined with where the crypto canary is, I think AI has...not years left to run
November 18, 2025 at 12:32 PM
late stage bubble behavior; combined with where the crypto canary is, I think AI has...not years left to run
personally I will simply NOT donate to MTG when she becomes an independent running against the swamp filled Republican Party
November 15, 2025 at 2:32 PM
personally I will simply NOT donate to MTG when she becomes an independent running against the swamp filled Republican Party
I am as sympathetic to Amanda (ex regulator)'s POV as it is possible to get in crypto, and so, I don't want her to get into legal trouble for this tweet (that would be lawfare)
instead I would like her to reflect on her boss, Gensler going after Uniswap for years while SBF got private meetings
instead I would like her to reflect on her boss, Gensler going after Uniswap for years while SBF got private meetings
November 14, 2025 at 5:50 PM
I am as sympathetic to Amanda (ex regulator)'s POV as it is possible to get in crypto, and so, I don't want her to get into legal trouble for this tweet (that would be lawfare)
instead I would like her to reflect on her boss, Gensler going after Uniswap for years while SBF got private meetings
instead I would like her to reflect on her boss, Gensler going after Uniswap for years while SBF got private meetings
everybody on the planet's doing prediction markets, but most of them are focused on sports, which is a short term cash grab that has regulatory problems written all over it
long term, IMO, the money in this format is in the intersection of politics and business
long term, IMO, the money in this format is in the intersection of politics and business
November 13, 2025 at 1:34 PM
everybody on the planet's doing prediction markets, but most of them are focused on sports, which is a short term cash grab that has regulatory problems written all over it
long term, IMO, the money in this format is in the intersection of politics and business
long term, IMO, the money in this format is in the intersection of politics and business
Reposted by Adanthar
Also, very funny how the Dems keep trying to do this “release the Epstein files!” thing as a naked base pander in mimicry of the other side’s conspiratorial muckraking, and then the files actually do get released, and it’s like “oh wait Trump really is all over these things, he really did it huh”
November 12, 2025 at 8:35 PM
Also, very funny how the Dems keep trying to do this “release the Epstein files!” thing as a naked base pander in mimicry of the other side’s conspiratorial muckraking, and then the files actually do get released, and it’s like “oh wait Trump really is all over these things, he really did it huh”
Reposted by Adanthar
Landon Thomas Jr of the New York Times got told by Jeffrey Epstein that Trump walked into a glass door bc he was so busy staring at girls in Epstein's house and didn't print it. wild that the Times didn't consider that newsworthy.
November 12, 2025 at 7:39 PM
Landon Thomas Jr of the New York Times got told by Jeffrey Epstein that Trump walked into a glass door bc he was so busy staring at girls in Epstein's house and didn't print it. wild that the Times didn't consider that newsworthy.
You are Joe Biden's attorney general. you see this email from a well known author that says, in so many words, that he knows Trump was at The House and that Jeffrey Epstein could personally make him lie or tell the truth.
You do not subpoena the author.
CECOT *this* fucking guy please tia
You do not subpoena the author.
CECOT *this* fucking guy please tia
November 12, 2025 at 4:29 PM
You are Joe Biden's attorney general. you see this email from a well known author that says, in so many words, that he knows Trump was at The House and that Jeffrey Epstein could personally make him lie or tell the truth.
You do not subpoena the author.
CECOT *this* fucking guy please tia
You do not subpoena the author.
CECOT *this* fucking guy please tia
Fuck it, tonight it is
the problem with this shutdown from the start was that there was no win condition possible. Like, the idea here was to ask for Obamacare to continue unchanged, ???, Trump literally parties Gatsby style, ???, at no point do you ever get subsidies in a million years.
1/x
the problem with this shutdown from the start was that there was no win condition possible. Like, the idea here was to ask for Obamacare to continue unchanged, ???, Trump literally parties Gatsby style, ???, at no point do you ever get subsidies in a million years.
1/x
what was the god damn point then
November 10, 2025 at 4:53 AM
Fuck it, tonight it is
the problem with this shutdown from the start was that there was no win condition possible. Like, the idea here was to ask for Obamacare to continue unchanged, ???, Trump literally parties Gatsby style, ???, at no point do you ever get subsidies in a million years.
1/x
the problem with this shutdown from the start was that there was no win condition possible. Like, the idea here was to ask for Obamacare to continue unchanged, ???, Trump literally parties Gatsby style, ???, at no point do you ever get subsidies in a million years.
1/x
Entirely true, btw. Having gotten into this weird no win situation in this exact way, there were probably 20-25 Yes votes and they pretty much negotiated who would take the fall among themselves
Doesn’t matter that Schumer voted “no”. He got the Dem caucus on board with caving. THEN the caucus figured out who should vote yes to provide cover for D Sens up for reelection in 2026, who might have been in serious danger of being primaried. 2/
November 10, 2025 at 3:05 AM
Entirely true, btw. Having gotten into this weird no win situation in this exact way, there were probably 20-25 Yes votes and they pretty much negotiated who would take the fall among themselves
the base is going to turn on "Cuck" Schumer very hard but the fact is he had no real win condition at any point during this whole thing (like, really? Trump was gonna let Obamacare subsidies survive??) so...
the actual W they did get was an end to rescissions, maybe*
*or another shutdown in Jan
the actual W they did get was an end to rescissions, maybe*
*or another shutdown in Jan
November 9, 2025 at 9:35 PM
the base is going to turn on "Cuck" Schumer very hard but the fact is he had no real win condition at any point during this whole thing (like, really? Trump was gonna let Obamacare subsidies survive??) so...
the actual W they did get was an end to rescissions, maybe*
*or another shutdown in Jan
the actual W they did get was an end to rescissions, maybe*
*or another shutdown in Jan
mid November now looks pretty much locked in, with the sole remaining variable at whether they can get a guarantee of a vote on the key stuff out of the House
had a tiny bet (because most of it didnt fill) from the start on the shutdown lasting some long number, which I sold a few days ago
if I were a betting man, I would flip short soon with mid November as the end target
if I were a betting man, I would flip short soon with mid November as the end target
November 7, 2025 at 2:58 PM
mid November now looks pretty much locked in, with the sole remaining variable at whether they can get a guarantee of a vote on the key stuff out of the House
If the sandwich hit, you still acquit
MAN WHO THREW SANDWICH IN PROTEST OF TRUMP’S WASHINGTON POLICE SURGE FOUND NOT GUILTY OF ASSAULT ON FEDERAL OFFICER
November 6, 2025 at 7:51 PM
If the sandwich hit, you still acquit
hispanic voters this midterm, at least, will be roughly 20 points more Dem than 2024 as a baseline and could well go much higher
November 5, 2025 at 12:46 PM
hispanic voters this midterm, at least, will be roughly 20 points more Dem than 2024 as a baseline and could well go much higher
2026 and likely 2028 Dem candidate messaging: abundance as policy, ~metaphoric "GOP delenda est" as praxis
November 5, 2025 at 3:48 AM
2026 and likely 2028 Dem candidate messaging: abundance as policy, ~metaphoric "GOP delenda est" as praxis
a casual 500 million dollars has been bet on the next mayor of new york city, compared to 300 million on the entire election cycle of 2020
November 4, 2025 at 8:19 PM
a casual 500 million dollars has been bet on the next mayor of new york city, compared to 300 million on the entire election cycle of 2020
It's always risky to call an election over before it's actually over (ask me how I know), but NYC mayor is extremely over so go ahead and pick up your dollars for 90c.
Source: for Cuomo to have a shot the electorate needs to be under 50% Dem today. good luck with that
Source: for Cuomo to have a shot the electorate needs to be under 50% Dem today. good luck with that
November 4, 2025 at 12:22 PM
It's always risky to call an election over before it's actually over (ask me how I know), but NYC mayor is extremely over so go ahead and pick up your dollars for 90c.
Source: for Cuomo to have a shot the electorate needs to be under 50% Dem today. good luck with that
Source: for Cuomo to have a shot the electorate needs to be under 50% Dem today. good luck with that
we're not going to be fine after this administration - lots of things will be rekt - but one thing about fascism is that it requires at least some initial buy-in from the man on the street, and the media caving to Trump are missing just how ugly things will get with an economy taking big hits
Trump posts his worst-ever net approval rating in a CNN poll this morning, 37% to 63% (-26) s3.documentcloud.org/documents/26...
s3.documentcloud.org
November 3, 2025 at 2:53 PM
we're not going to be fine after this administration - lots of things will be rekt - but one thing about fascism is that it requires at least some initial buy-in from the man on the street, and the media caving to Trump are missing just how ugly things will get with an economy taking big hits
please mr president sir don't ever nuke the filibuster and especially don't ever touch the voter ID button. democrats would HATE the voter ID button with the 2025-28 democratic coalition of *checks notes* every woman with a college degree in america
November 3, 2025 at 2:49 AM
please mr president sir don't ever nuke the filibuster and especially don't ever touch the voter ID button. democrats would HATE the voter ID button with the 2025-28 democratic coalition of *checks notes* every woman with a college degree in america
VA polling basically confirms what I was thinking, which is that Jones needs a +10 Spanberger topline to have a real shot but should get almost exactly that number
I think he wins every time at +12 and loses every time at +8, so this will be close, but have a big position based squarely on the odds
I think he wins every time at +12 and loses every time at +8, so this will be close, but have a big position based squarely on the odds
November 3, 2025 at 2:23 AM
VA polling basically confirms what I was thinking, which is that Jones needs a +10 Spanberger topline to have a real shot but should get almost exactly that number
I think he wins every time at +12 and loses every time at +8, so this will be close, but have a big position based squarely on the odds
I think he wins every time at +12 and loses every time at +8, so this will be close, but have a big position based squarely on the odds