spontaneous symmetry breakdance
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t8erboi.bsky.social
spontaneous symmetry breakdance
@t8erboi.bsky.social
560 followers 560 following 2.9K posts
a.k.a. Matt. Physicist, conformal bootstrapper, and #1 Leonid Kantorovich respecter. Idaho → Colorado → Connecticut → Italy. he/him. Unionize the radiation lab!
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the fun thing about home espresso brewing is it will absolutely not save you money, especially if you are the kind of person who tends to become obsessive about technical details
I do not think anyone believes that P(Sherrill) > 0.99 in a Bayesian sense.
The problem here is that polls have very well-characterized statistical errors but poorly-characterized systematic ones. Stats people report the statistical interval, but everyone else hears "confidence interval" and thinks it includes systematic errors.
These FiftyPlusOne 95% confidence intervals do NOT look right, and imply an absurd amount of certainty w.r.t the outcome here. Wouldn't be the first time G Elliott Morris did something stupid with election forecasting.
This is the NJ average btw. you wouldn't think it is this from the discourse on here.
no one:

zombie natasha bedingfield: FEEL THE BRAIN ON YOUR SKIN
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gonna reiterate a hobbyhorse of mine: 'let the ATF keep electronic records' is a good fight to pick on guns. it doesn't impact normie gun owners at all, it's an insane bit of GOP mandated dysfunction in government, and it's being "tough on crime" in a way that actually matters
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“Trump is using the excuse of antisemitism on the left to take over universities and the media’ is true but try making the case when you just covered up your totenkopf with this *after* your campaign launch
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Further- if our highest profile ‘anti-AIPAC’ candidate of the cycle has a Nazi tattoo, good luck pushing back against AIPAC
We will deserve to lose if we nominate a Nazi tatt dude in a political moment when we are claiming to be resisting fascism. The RSCC will run nonstop ads about every crazy thing he’s ever said or done and highlight Collins moderation in comparison, we will be obliterated!
"No Nazis" seemed like the one norm we had left, and it basically evaporated overnight. Shit's bleak.
To preface this: I like Mamdani, would probably have ranked him 3rd in the primary, would happily vote for him with zero reservations if I lived in NYC.

But after seeing the response to Platner's tattoo, I completely understand how someone could find the "intifada" comments disqualifying.
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you cannot keep doing this without eventually becoming misanthropic and feeling that the values you grew up with are meaningless and the people around you will excuse anything as long as it doesn’t personally inconvenience them
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there is something soul destroying about having to assume repeatedly — like, at a rate of several times a day given how numerous it is - that a scandal that would have destroyed a political career a decade ago is “priced in”
hahahahahahahahahahachdjwlsbhskwnddkld
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peak baseball is indistinguishable from the feeling of hitting your head against a cement wall
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IM VERY DRUNK Right Now and MY GF IS CUTE AND I LOVE HER
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I am watching a baseball game while my gf, who does not follow sports, is doing color commentary on the players' hair and accessories. this is the most Gender our relationship has ever been
the woke mob won't let you say this, but it's true