Philipp Heimberger
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heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger
@heimbergecon.bsky.social
2.6K followers 120 following 650 posts

Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw); macroeconomics, economic policy, public finance, political economy, meta-science.

Videos
Economics 86%
Political science 11%
Posts Replies Media Videos

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 5h
Source: royalsocietypublishing.org/rsos/article...
Generalization bias in large language model summarization of scientific research
Abstract. Artificial intelligence chatbots driven by large language models (LLMs) have the potential to increase public science literacy and support scient
royalsocietypublishing.org

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 5h
This study shows: many top LLMs routinely overgeneralise scientific results (e.g. omitting details limiting the scope), even when asked for accuracy. Newer LLMs often performed worse. This bias risks widespread misinterpretation of research, highlighting the need for mitigation.

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 1d
Source: academic.oup.com/ej/advance-a...
Politics at the Dinner Table: Thanksgiving and Social Influences on Political Polarisation
Abstract. Can socialising with people who disagree with you change your opinions and reduce political polarisation? I answer this question using a shock th
academic.oup.com

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 1d
This paper provides survey-based evidence that socialising across political divides can change opinions and reduce political polarisation. Using Thanksgiving as a natural experiment, it shows that people shift toward their families’ views after the holiday.

Reposted by Dave O’Brien

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 5d
Link to the paper: journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Top Wealth and Its Historical Origins: Identifying Entrenched Fortunes by Linking Rich Lists over 100 Years - Daria Tisch, Emma Ischinsky, 2023
The authors examine the historical origins of Germany’s 1,032 largest fortunes. The innovation of this research is to link a rich list from 2019 with rich lists...
journals.sagepub.com

Reposted by Dave O’Brien, Jonathan Hopkin, José Antonio Noguera , and 1 more

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 5d
Even after two world wars and a century of upheaval, wealth in 🇩🇪 shows strong persistence. About 8% of today’s top fortunes trace back to the early 1900s: 82 of the richest families today were already among the richest in 1913, challenging the idea of a fully meritocratic elite.

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 6d
Source: www.youtube.com/watch?v=kbUc...
A Conversation with John Maynard AI Keynes, about AI, generated by AI | Markus Academy | Ep. 155
YouTube video by Markus' Academy
www.youtube.com

Reposted by Samuel Bentolila

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 6d
A great AI-based conversation with Keynes, drawing on a model grounded in Keynes' writings and audio. It explores how his ideas and predictions on productivity, unemployment and financial-markets have held up over the last century, considering the emergence of AI.

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 7d
Link to the paper: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Free-access version: www.researchgate.net/publication/...

Reposted by Matthias Schnetzer

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 7d
Our paper is out in "Applied Economics Letters". Public investment shocks in EU27 (a) have favourable effects on output (investment multpliers >1) and unemployment (short to medium run); (b) don't crowd out private investment; and (c) don't jeopardise public debt sustainability.

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 22d
Source: doi.org/10.1007/s432...

Free-access version: www.researchgate.net/publication/...

Reposted by Jonathan Portes

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 22d
My paper on fiscal consolidation, its growth effects and implications for debt sustainability assessments is out in the December '25 issue of "Review of Evolutionary Political Economy". I review €zone fiscal consolidations and what the research record shows about growth effects.

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 23d
German exports in machinery and autos/parts to China have declined strongly. The decline is ~0.8%-points of GDP per year relative to the peak export shares.

chart via Brad Setser

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 25d
Source: www.ft.com/content/5d21...
Which genius from history would have been the best investor?
FTAV goes hedge fund headhunting through the ages
www.ft.com

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 25d
John Maynard Keynes wasn’t just a legendary economic and philosophical thinker, he was also an exceptional investor. Managing King’s College Cambridge’s endowment (1922–1946), he delivered ~15% annual investment returns, outperforming equity markets.

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 26d
Source: www.suerf.org/publications...
SUERF
- The European Money and Finance Forum
www.suerf.org

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 26d
Lending rates are falling as monetary policy eases, but unevenly. Household borrowing costs have declined less than those of firms, as household loans are typically tied to longer-term rates and fixed for longer periods, while long-term market rates have fallen only modestly.

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 26d
Link to the paper: www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

Free-access version: www.ifo.de/DocDL/cesifo...
Local Labor Market Effects of the 2002 Bush Steel Tariffs
(November 2025) - President George W. Bush imposed safeguard tariffs on steel in early 2002. Using US input-output tables and a generalized difference-in-difference methodology, we analyze the local l...
www.aeaweb.org

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 26d
The 2002 steel tariffs in the US (under president George W. Bush) created persistent negative employment effects in manufacturing industries that rely on steel as an input - despite being removed after 18 months.

New evidence in "American Economic Journal: Economic Policy":

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 27d
Source: www.oenb.at/Presse/Press...
OeNB unterstützt Wissenschaftler:innen mit 2,9 Mio. Euro - Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB)
www.oenb.at

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 27d
The Austrian National Bank (OeNB) will fund our 3-year project “Understanding people’s views on fiscal policy.” We'll use survey experiments to study expectations about fiscal policy effects, views on propagation mechanisms, fiscal preferences shaped by trust and trade-offs etc.

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 28d
Source: ieo.imf.org/en/-/media/i...
ieo.imf.org

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 28d
This is an interesting summary of the IMF's shifting recommendations regarding the appropriate fiscal stance in advanced economies.

Reposted by Margit Schratzenstaller, Philipp Heimberger

georgfeigl.bsky.social
Georg Feigl @georgfeigl.bsky.social · Dec 15
Der Link zu unserem Jahresbericht: www.fiskalrat.at/publikatione...

@cbadelt.bsky.social @heleneschuberth.bsky.social @heimbergecon.bsky.social @margitschratz.bsky.social @miriamrehm.bsky.social @nikowall.bsky.social @janaschultheiss.bsky.social @markusmarterbauer.bsky.social

Reposted by Philipp Heimberger, Matthias Schnetzer

georgfeigl.bsky.social
Georg Feigl @georgfeigl.bsky.social · Dec 15
Neuer #Fiskalrat-#Budget-Bericht: Doppelbudget ist auf Kurs, aber es bleibt viel zu tun, um die mittelfristigen Budgetziele zu erreichen - insbesondere für das #Budget2027. Implizite Aussage: Die jüngste mediale Aufregung um angeblich explodierende Länder-Defizite bleibt nicht nachvollziehbar. Ein 🧵
Budgetprognose Fiskalrat

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · Dec 15
Here is the link to our paper: sciencedirect.com/science/arti... And here is the source on most popular, most downloaded and top cited EER papers: sciencedirect.com/journal/euro... (joint work with @sgechert.bsky.social)

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · Dec 15
Corporate tax cuts have received a lot of intention in debates on reforms as a source of economic growth. Given the variance, there may be cases with positive or negative growth effects of corporate tax cuts, but our results suggest that this focus has often be exaggerated. /7

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · Dec 15
Our findings are consistent with the nuanced recent theoretical growth literature stressing various (partly competing) channels – such as knock-on effects on R&D incentives or labour supply – through which corporate tax changes can affect growth both positively and negatively. /6

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · Dec 15
We also find that several factors influence reported estimates, including researcher choices concerning the measurement of growth and corporate taxes, and controlling for other budgetary components. /5

heimbergecon.bsky.social
Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · Dec 15
Correcting for this bias, we cannot reject the hypothesis that the effect of corporate taxes on growth is zero. We show that this finding holds when we account for potential endogeneity issues between corporate taxes and growth. /4