it's not *more* fake than the others altho it is funny the way they're stealing Nobel valor

I am reading about this Nobel economics paper and I am realllllllllly struggling to see what the there is there

yeah that makes sense

analogous to velocity in baseball I'd guess, pour enough money into training a skill and people will improve at it

I'd be interested to know if soccer players are objectively kicking the ball harder now too
bsky.app/profile/rodg...

thanks!

so the NFL changes the rules to let them "prepare the balls" now and the teams have found an edge in ball-preparing I guess

www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootb...

this is a President Show bit

it's so weird when his associational patter hits a moment of actual reflection like it's a real human being talking for a minute then he goes back into shtick again

is there a good article about how everyone got better at kicking field goals

honestly it's kind of weird that none of the streaming services have an algorithmic timeline where you tune in to "what's on"

not a ton of polling but pretty consistently 5-10 pts to Sherrill. I think running her anything under 8 will be seen as an overperformance? but obviously a lot of vibes go into those kinds of perceptions

yeah the current drivers of electricity price spikes are really wonky and not easy to message accurately even if you wanted to. but these are exactly the sorts of issues that tend to break down along incumbent / anti-incumbent lines.

and solar, and grid upgrade projects, and expanding nat gas exports, everything they're doing to kill the IRA is going to drive up electricity prices even more

really good story here and I think the canary in the coal mine for 2026

a lot of people's takeaways will likely be that Ciattarelli outperforms on an electricity bill message, but this is in a blue state with a two-term Dem governor -- it's an anti-incumbent message and in 2026 that'll be the GOP

certainly possible

but also then the chatbot was giving him something useful to reflect on that he should be able to fill in the blank after a social interaction

there's lots of reasons it would be very hard to do -- most people fear confrontation so most writing that chatbots are trained on avoid confrontation -- but it would be funny to try to train a more confrontational chatbot that stuck to its guns when people refused good advice

that seems clearly worse and pretty weird lol

I still like most of the takes he has given the world but Hard Stancilism as an electoral theory is legit bugnuts stuff

or it would have required some vulnerability to make the story work or who knows.

probably? but he also could easily have been so focused on himself that he was totally unable ot remember things about her.

chatbots will typically give you good advice the first time you ask

it's just the midpoint of "all advice given in the written record"

what then happens is that advice requires you to be a normal person so these weirdos say "no i want to do something dumber or weirder" and it says "yes, great!"

so perfect that the bot gave good advice and he didn't take it

yeah. the big steps of reopening to aid and the international media and the the un are yet to come and I think are a big question of whether Israel can let it happen vs whether Israel can stop it

people's lives needed to go back to normal after Covid to a great degree, pandemic shutdowns must necessarily end and are definitionally temporary, shocking, chaotic events

shifts in the appeal of political positions are not like that

I don't think that's comparable

it really just seems like a broken intellectual space, either people hoping that when the war ends things will "go back to normal" and people will find out "it wasn't that bad" or people saying that Israeli-Palestinian politics is now defined by hate and it can't be fixed

what is strikingly missing from this article is any description by any advocate for pro-Israel politics of how they think pro-Israel politics and messaging should *change* in light of the massive shift of Americans toward a more balanced or pro-Palestinian politics www.nytimes.com/2025/10/12/w...