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Reposted by Joseph Hefner

Arif Hasan, but NFL🔨⚒️🛠️ @arif.bsky.social · 1h

SumerBrain Claims to Revolutionize Football Analytics. I Will Not Be Using It

www.wideleft.football/p/sumerbrain...

SumerBrain Claims to Revolutionize Football Analytics. I Will Not Be Using It

SumerSports released a new product last week claiming to change the way we watch, report on and consume football. They want to democratize access to football data. I don't think it can.

www.wideleft.football

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 1h

Honestly, these types of graphics that address a specific conversation or occasion and are just fun are some of my favorites to see.

This from @brykno.bsky.social is another. Just a delightfully ridiculous exercise to get the Giants to the playoffs (it's working so far!).

bsky.app/profile/bryk...

Bryan Knowles @brykno.bsky.social · 7d

The New York Giants actually have lower odds than the Jets in FTN's playoff sims at just 1.1% -- the difference between the two conferences and a much harder schedule will do that. Hey, Jaxson Dart is kinda fun, though!

Let's go ahead and get THEM into the postseason too, why not.

A hypothetical scenario showing the New York Giants getting into the playoffs at 9-8.

Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 3h

I’m glad you made this. Somebody had to. Been talked about all week, and it’s just one of those graphics that begs to be made 😂

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Reposted by Joseph Hefner

Anthony Reinhard @statbutler.com · 4h

Joe Flacco & Aaron Rodgers have been alive for a total of 82 years and 226 days. That is the fifth oldest combined age of starting QBs in the Super Bowl era. Tonight's game will also be the fourth time two QBs over 40 have faced off (first three were Brady-Brees in 2020).

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 18h

It’s true. But they also saw film of him for three years in KC, and decided to trade an actual NFL draft pick for him.

Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 18h

I have no idea how a team could have watched his special teams snaps with KC and thought, huh, maybe we should try that too!!

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 19h

I don’t disagree, but he’s very clearly the player that Worthy has replaced on the field. See how his snaps went down to below 50% ever week since worthy came back in week 4?

bsky.app/profile/jose...

Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 3d

Chiefs Weekly Snap Counts!

JuJu with his lowest snap share of the season
Brown has been at 52% past three games
Thornton with season lows
Worthy staying around 75% since his return
Gray outsnapped Kelce
Pacheco with 77%(!!) snap share!
Brashard Smith with 6 beautiful snaps

Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 19h

Defense:

Cook continues to be replaced for random drives by CRW.
Nohl continues to be the #3 CB.
Hicks with a season low in snaps. Was Chiefs D in base a lot more this week?
Danna's second game back, but it seems like Omenihu has jumped him on the depth chart.
ONL not getting a ton of playtime.

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 19h

Pillboxes!! DET @ KC

Chiefs used 6 OL twice, once on Mahomes TD run

Pacheco got no 3rd down snaps in first half, but 5 in second half.
B.Smith continues to get 6 snaps and 4 touches.
Thornton has continued to lose snaps with Worthy back.
Noah Gray outsnapped Kelce. Chiefs used a lot of 2 TE plays.

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 1d

It's been a wild ride so far, for sure. And a great deal of uncertainty about what teams are actually #good.

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 1d

Many thanks to @mrcaseb.com for helping me think through some of the issues with the graphic, and for building the {nflseedR} package, which I use to generate the seedings for each week!

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 1d

Here's the NFC!

Baker finally made the jump to #1!
Eagles dropped from #1 to #4 after losing to Giants.
SF is somehow still hanging on by a thread.
GB is back on the rise after a tumultuous week 3 and 4
LAR have been very up and down this season.

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 1d

Conference Seeding Movement!!

Here's how the AFC has looked after each week.

The Daniel Jones led Colts have been #1 for 4 out of 6 weeks. The Chargers and Bills each took a turn at #1, but fell off.
The Bengals spent 3 weeks at 4, and have dropped precisely two spots each week since then.

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 2d

Here's a look at how the Super Bowl odds have moved from the beginning of the season until now for teams with at least 5% chance to win the Super Bowl.

Bills have had a lot of movement, and ugly fall.
Colts have consistently moved upward
Rams and Bucs are the same team

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 2d

Can Your Team Win The Super Bowl?

The high-flying Bills have lost a ton of their lead over the past two weeks. They lose 3.3 points this week, and lost 3 points last week. They went from a 17.3% SB chance to just an 11% chance.

The Lions dropped, while the Chiefs jumped from 5th place to 2nd.

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 2d

😂

Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 3d

“Code written by AI”

🏰meg⚔️ @Birthright Audiobook! @impavid.us · 6d

In honor of spooky month, share a 4 word horror story that only someone in your profession would understand

I'll go first: Six page commercial lease.

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 3d

On to Defense:

Nohl Williams with season highs after only 4 snaps last week
Fulton a healthy(?) scratch
Hicks with a massive drop in snaps, out-snapped by CRW
Chenal with season highs
ONL back, and got a season low in snaps
Karlaftis playing a ton of snaps this season
Danna not getting starter reps

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 3d

Chiefs Weekly Snap Counts!

JuJu with his lowest snap share of the season
Brown has been at 52% past three games
Thornton with season lows
Worthy staying around 75% since his return
Gray outsnapped Kelce
Pacheco with 77%(!!) snap share!
Brashard Smith with 6 beautiful snaps

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 3d

I'm pretty sure that just
summarize(n = n(),
.by = date)

is AI these days...

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Reposted by Joseph Hefner

Dan Pizzuta @danpizzuta.bsky.social · 3d

Hollywood Brown TD dots. Excellent blocking to clear the path.

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 5d

Lions @ Chiefs injury report:

Chiefs have all players available.

Lions down a starting CB, Alim McNeill, who hasn't played at all this season, and two special teamers.

They also have a lengthy Questionable list, with two players who Did Not Practice (DNP) at all this week.

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 6d

All of Philly tonight:

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Reposted by Joseph Hefner

Bryan Knowles @brykno.bsky.social · 6d

Step one of my "crazy, longshot Giants playoff scenario" was upsetting the Eagles tonight...

Bryan Knowles @brykno.bsky.social · 7d

The New York Giants actually have lower odds than the Jets in FTN's playoff sims at just 1.1% -- the difference between the two conferences and a much harder schedule will do that. Hey, Jaxson Dart is kinda fun, though!

Let's go ahead and get THEM into the postseason too, why not.

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Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 6d

The New York Football Giants--who have a 0.1% chance to win the Super Bowl, tied for last place--are 9 minutes and 41 seconds away from taking down the 4th ranked team.

They took down the 7th ranked Chargers two weeks ago.

They lost to the Saints--a fellow 0.1 %'er--in between these two games.

Joseph Hefner @josephjefe.bsky.social · 7d

*Updated with all the teams this time!*

Can Your Team Win the Super Bowl?

Bills still leading, but lost 3 percentage points
Lions gained 2.5
Eagles lost 2.1
Chiefs gained 0.5, despite losing to the Jags

There are 13(!!) teams with Super Bowl odds under 1%. We are 5 weeks into the season.

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