Dead Carl
@deadcarl.bsky.social
5.8K followers 530 following 5.7K posts
www.deadcarl.com Writer on Clausewitz, international relations, and German history
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deadcarl.bsky.social
Finally back with another post, this time on looking at what distinguishes Clausewitz from other theorists. His histories of Prussia’s defeat in 1806 and Russia’s victory in 1812 show how a theory must be tested against diverse cases to be any use.

open.substack.com/pub/deadcarl...
Gods and Mortals: Building a Universal Theory of War
Explaining Prussia's defeat and Russia's triumph over Napoleon
open.substack.com
deadcarl.bsky.social
Rich Evans is smarter than Peter Thiel.
Reposted by Dead Carl
gravitysra1nbow.bsky.social
Average operator attempting to conduct a raid with the Anduril google glasses NODs flashing 38 different icons in front of their face:
deadcarl.bsky.social
That is a thing I have not said. Why do you think I did?
Reposted by Dead Carl
paleofuture.bsky.social
Just in case the dramatically low Leni Riefenstahl-style angle was too subtle, they used a word from her most famous movie
Time magazine cover featuring a photo of Trump from a dramatically low angle 

HIS
TRIUMPH
by ERIC CORTELLESSA
THE LEADER ISRAEL NEEDED
by EHUD BARAK
HOW GAZA HEALS
deadcarl.bsky.social
This is a very rude and random thing to say when someone points out a flaw in your policy proposal.
Reposted by Dead Carl
deadcarl.bsky.social
Unless you have a strategy for infinitely producing more goods with no diminishment in returns, then you still can only print so much money before the currency is devalued.
deadcarl.bsky.social
Money gets less valuable the more you print. If you pay for things by printing more, people will demand more of it, because it’s less valuable. The more they demand, the more you print, the less they value, the more you have to print. This kills the economy.
deadcarl.bsky.social
You don’t need either of those things to produce Weimar levels of hyper inflation though. The mere interaction between inflation expectations and paying for things by increasing the money supply is enough to cause a spiral, as I said. Unless you have a solution, the result is economic destruction.
deadcarl.bsky.social
Sure, but the utility of that abstraction is that it corresponds to something real. You can’t get more of something real by messing around with the abstraction. That’s the kind of language games sovereign citizens play.
deadcarl.bsky.social
None of that prevents the cycle of inflation expectations requiring you to print more money which further boosts inflation until you’re in a Weimar situation where no one wants your currency anymore.
Reposted by Dead Carl
bretdevereaux.bsky.social
Reminding me I have to start my little one on the Children's Illustrated Clausewitz (a real thing that really exists: www.helios.house/books/childr...) early, so she can learn basic things many security 'professionals' have failed to, like, 'what is war and what is it for, exactly?'
deadcarl.bsky.social
There’s the joke about Sun Tzu being basic instructions for idiots like “feed your troops” but the most important part of Clausewitz is also just “think about what you are actually trying to accomplish”
brasidas.bsky.social
What I love about our habit of confusing Means for Ways is that we also confuse Ways for Ends.

Innovation is entirely neutral.
deadcarl.bsky.social
How much they charge will be affected by how they expect the value of money to change. Inflation expectations are taken into account when negotiating prices. If you’re planning on printing your way into paying, that will devalue the currency and lead to higher prices (and the cycle)
Reposted by Dead Carl
uticaeric.bsky.social
Etch this into stone at every public policy MA program in America:
dcthings.bsky.social
Genuinely embarrassing that no senior leaders I interact with actually read anything (yes this also applies to Biden appointees). No one responds to emails, no one reads past two sentences, no one does anything. The rest of the Pentagon follows along.
Reposted by Dead Carl
reshetz.bsky.social
Guys a donation a day keeps the russian away
oksii33.ukr.monster
Our awesome Finnish friend proposed us a huge matching up to €5000, but we still didn’t get it (€825 to go), we need to get it by tomorrow💙💛

send.monobank.ua/jar/3Zuzxk994D
PayPal [email protected]

Need your €5🫣
deadcarl.bsky.social
I look forward to the SEALs filing chapter 11
uticaeric.bsky.social
15 years ago, we had “The Navy SEALs will fix American business”

Now we have “American business will fix the Navy SEALs”

Maybe we should stop trying to run successful basketball teams like fish hatcheries? Organizations are distinct, even irreconcilable.

Success is not dependent on a single key.
deadcarl.bsky.social
Since everyone knows you’re printing money, they’re going to want more of it, since they know it’s going to be worth less. This forces you to print more money to pay them—a cycle of printing that leads to out of control inflation.
deadcarl.bsky.social
Some rate of inflation is useful so you don’t end up with deflation, of course.

What I mean is that if I offer you $1mil to build a bridge, if you know I’m going to print that money so that in 6 months its real value will be say $750k, you’re going to demand enough that the real value will be $1mil
deadcarl.bsky.social
This principle isn’t applicable just to military affairs! A lot of endeavors are prone to devolve into cargo cults (or LARPing) if leadership is not careful to keep the end goal clearly in mind.

open.substack.com/pub/deadcarl...
Clausewitz On Activism: Professionalism and Parochialism
What Progressive Activists, the German General Staff, and Battlefield Earth all have in common
open.substack.com
deadcarl.bsky.social
There’s the joke about Sun Tzu being basic instructions for idiots like “feed your troops” but the most important part of Clausewitz is also just “think about what you are actually trying to accomplish”
brasidas.bsky.social
What I love about our habit of confusing Means for Ways is that we also confuse Ways for Ends.

Innovation is entirely neutral.
deadcarl.bsky.social
I’m no economist, but surely if you’re going to keep printing ever-more money to pay for things, people will demand ever-more upfront?
deadcarl.bsky.social
Unless an economy is completely autarkical, there are limitations on how much manipulation can be done to the legal unit before other countries (and their capital) just don’t want use them anymore.
Reposted by Dead Carl
sjshancoxli.liberalcurrents.com
one thing that has been obvious for a while is this aspect of the authoritarian internationale: they recognize that their allies abroad are not *countries* but *political movements* within foreign countries.

time we liberals woke up and recognized this--because it's the truth.
thefred.bsky.social
Or maybe, just maybe, what was obvious in 2024 was correct: Netanyahu fully backed Trump and would not deal with Biden because Trump would give him a free hand to escalate the starvation, bombing, and do full ethnic cleansing. Which he then did, until Netanyahu embarrassed him by bombing Qatar.
Reposted by Dead Carl
aelkus.bsky.social
yeah this is on the level of the iraq war casus belli coverage
ralphtheewiggum.bsky.social
The difference bet the way the press handled Biden’s vs Trump’s health issues, as well as the standard to which they hold his conduct is one of the greatest scandals in the history of journalism.

Their conduct, and the knowledge they’ve done tremendous damage to their profession, should shame them.
aelkus.bsky.social
he has been talking obsessively about the afterlife for some time, he is missing for chunks of time, his aides are trying harder than usual to show he’s fit, his public appearances show someone in visible physical decline, and jd vance talked impromptu about being prepared to assume office