#toprisks2025
In addition to our global #TopRisks2025 report, we published addendums for Brazil, Canada, Europe, and Japan.

Curious how these risks play out in different parts of the world?

Download here ⬇️
Country-Specific Implications
www.eurasiagroup.net
January 13, 2025 at 7:01 PM
i'm an ai enthusiast, but i still worry we’re heading towards big trouble in 2025

@morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social #toprisks2025
www.msnbc.com/morning-joe/...
'Rule of Don,' 'The G-Zero wins' are Eurasia Group's top risks for 2025
The Eurasia Group's Ian Bremmer joins Morning Joe to discuss its 'Top Risks for 2025' report.
www.msnbc.com
January 6, 2025 at 7:11 PM
There was a lot to choose from this year, but here’s what we @eurasiagroup.net think you should be worried about in 2025. #TopRisks2025

www.eurasiagroup.net/TopRisks2025
Eurasia Group | The Top Risks of 2025
www.eurasiagroup.net
January 6, 2025 at 1:47 PM
To kickoff the countdown to #TopRisks2025, let's start by looking back at what made the list in 2024.

Starting with #10: Risky Business 🧵
December 23, 2024 at 7:03 PM
“President Trump is replacing the rule of law with the rule of Don,” writes @ianbremmer.com.

“Much like he’s embracing the law of the jungle – where the strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must – internationally.”

#TopRisks2025 @gzeromedia.com
Trump is leading a political revolution. Will he succeed?
The biggest story of our G-Zero world, Ian Bremmer explains, is that the United States – still the world’s most powerful nation – has chosen to walk away from the international system it built and led...
www.gzeromedia.com
October 24, 2025 at 6:00 PM
Our #TopRisks2025 report includes 3 Red Herrings:

➡️ Trump fails
➡️ Europe breaks
➡️ Global energy transition stalls

Some people think these are big risks heading into 2025. We don’t.
Red Herrings: Eurasia Group's Top Risk of 2025
Trump fails. Europe breaks. The global energy transition stalls. Our 2025 Red Herrings.
www.eurasiagroup.net
January 7, 2025 at 8:03 PM
#6: Iran on the ropes

The Middle East will remain a combustible environment in 2025, for one big reason: Iran hasn’t been this weak in decades.

#TopRisks2025
Iran on the ropes: Eurasia Group's #6 Top Risk of 2025
The Middle East will remain a combustible environment in 2025, for one big reason: Iran hasn’t been this weak in decades.
www.eurasiagroup.net
January 6, 2025 at 12:44 PM
#2: Rule of Don

Trump’s second term won't be like his first.

The erosion of independent checks on executive power and the rule of law will increase the extent to which the US policy landscape depends on the decisions of one powerful man.

#TopRisks2025
Rule of Don: Eurasia Group's #2 Top Risk of 2025
The erosion of independent checks on executive power and the rule of law will increase the extent to which the US policy landscape depends on the decisions of one powerful man.
www.eurasiagroup.net
January 6, 2025 at 12:44 PM
Tis the season for holiday parties!

Our teams around the world gathered to celebrate the end of an eventful year. There’s no doubt that 2024 (aka the biggest election year in history) was a busy one.

Up next: #TopRisks2025
December 17, 2024 at 5:06 PM
What are the world's Top Risks for 2025? Check out
@gzeromedia.com for summaries of the most important risks that will preoccupy world leaders, business decision-makers, and the rest of us in 2025, according to
@eurasiagroup.net & @ianbremmer.com. #TopRisks2025 gzeromedia.com/news/analysi...
Exclusive: Ian Bremmer’s Top Risks for 2025
Here are brief summaries of the most important risks that will preoccupy world leaders, business decision-makers, and the rest of us in 2025, according to Bremmer and Kupchan. You can read the full re...
gzeromedia.com
January 6, 2025 at 1:06 PM
The clock is ticking for TikTok – and it looks like the ban is likely to be upheld.

Our friends @gzeromedia.com point out that the decision could be an early reflection of US-China breakdown, which ranks #3 on our #TopRisks2025.
TikTok ban likely to be upheld
On Friday, the Supreme Court appeared poised to uphold the TikTok ban, largely dismissing the app’s argument that it should be able to exist in the US under the First Amendment’s free speech protectio...
www.gzeromedia.com
January 13, 2025 at 9:04 PM
We are heading back to the law of the jungle, says @eurasiagroup.net's #TopRisks2025 report.

🗓️ LIVE TODAY at 12 pm ET: Join @ianbremmer.com and experts to unpack the biggest risks the world faces this year.

Tune in:
www.gzeromedia.com/events/upcom...
January 6, 2025 at 3:28 PM
“If you look at the totality of the relationship between the US and China,” says @ianbremmer.com.

“It’s in a significantly more challenging place, and longer term, the trajectory is more toward decoupling.”

#TopRisks2025
Trump cuts tariffs on China after ‘truly great’ meeting with Xi
China’s leader agreed to delay restrictions on rare earth minerals for a year and buy more soybeans, Trump said after a meeting designed to calm trade tensions.
www.washingtonpost.com
October 30, 2025 at 3:06 PM
Our Top Risk this year is not a single event.

It’s the cumulative impact of the G-Zero leadership deficit on the breakdown of the global order.

Here’s why The G-Zero wins ranked #1 on our #TopRisks2025 🧵
January 8, 2025 at 5:32 PM
#TopRisks2025 drops tomorrow morning.

Are you ready for it?

eurasiagroup.net/TopRisks2025
January 5, 2025 at 9:19 PM
🌍 2025 : Le paradoxe de notre époque :
Prospérité technologique historique + Effondrement de la gouvernance mondiale = Risques majeurs

Une analyse fascinante des défis qui redessinent notre monde. #Geopolitics #TopRisks2025
@eurasiagroup.net

🔍 Analyse complète 👇 www.whatsapp.com/channel/0029...
January 8, 2025 at 6:57 AM
This geopolitical reality is the force behind all the Top Risks in this year’s report.

And the tail risk of something truly catastrophic is getting fatter every day.

#TopRisks2025
The G-Zero wins: Eurasia Group's #1 Top Risk of 2025
We’re entering a uniquely dangerous period of world history on par with the 1930s and the early Cold War.
www.eurasiagroup.net
January 8, 2025 at 5:32 PM
#9: Ungoverned spaces

When the world’s most powerful actors are abdicating global leadership, many people and places will become thinly governed and forgotten.

#TopRisks2025
Ungoverned spaces: Eurasia Group's #9 Top Risk of 2025
The deepening G-Zero will leave many people, places, and spaces thinly governed and forgotten.
www.eurasiagroup.net
January 6, 2025 at 12:44 PM
The G-Zero wins was our #1 risk for 2025 – but @ianbremmer.com warned about this risk over a decade ago.

In honor of twenty years of Top Risks, let’s look back at the first appearance of the G-Zero:

#TopRisks2025
December 31, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Most European leaders now believe that America can no longer be counted on as an ally.

That’s an existential crisis for the transatlantic alliance. Or, as we put it in our #TopRisks2025, the G-Zero wins.

@gzeromedia.com
Trump wants a weaker European Union
America’s new National Security Strategy confirms what Europeans have feared for months: Washington now sees a strong, unified European Union as a problem to be solved, not an ally to be supported.
www.gzeromedia.com
December 15, 2025 at 9:00 PM
Looking back at #TopRisks2025 – how did we do?

First up: #10 Mexican standoff

The political challenges for Mexico’s economy in 2025 were significant, but the surprise was how well Pres. Sheinbaum was able to navigate her relationship with Pres. Trump.
Mexican standoff: Eurasia Group's #10 Top Risk of 2025
Mexico will face formidable challenges this year in its relations with the US at a time of ongoing constitutional overhauls and fiscal stresses at home.
www.eurasiagroup.net
December 23, 2025 at 7:00 PM
Looking back at our #TopRisks2025 – what about the Red Herrings?

aka: what we weren’t losing sleep over in 2025
December 29, 2025 at 5:03 PM
RED HERRINGS
Many think these are big risks heading into 2025. We don’t.

➡️ Trump fails
➡️ Europe breaks
➡️ Global energy transition stalls

#TopRisks2025
Red Herrings: Eurasia Group's Top Risk of 2025
Trump fails. Europe breaks. The global energy transition stalls. Our 2025 Red Herrings.
www.eurasiagroup.net
January 6, 2025 at 12:44 PM
#3: US-China breakdown

Trump's return to office will unleash an unmanaged decoupling in the world’s most important geopolitical relationship.

That, in turn, risks a major economic disruption and a broader crisis.

#TopRisks2025
US-China breakdown: Eurasia Group's #3 Top Risk of 2025
Trump's return to office will unleash an unmanaged decoupling in the world’s most important geopolitical relationship.
www.eurasiagroup.net
January 6, 2025 at 12:44 PM
“The G-Zero world and America First are working together in lockstep,” says @ianbremmer.com.

“And that means more ungoverned spaces, more rogue actors, more geopolitical instability and more conflict.”

#TopRisks2025
10 biggest world threats of 2025, ranked | Ian Bremmer
"There is so much more uncertainty and volatility in a world that is moving fast with big countries that are more at odds with each other and with fewer rules of the road that leaders, companies, and ...
bigthink.com
January 15, 2025 at 7:34 PM