#Kalshi
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laurajedeed.bsky.social
Laura Jedeed
@laurajedeed.bsky.social
Uhm first of all how dare you
Three sponsored apps "suggested for you" FriendX Virtual AI Boyfriend (4.6 stars) Kalshi: trade the future (installed) America's test kitchen (4.5 stars)
October 19, 2025 at 2:15 PM Everybody can reply
2 reposts 50 likes
3 2 50
techmeme.com
Techmeme
@techmeme.com
Polymarket and Kalshi surpassed $2B in notional trading volume in the week ending Oct. 19, exceeding the previous peak during the 2024 US presidential election (Emily Nicolle/Bloomberg)

Main Link | Techmeme Permalink
October 21, 2025 at 11:25 PM Everybody can reply
1 reposts 1 quotes 3 likes
1 3
ches.baby
Ches (5-1-0)
@ches.baby
Three least favorite ads I get on YouTube:

1. those terrible Kalshi AI ads where people are screaming about betting on sports or whatever
2. All Rocket Money ads
3. Military ads
October 18, 2025 at 4:07 PM Everybody can reply
2 quotes 7 likes
7
esqueer.net
Alejandra Caraballo
@esqueer.net
It's so funny seeing what the right thinks of Mamdani versus what actual communists think of Mamdani.
Screenshot of two tweets discussing New York City mayoral candidate Zohrán Mamdani. The first tweet is by verified user Matt Van Swol (@matt_vanswol). It reads: “I don’t understand why no one is panicking about this. America is about to have a full blown communist running the FINANCIAL CAPITAL OF THE WORLD… New York City, what happened to you?!” Below his tweet is an embedded tweet from Kalshi showing a large outdoor billboard with two faces and polling numbers. On the left, Zohrán Mamdani with 87% in blue; on the right, Andrew Cuomo with 13% in red. The headline on the billboard reads “NEXT NYC MAYOR?” with “Kalshi” in the corner. Under Matt’s tweet are engagement stats: 17K comments, 15K reposts, 77K likes, 4.8M views. The second tweet is by Brenton (@seizethebanks), whose profile picture shows a person holding a phone with a Palestinian flag emoji next to their name. The tweet reads: “When Mamdani first won his primary and most of the left were celebrating, I tried very hard not to rain on their parade and said that while it was possible for his victory to be good for the movement, it would depend on how he led. I’m at the point now where I need him to lose.” Posted at 10:18 PM on Oct 15, 2025, with 226K views, 221 comments, 256 reposts, 679 likes, and 90 bookmarks.
October 16, 2025 at 6:30 PM Everybody can reply
55 reposts 7 quotes 490 likes 10 saves
29 55 490
metronorthcapital.bsky.social
Metro “Spooky” North
@metronorthcapital.bsky.social
I assure you, these are perfectly legitimate financial instruments and not sports gambling.
CME Planning to Launch Sports Contracts to Compete With Kalshi Summary by Bloomberg Al • CME Group Inc. is planning to debut financial contracts tied to sports games and economic indicators by the end of the year. • The products would bring CME into more direct competition with Kalshi and Polymarket, platforms for prediction markets that have been making rapid moves into the financial mainstream. • CME is preparing to release its new contracts to the public through future commission merchants, including the one it is setting up with FanDuel. By Katherine Doherty and Isis Almeida 10/16/2025 17:20:37 [BN] (Bloomberg) -- CME Group Inc. is planning to debut financial contracts tied to both sports games and economic indicators by the end of the year, according to people familiar with the matter. The products would bring the Chicago-based CME into more direct competition with Kalshi and Polymarket, the two platforms for so-called prediction markets that have been making rapid moves into the financial mainstream with the support of Donald Trump Jr., who is an adviser to both companies.
October 16, 2025 at 9:34 PM Everybody can reply
3 reposts 1 quotes 29 likes
5 3 29
robertjbennett.bsky.social
robert j bennett, ceo, results omega
@robertjbennett.bsky.social
is “trump has obama assassinated as his power dwindles” a betting option on kalshi
October 21, 2025 at 1:36 AM Everybody can reply
3 likes
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bluevirginia.bsky.social
Blue Virginia
@bluevirginia.bsky.social
Choose your adventure on Jason Miyares' chances of winning the Virginia AG election? LOL

@statenavigate.org: 13%
@polymarket.bsky.social: 67%
@PredictIt: 68%
@kalshiofficial.bsky.social: 69%

bluevirginia.us/2025/10/satu...
Montage of predictions for the Virginia AG's race by State Navigate, Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt
October 18, 2025 at 11:33 AM Everybody can reply
2 reposts 7 likes 1 saves
2 2 7
figgityfigs.bsky.social
The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
Dem chances have plummeted over the last 6 months. Why? Well Nate Silver is a whale on Kalshi and he’s shorting the Dems there to move the market so he can buy low on Predictit and Crowbar Eddie’ll stay off his back for another week.
mattbinder.bsky.social Matt Binder @mattbinder.bsky.social · 6d
CNN is covering prediction market odds from an online casino as if it’s actual polling data
October 15, 2025 at 7:12 PM Everybody can reply
7 reposts 51 likes
1 7 51
staunovo.bsky.social
Giovanni Staunovo
@staunovo.bsky.social
CME Plans to Launch Sports Contracts to Compete With Kalshi www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
CME Plans to Launch Sports Contracts to Compete With Kalshi
CME Group Inc. is planning to debut financial contracts tied to both sports games and economic indicators by the end of the year, according to people familiar with the matter.
www.bloomberg.com
October 17, 2025 at 7:02 AM Everybody can reply
1 likes
1
bluevirginia.bsky.social
Blue Virginia
@bluevirginia.bsky.social
Kalshi this morning has Spanberger with a 91% chance of winning the VA GOV race; Hashmi with an 88% chance of winning the VA LG race; Miyares with a 61% chance of winning the VA AG race; Dems with a 92% chance of winning the House of Delegates bluevirginia.us/2025/10/tues...
Source: Kalshi (https://kalshi.com/?search=virginia)
October 14, 2025 at 2:31 PM Everybody can reply
4 reposts 12 likes 1 saves
5 4 12
mchinn.bsky.social
Menzie Chinn
@mchinn.bsky.social
Current betting on Kalshi for 34 day shutdown; 35 days and we miss JOLTS (BLS) and int'l trade for September (BEA) #EconSky
October 12, 2025 at 7:06 PM Everybody can reply
1 reposts 9 likes
2 1 9
yasharali.bsky.social
Yashar Ali 🐘
@yasharali.bsky.social
Prediction markets aren’t great re Nobel Peace Prize.

After all, five people decide who wins, and they often like to use the prestige of the Prize to elevate a person or group not known to most of the world.

Nevertheless, here are the top candidates on Polymarket & Kalshi, in order of ranking:
The prediction markets aren’t great when it comes to the Nobel Peace Prize. After all, five people decide who wins, and they often like to use the prestige of the Nobel Peace Prize to elevate a person or group not known to most of the world. Nevertheless, here are the top three candidates on Polymarket and Kalshi, in order of ranking: 1. María Corina Machado: The Venezuelan opposition leader and pro-democracy activist. 2. Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms: Grassroots humanitarian networks formed during Sudan’s 2023 civil war. 3. Yulia Navalnaya: The widow of Alexei Navalny, the Russian freedom fighter. She has become a central figure in the global movement for Russian democracy and accountability.
October 10, 2025 at 4:55 AM Everybody can reply
33 reposts 1 quotes 260 likes 6 saves
11 33 260
pauljdavies.bsky.social
Paul J Davies
@pauljdavies.bsky.social
L-R:
Paddy Power
Kalshi
FiveThirtyEight
Intercontinental Exchange
October 9, 2025 at 9:42 AM Everybody can reply
1 reposts 7 likes
1 7
brokenbanker.bsky.social
BrokenBanker
@brokenbanker.bsky.social
despite his best efforts to influence the outcome, Trump is not even in the top 3 options on Kalshi to win the Nobel Peace Prize this morning

(I know it's technically called something else, and also that prediction markets are frequently wrong; if you come at me with either, Blockoland for you)
Kalshi Nobel Peace Prize odds
October 10, 2025 at 5:43 AM Everybody can reply
7 likes
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trendspider.com
TrendSpider
@trendspider.com
While $SPX grinds higher, @Kalshi odds for a strong finish have stalled since mid September.

Early cracks in bullish sentiment starting to show?
October 10, 2025 at 1:30 AM Everybody can reply
1 reposts 1 quotes 2 likes
1 1 2
fintwitter.bsky.social
FinTwitter
@fintwitter.bsky.social
THE US GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN IS NOW FORECASTED TO LAST NEARLY 24 DAYS - KALSHI
October 8, 2025 at 3:20 PM Everybody can reply
2 reposts 1 quotes 5 likes 1 saves
1 2 5
lauren.rotatingsandwiches.com
lauren
@lauren.rotatingsandwiches.com
did anyone else see the kalshi ad where multiple groups of people who died and lost in total ignominy are portrayed as winners because the odds they would succeed were virtually zero
October 7, 2025 at 1:58 AM Everybody can reply
2 quotes 180 likes
12 180
cait.bsky.social
cait (and adonis)
@cait.bsky.social
i hate it here
Kalshi Kalshi: Trade the Future Sponsored • C •.• What will Cartman say in tonight's South Park episode? Put your money on it with Kalshi South Park character to say 'Tylenol' tonight? Yes Odds Cost Payout if win 25% chance $100 $373
October 5, 2025 at 5:42 PM Everybody can reply
38 reposts 4 quotes 430 likes 2 saves
10 38 430
somepiuser.bsky.social
Some PI User
@somepiuser.bsky.social
i tailed the Ms bet but due to series result bets i made on kalshi i wanted a blue jay win

the good news for me is that yankees series win got mogged when the jays blew the game and i got 1000 fills of N at 66c
October 8, 2025 at 5:08 AM Everybody can reply
2 likes
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alexkirshner.com
Alex Kirshner
@alexkirshner.com
Good podcast discussion on HANG UP AND LISTEN this week w/ @nitishpahwa.com: How prediction markets like Kalshi have ensured that 1) there are in essence no state bans on sports betting now and 2) literally everything is now sports betting

slate.com/podcasts/han...
How Prediction Markets Became the Future of Sports Betting.
Prediction markets blur the lines between trading and gambling, allowing bets on almost anything.
slate.com
October 7, 2025 at 12:06 AM Everybody can reply
3 reposts 2 quotes 9 likes
1 3 9
upshot.nytimes.com
The Upshot
@upshot.nytimes.com
Things changed in January. One week before Trump took office, Kalshi named his son Donald Trump Jr. as a strategic adviser. Three days after Mr. Trump started his term, Kalshi listed its first sports contracts on two N.F.L. playoff games.

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/05/u...
Is Sports Betting Illegal in Your State? Not if You Call It a ‘Prediction Market.’
www.nytimes.com
October 6, 2025 at 12:46 PM Everybody can reply
2 reposts 7 likes
1 2 7
mchinn.bsky.social
Menzie Chinn
@mchinn.bsky.social
What data releases will we miss? What data are not being collected if the shutdown goes 22 days (current Kalshi estimate)? #EconSky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...
October 5, 2025 at 9:03 PM Everybody can reply
7 reposts 14 likes 2 saves
7 14
captainruck.bsky.social
"Captain" "Ruck" "Cohlchez"
@captainruck.bsky.social
"Take a chance. Defy the odds. Bet on Kalshi."
A lot of people are gonna be tellin' you you're crazy, and maybe they're right,
October 7, 2025 at 2:09 AM Everybody can reply
16 likes
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peark.es
George Pearkes
@peark.es
Definitely given they internalize all the the risk on a principal basis and Kalshi relies on anyone that wants to for liquidity provision (like eg the CME)
October 5, 2025 at 12:17 PM Everybody can reply
20 likes
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wertwhile.bsky.social
Joel Wertheimer
@wertwhile.bsky.social
DK and FD are also 1) not offering 3.75% interest on deposits and 2) banning the top bettors. Kalshi not doing that as a P2P site.
October 5, 2025 at 12:37 PM Everybody can reply
1 reposts 15 likes
1 15