VoxEU @ CEPR
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voxeu.org
VoxEU @ CEPR
@voxeu.org
VoxEU – CEPR’s policy portal - promotes "research-based policy analysis and commentary by leading economists". VoxEU columns cover all fields of economics broadly defined and are widely read.
@ckhead.bsky.social & @thierry-mayer.bsky.social‬ argue that the recent estimate of an equivalent 45% tariff in intra-EU costs is likely too high & vastly overstates the barriers which could be lowered due to Commission policy decisions.
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#EconSky
November 13, 2025 at 9:31 AM
In the second column of a 2-part series, Dirk Niepelt discusses recent developments in stablecoins, tokenisation, and decentralised finance, and details multiple ideas to address emerging risks while preserving the benefits offered by the rapidly evolving landscape.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
November 13, 2025 at 9:28 AM
In the latest VoxTalks Economics Rick van der Ploeg (@oxfordecondept.bsky.social ) joins @talknormal.co.uk to argue that gradual climate policies won’t deliver real change — what’s needed is a big push for transformation in economies and societies.

🌍 Listen here: cepr.org/multimedia/b...
#EconSky
November 12, 2025 at 3:31 PM
Maria Giulia Cassinis, Massimo Ferrari Minesso, & Ine Van Robays introduce a new financial markets-based model to identify the types of shocks driving changes in inflation expectations in near real-time.
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#EconSky
November 12, 2025 at 9:13 AM
Italian household survey data show that while awareness of genAI is high, usage is concentrated among younger, more educated and socially engaged individuals, potentially exacerbating inequalities.
Leonardo Gambacorta, Tullio Jappelli, Tommaso Oliviero
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#EconSky
November 12, 2025 at 9:09 AM
@leosven.bsky.social argues that the debt-to-income ratio is a poor predictor of future crises, and that one should look at aggregate and individual data on household solvency and liquidity instead.
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#EconSky
November 12, 2025 at 8:54 AM
Daniel Garcia-Macia, Siddharth Kothari, & Yifan Tao argue that factor misallocation from industrial policies in #China reduces domestic aggregate total factor productivity by about 1.2%. Scaling back industrial policy would lower fiscal costs and raise productivity.
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#EconSky
November 10, 2025 at 9:18 AM
Patrick Imam and Tigran Poghosyan show that despite earlier and sharper tightening, inflation targeting central banks did not achieve systematically better outcomes than their non-targeting peers during the 2022 global inflation surge.
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#EconSky
November 10, 2025 at 9:16 AM
A Kato & H Nishiyama find regional trade agreements have positive effects on exports to other countries from overseas Japanese manufacturing multinationals, suggesting that they have optimised their cross-border supply chain networks through free trade agreements.
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#EconSky
November 10, 2025 at 9:15 AM
8-hour workday led to + employment in Denmark, especially among unskilled & female workers. Earnings fell in provincial towns but less in Copenhagen, where union membership was higher & wages rose to offset shorter hours.
M Fredagsvik Gunnesmo, C Worm Hansen
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#EconSky
November 10, 2025 at 9:13 AM
Ottmar Edenhofer @pik-potsdam.bsky.social talks with @talknormal.co.uk about how to make carbon removal work and what policies are needed to turn it from theory into practice.

cepr.org/multimedia/h...

#EconSky
November 7, 2025 at 4:27 PM
K Aoki, A Auerbach, C Yuji Horioka, A Kashyap, T Watanabe, & D Weinstein discuss the legacy of Takatoshi Ito. His work is notable for challenging the perception that standard economic analysis is somehow ill-suited for understanding the Japanese economy.
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#EconSky
November 7, 2025 at 9:05 AM
O Itskhoki & D Mukhin add to the ongoing debate on the implications of global imbalances for trade policy & argue tariffs can close a persistent trade deficit if & only if they change the value of, or the returns on, the country's international finance position.
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#EconSky
November 7, 2025 at 9:04 AM
China's Belt & Road Initiative triggered strategic & divergent responses among major investment countries. The US increased investment in signatory countries, largely driven by strategic competition, while the UK reduced investment.
Y Todo, S Nishitateno, S Brown
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#EconSky
November 6, 2025 at 9:26 AM
E Dabla-Norris, D Furceri, Z Munkacsi, & G Sher show reallocating spending to infrastructure, education, health, & R&D and closing efficiency gaps can raise GDP by 11% in EMDEs and 4% in advanced economies, without increases in total spending.
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#EconSky
November 6, 2025 at 9:23 AM
M Aquilina, G Gelos, A Schrimpf, & S Zhu highlight two recent advances in the use of #AI tools to anticipate financial market stress. The tools can help policymakers monitor emerging risks in real time, combining quantitative forecast & qualitative insights.
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#EconSky
November 5, 2025 at 9:03 AM
International relocation of production systematically increases within-country income inequality in the countries that originally specialised in relocated products by compressing the income shares of the middle deciles.
Francisco Alcalá, Andres Romeu
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#EconSky
November 5, 2025 at 9:00 AM
In 2024, Chinese annual oil demand declined for the first time in 20 years. L Bencivelli, A D'Orazio, S Emiliozzi, & A Gazzani show the rapid adoption of EVs is a major driver of this trend. In 2024 alone, EVs displaced 0.43 million barrels per day of gasoline.
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#EconSky
November 4, 2025 at 9:15 AM
Despite a rise in energy prices in 2023, Dutch households experienced slightly lower average expenditure-to-income ratios as disposable incomes increased faster. Tenants are more vulnerable but most households have become more resilient.
M van der Plaat, A Huizinga
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#EconSky
November 4, 2025 at 9:13 AM
Efraim Benmelech & Joao Monteiro use data for 115 conflicts over the past 75 years and document large and persistent declines in output, investment, and trade following the onset of war, with no evidence of recovery even a decade later.
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#EconSky
November 3, 2025 at 10:36 AM
Francesco Bianchi, Era Dabla-Norris, & Salma Khalid show that most people dramatically misjudge debt levels and lose trust in their governments with every budget cut. They also believe that debt stabilisation efforts will disproportionately penalise them.
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#EconSky
November 3, 2025 at 10:30 AM
The informal sector expands during economic downturns and is highly sensitive to fiscal policy. Francesco Pappadà & Yanos Zylberberg show that limited commitment to repay sovereign debt and imperfect tax enforcement strongly influence fiscal policy during crises.
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#EconSky
November 3, 2025 at 10:22 AM
A Bonfiglioli, R Crinò, M Filomena, & G Gancia find that local #AI growth raises emissions by boosting economic activity and energy use. It also leads to power generation becoming more carbon-intensive as plants shifts from renewable to non-renewable sources.
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#EconSky
October 31, 2025 at 10:21 AM
Hélia Costa and John Hooley argue that the highly localised nature of climate-related natural disasters means impacts should be assessed at the subnational level. Such an approach reveals significant adverse effects of about 0.3% of GDP per year in OECD economies.
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#EconSky
October 31, 2025 at 9:12 AM
Norwegian data show that when children experience income losses, parents adjust their wealth to, either, transfer resources (when the shock is temporary) or increase savings (when the shocks are persistent).
A Fagereng, L Guiso, L Pistaferri, @mariusring.bsky.social
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#EconSky
October 30, 2025 at 8:57 AM