Vishal Misra
@vishalmisra.bsky.social
Vice Dean Computing and AI @CUSEAS. Dean of Cricket Analytics @SFOUnicorns. Tweets on academia, cricket, dad/bad/wry jokes. Opinions of guy am pointing at.
I wrote an updated analysis on tariffs for 2025 - important clarifications on who actually pays for it. The methodology is synthetic control
medium.com/@vishalmisra...
medium.com/@vishalmisra...
Who Pays for Tariffs? An Updated Analysis for 2025 | by Vishal Misra | Aug, 2025 | Medium
Building on our 2019 analysis of Trump-era China tariffs, with renewed relevance as tariff policies expand globally
medium.com
August 7, 2025 at 8:42 AM
I wrote an updated analysis on tariffs for 2025 - important clarifications on who actually pays for it. The methodology is synthetic control
medium.com/@vishalmisra...
medium.com/@vishalmisra...
A look back at the fractal modeling craze of the ‘90s, why it fell short, and what Internet traffic actually looks like: layered, stochastic, human.
https://medium.com/@vishalmisra/fractals-fables-and-the-nature-of-internet-traffic-81ed2d736eae
Sometimes it’s just layers, not fractals.
https://medium.com/@vishalmisra/fractals-fables-and-the-nature-of-internet-traffic-81ed2d736eae
Sometimes it’s just layers, not fractals.
Fractals, Fables, and the Nature of Internet Traffic | by Vishal Misra | May, 2025 | Medium
Inspired by a Tweet from Martin Casado
medium.com
May 12, 2025 at 2:55 AM
A look back at the fractal modeling craze of the ‘90s, why it fell short, and what Internet traffic actually looks like: layered, stochastic, human.
https://medium.com/@vishalmisra/fractals-fables-and-the-nature-of-internet-traffic-81ed2d736eae
Sometimes it’s just layers, not fractals.
https://medium.com/@vishalmisra/fractals-fables-and-the-nature-of-internet-traffic-81ed2d736eae
Sometimes it’s just layers, not fractals.
I’ve spent the last 20+ years accidentally building things that turned out to be right.
Live sports on the web. Control theory for TCP. Net neutrality. RAG.
Wrote up 5 of those stories here:
https://medium.com/@vishalmisra/five-ideas-that-were-early-but-turned-out-to-be-right-d6f51ab09574
Live sports on the web. Control theory for TCP. Net neutrality. RAG.
Wrote up 5 of those stories here:
https://medium.com/@vishalmisra/five-ideas-that-were-early-but-turned-out-to-be-right-d6f51ab09574
Five Ideas That Were Early — But Turned Out to Be Right | by Vishal Misra | Apr, 2025 | Medium
Reflections on systems thinking across decades
medium.com
April 14, 2025 at 4:18 AM
I’ve spent the last 20+ years accidentally building things that turned out to be right.
Live sports on the web. Control theory for TCP. Net neutrality. RAG.
Wrote up 5 of those stories here:
https://medium.com/@vishalmisra/five-ideas-that-were-early-but-turned-out-to-be-right-d6f51ab09574
Live sports on the web. Control theory for TCP. Net neutrality. RAG.
Wrote up 5 of those stories here:
https://medium.com/@vishalmisra/five-ideas-that-were-early-but-turned-out-to-be-right-d6f51ab09574
Next time I go to a restaurant instead of paying the bill in cash I will teach them a class on stochastic differential equations.
To get rid of the trade imbalance.
To get rid of the trade imbalance.
April 3, 2025 at 12:42 PM
Next time I go to a restaurant instead of paying the bill in cash I will teach them a class on stochastic differential equations.
To get rid of the trade imbalance.
To get rid of the trade imbalance.
New research: Cluster Synthetic Control (ClusterSC) addresses the curse of dimensionality in causal inference with large datasets (AISTATS 2025).
Blog: https://medium.com/@vishalmisra/a-smarter-way-to-compare-apples-to-apples-how-cluster-synthetic-control-improves-causal-inference-d8684dce6abc
Blog: https://medium.com/@vishalmisra/a-smarter-way-to-compare-apples-to-apples-how-cluster-synthetic-control-improves-causal-inference-d8684dce6abc
A Smarter Way to Compare Apples to Apples: How Cluster Synthetic Control Improves Causal Inference | by Vishal Misra | Mar, 2025 | Medium
This research is a collaboration with my PhD students, Saeyoung Rho and Andrew Tang, as well as another PhD student in the department, Noah…
medium.com
April 1, 2025 at 11:49 AM
New research: Cluster Synthetic Control (ClusterSC) addresses the curse of dimensionality in causal inference with large datasets (AISTATS 2025).
Blog: https://medium.com/@vishalmisra/a-smarter-way-to-compare-apples-to-apples-how-cluster-synthetic-control-improves-causal-inference-d8684dce6abc
Blog: https://medium.com/@vishalmisra/a-smarter-way-to-compare-apples-to-apples-how-cluster-synthetic-control-improves-causal-inference-d8684dce6abc
Some people buy Teslas, I buy tomatoes
March 14, 2025 at 12:13 AM
Some people buy Teslas, I buy tomatoes
The next distinguished lecture in AI organized by @CUSEAS is on 3/28 by Ion Stoica - a legendary researcher and entrepreneur. Here is the registration link for the talk
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/lecture-series-in-ai-ion-stoica-uc-berkeley-tickets-1277915703269
Looking forward to you visit Ion!
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/lecture-series-in-ai-ion-stoica-uc-berkeley-tickets-1277915703269
Looking forward to you visit Ion!
Lecture Series in AI: Ion Stoica, UC Berkeley Tickets, Fri, Mar 28, 2025 at 10:30 AM | Eventbrite
Eventbrite - Columbia Engineering presents Lecture Series in AI: Ion Stoica, UC Berkeley - Friday, March 28, 2025 at Davis Auditorium, 412 Schapiro CEPSR, New York, NY. Find event and ticket information.
www.eventbrite.com
March 12, 2025 at 3:47 PM
The next distinguished lecture in AI organized by @CUSEAS is on 3/28 by Ion Stoica - a legendary researcher and entrepreneur. Here is the registration link for the talk
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/lecture-series-in-ai-ion-stoica-uc-berkeley-tickets-1277915703269
Looking forward to you visit Ion!
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/lecture-series-in-ai-ion-stoica-uc-berkeley-tickets-1277915703269
Looking forward to you visit Ion!
This is pitch perfect by Dr. Katrina Armstrong, our President and leader. She speaks to all our values.
March 12, 2025 at 2:34 PM
This is pitch perfect by Dr. Katrina Armstrong, our President and leader. She speaks to all our values.
SHSAT results came out and our son joins our daughter for high school at Bronx Science. I told them no pressure but it’d be nice if they can add to this list of 9 Nobel Prize winners from Bronx Science.
No pressure.
No pressure.
March 11, 2025 at 12:19 AM
SHSAT results came out and our son joins our daughter for high school at Bronx Science. I told them no pressure but it’d be nice if they can add to this list of 9 Nobel Prize winners from Bronx Science.
No pressure.
No pressure.
A must read on what’s happening in that other place
https://www.richardhanania.com/p/liberals-only-censor-musk-seeks-to
https://www.richardhanania.com/p/liberals-only-censor-musk-seeks-to
Liberals Only Censor. Musk Seeks to Lobotomize.
The public square is turning into a grotesque idiocracy
www.richardhanania.com
March 9, 2025 at 12:35 PM
A must read on what’s happening in that other place
https://www.richardhanania.com/p/liberals-only-censor-musk-seeks-to
https://www.richardhanania.com/p/liberals-only-censor-musk-seeks-to
Well isn’t this fantastic
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3299395/americas-loss-chinas-gain-top-chinese-universities-welcome-phd-refugees-us
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3299395/americas-loss-chinas-gain-top-chinese-universities-welcome-phd-refugees-us
America’s loss, China’s gain: top Chinese universities welcome PhD refugees from the US | South China Morning Post
As the US cuts funding and suspends graduate admissions, China’s leading educational institutions are offering new academic pathways.
www.scmp.com
March 8, 2025 at 7:06 PM
Yesterday’s announcement of funding cuts makes us more committed than ever in supporting our students, our
faculty, and our research mission. @Columbia has a reputation for being one of the most important and influential research institutes in the world and it will continue.
faculty, and our research mission. @Columbia has a reputation for being one of the most important and influential research institutes in the world and it will continue.
March 8, 2025 at 4:41 PM
Yesterday’s announcement of funding cuts makes us more committed than ever in supporting our students, our
faculty, and our research mission. @Columbia has a reputation for being one of the most important and influential research institutes in the world and it will continue.
faculty, and our research mission. @Columbia has a reputation for being one of the most important and influential research institutes in the world and it will continue.
Mumbai Tech Week was a fantastic event - had the pleasure of speaking on both days. Once with Amit Sharma - the CTO of Dream Sports on the Columbia Dream Sports AI Innovation Center - #MumbAI
March 8, 2025 at 4:39 PM
Mumbai Tech Week was a fantastic event - had the pleasure of speaking on both days. Once with Amit Sharma - the CTO of Dream Sports on the Columbia Dream Sports AI Innovation Center - #MumbAI
On Day 1 of Mumbai Tech Week. Appearing on a panel on all things AI moderated by Varun Mayya with Niki Parmar (co-inventor of the transformer) and Siddharth Srinivasan, head of Eleven Labs India. #MumbAI
March 8, 2025 at 4:37 PM
On Day 1 of Mumbai Tech Week. Appearing on a panel on all things AI moderated by Varun Mayya with Niki Parmar (co-inventor of the transformer) and Siddharth Srinivasan, head of Eleven Labs India. #MumbAI
Found this on my college WhatsApp group. At least I have been consistent with my views!
March 6, 2025 at 7:47 PM
Found this on my college WhatsApp group. At least I have been consistent with my views!
My first time at AAAI - giving an invited talk on “Large Language Models as Approximate Bayesian Learners: A Unified View”
Joint work with Naman Agarwal and Siddhartha Dalal
Thanks B Ravi from IITM gfor the invitation!
Joint work with Naman Agarwal and Siddhartha Dalal
Thanks B Ravi from IITM gfor the invitation!
March 4, 2025 at 9:05 PM
My first time at AAAI - giving an invited talk on “Large Language Models as Approximate Bayesian Learners: A Unified View”
Joint work with Naman Agarwal and Siddhartha Dalal
Thanks B Ravi from IITM gfor the invitation!
Joint work with Naman Agarwal and Siddhartha Dalal
Thanks B Ravi from IITM gfor the invitation!
A simple experiment in arithmetic on our tool TokenProbe reveals the power of inference time scaling in LLMs: Given '33×117', token probabilities show uncertain guessing for direct computation, but near-certainty for each step when solving methodically.
February 19, 2025 at 2:39 AM
A simple experiment in arithmetic on our tool TokenProbe reveals the power of inference time scaling in LLMs: Given '33×117', token probabilities show uncertain guessing for direct computation, but near-certainty for each step when solving methodically.
Nobody voted for DOGE. People certainly didn’t vote for the Middle East Rivera. There is considerable evidence that it was, in fact, the price of eggs that drove the outcome and the Harris campaign nearly overcame that.
https://medium.com/@vishalmisra/thoughts-on-the-2024-us-elections-a228086d9fba
https://medium.com/@vishalmisra/thoughts-on-the-2024-us-elections-a228086d9fba
The second COVID election. The 2024 Election: What Really Moved… | by Vishal Misra | Medium
The 2024 Election: What Really Moved the Needle
medium.com
February 14, 2025 at 7:22 AM
Nobody voted for DOGE. People certainly didn’t vote for the Middle East Rivera. There is considerable evidence that it was, in fact, the price of eggs that drove the outcome and the Harris campaign nearly overcame that.
https://medium.com/@vishalmisra/thoughts-on-the-2024-us-elections-a228086d9fba
https://medium.com/@vishalmisra/thoughts-on-the-2024-us-elections-a228086d9fba
Two words instantly doubled shampoo sales: Rinse, Repeat
Four words have quadrupled Kumbh business: Once in 144 years
This is what genius marketing looks like.
Four words have quadrupled Kumbh business: Once in 144 years
This is what genius marketing looks like.
February 12, 2025 at 10:22 PM
Two words instantly doubled shampoo sales: Rinse, Repeat
Four words have quadrupled Kumbh business: Once in 144 years
This is what genius marketing looks like.
Four words have quadrupled Kumbh business: Once in 144 years
This is what genius marketing looks like.
Reposted by Vishal Misra
Because this is getting downplayed in some of the coverage, the racist staffer DOGE rehired isn’t a case of “stupid things he wrote years ago as a teen.” He posted about how we should “normalize Indian hate” IN SEPTEMBER.
February 8, 2025 at 7:03 PM
Because this is getting downplayed in some of the coverage, the racist staffer DOGE rehired isn’t a case of “stupid things he wrote years ago as a teen.” He posted about how we should “normalize Indian hate” IN SEPTEMBER.
Reposted by Vishal Misra
What are the best books on how democracies fail?
February 2, 2025 at 6:45 PM
What are the best books on how democracies fail?
Reposted by Vishal Misra
We all like to yell at the Democrats, but it’s really Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Majority Leader John Thune who are letting Elon Musk and his faceless goon squad make a mockery of their power as leaders of a coequal branch without uttering a peep or lifting a finger.
February 2, 2025 at 5:34 PM
We all like to yell at the Democrats, but it’s really Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Majority Leader John Thune who are letting Elon Musk and his faceless goon squad make a mockery of their power as leaders of a coequal branch without uttering a peep or lifting a finger.
Sunny G was making the point over and over again how Abhishek Sharma’s innings was full of classical strokes - and the evidence bears out. Almost all in the V - no “reverse” or “scoop” anythings
February 2, 2025 at 5:42 PM
Sunny G was making the point over and over again how Abhishek Sharma’s innings was full of classical strokes - and the evidence bears out. Almost all in the V - no “reverse” or “scoop” anythings
Reposted by Vishal Misra
Dean Shih-Fu Chang and Vice Dean @vishalmisra.bsky.social discuss the future of #AI in education as a part of the Winter 2025 issue of Columbia Engineering Magazine.
Read their conversation: bit.ly/40FIhCa
@columbiauniversity.bsky.social
#ColumbiaEngineering #E4H
Read their conversation: bit.ly/40FIhCa
@columbiauniversity.bsky.social
#ColumbiaEngineering #E4H
January 30, 2025 at 3:45 PM
Dean Shih-Fu Chang and Vice Dean @vishalmisra.bsky.social discuss the future of #AI in education as a part of the Winter 2025 issue of Columbia Engineering Magazine.
Read their conversation: bit.ly/40FIhCa
@columbiauniversity.bsky.social
#ColumbiaEngineering #E4H
Read their conversation: bit.ly/40FIhCa
@columbiauniversity.bsky.social
#ColumbiaEngineering #E4H