Vikki Thompson
@vikkithompson.bsky.social
Climate scientist at the University of Edinburgh.
Researching weather and climate extremes.
Climate modelling, statistics, attribution.
Researching weather and climate extremes.
Climate modelling, statistics, attribution.
On a smaller spatial scale analogues would likely be more similar in terms of impacts - as long as good enough analogues exist. Including more/better key circulation features also helps - as nicely shown by @jriboldi.bsky.social in egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...
Storm Boris (2024) in the current and future climate: a dynamics-centered contextualization, and some lessons learnt
Abstract. The response of mean and extreme precipitation to anthropogenic global warming stems both from warming of the troposphere and dynamical changes in the large-scale circulation, especially upw...
egusphere.copernicus.org
November 19, 2025 at 9:59 AM
On a smaller spatial scale analogues would likely be more similar in terms of impacts - as long as good enough analogues exist. Including more/better key circulation features also helps - as nicely shown by @jriboldi.bsky.social in egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...
But circulation analogues are still useful - they can assess changes in large-scale dynamics of similar events.
And we have other methods - such as storylines - which are more suited to assessing changes in rainfall intensity of extreme events. 🧵2/2
And we have other methods - such as storylines - which are more suited to assessing changes in rainfall intensity of extreme events. 🧵2/2
November 19, 2025 at 9:19 AM
But circulation analogues are still useful - they can assess changes in large-scale dynamics of similar events.
And we have other methods - such as storylines - which are more suited to assessing changes in rainfall intensity of extreme events. 🧵2/2
And we have other methods - such as storylines - which are more suited to assessing changes in rainfall intensity of extreme events. 🧵2/2
With coauthors @hancloke.bsky.social @erichfischer.bsky.social Dim Coumou, Urs Beyerle, & Joy Ommer
@knmi.nl
@knmi.nl
July 8, 2025 at 10:08 AM
With coauthors @hancloke.bsky.social @erichfischer.bsky.social Dim Coumou, Urs Beyerle, & Joy Ommer
@knmi.nl
@knmi.nl