Văzdooh
@vazdooh.bsky.social
Loaded a few March puts for SPY and SLV. SPY maybe goes a bit higher to 687.
January 21, 2026 at 4:14 PM
Loaded a few March puts for SPY and SLV. SPY maybe goes a bit higher to 687.
Not liking what I'm seeing. NFLX reaction is foreshadowing tech earnings IMO. Everything at risk of breakdown, but hanging on by a thread. Just needs metals, staples and the few semi names holding the market to turn and we see carnage. I'll do a video later to explain.
We're at #$SPY 680. Can hold, but this is the coin flip area that will go with the headlines. Escalation can push us lower. Deescalation and we bounce.
650 if we do not hold here. 630 maximum possible. 630-650 is the juicy buy the dip area where the headlines won't matter.
650 if we do not hold here. 630 maximum possible. 630-650 is the juicy buy the dip area where the headlines won't matter.
January 21, 2026 at 12:49 PM
Not liking what I'm seeing. NFLX reaction is foreshadowing tech earnings IMO. Everything at risk of breakdown, but hanging on by a thread. Just needs metals, staples and the few semi names holding the market to turn and we see carnage. I'll do a video later to explain.
We're at #$SPY 680. Can hold, but this is the coin flip area that will go with the headlines. Escalation can push us lower. Deescalation and we bounce.
650 if we do not hold here. 630 maximum possible. 630-650 is the juicy buy the dip area where the headlines won't matter.
650 if we do not hold here. 630 maximum possible. 630-650 is the juicy buy the dip area where the headlines won't matter.
January 20, 2026 at 10:24 AM
We're at #$SPY 680. Can hold, but this is the coin flip area that will go with the headlines. Escalation can push us lower. Deescalation and we bounce.
650 if we do not hold here. 630 maximum possible. 630-650 is the juicy buy the dip area where the headlines won't matter.
650 if we do not hold here. 630 maximum possible. 630-650 is the juicy buy the dip area where the headlines won't matter.
1/15 flow
Lots of rolls, bullish China, hits at bottom in software names
Lots of rolls, bullish China, hits at bottom in software names
January 16, 2026 at 9:12 AM
1/15 flow
Lots of rolls, bullish China, hits at bottom in software names
Lots of rolls, bullish China, hits at bottom in software names
1/14 flow
Quite noisy. Lots of rolls. Most puts are sold. Banks seem to have switch from bearish to bullish (or at least neutral).
Quite noisy. Lots of rolls. Most puts are sold. Banks seem to have switch from bearish to bullish (or at least neutral).
January 15, 2026 at 9:28 AM
1/14 flow
Quite noisy. Lots of rolls. Most puts are sold. Banks seem to have switch from bearish to bullish (or at least neutral).
Quite noisy. Lots of rolls. Most puts are sold. Banks seem to have switch from bearish to bullish (or at least neutral).
TACOed at the last second. Now that we went lower and got saved this is back to binary, but biased somewhat bullish this time. It was all good news this week aside from this Iran stupidity.
January 14, 2026 at 9:03 PM
TACOed at the last second. Now that we went lower and got saved this is back to binary, but biased somewhat bullish this time. It was all good news this week aside from this Iran stupidity.
Things still looks sketchy, but timing is the problem. I'm thinking we're ok until next week. Alternative is an upside breakout, but that seems completely unreasonable to me right now.
6800ish -> 7100ish is the baseline.
6800ish -> 7100ish is the baseline.
January 14, 2026 at 8:25 AM
Things still looks sketchy, but timing is the problem. I'm thinking we're ok until next week. Alternative is an upside breakout, but that seems completely unreasonable to me right now.
6800ish -> 7100ish is the baseline.
6800ish -> 7100ish is the baseline.
Dip already bought, do not expect further downside this week unless it's some news based thing. The VIX pattern I explained is valid, but we don't know where the higher low will be set, so there is room to go higher. My expectation is around 14.
January 12, 2026 at 4:57 PM
Dip already bought, do not expect further downside this week unless it's some news based thing. The VIX pattern I explained is valid, but we don't know where the higher low will be set, so there is room to go higher. My expectation is around 14.
Trying to figure out the consequences of this, it seems "Buy now, pay later" is likely to be the big winner. Last image is potential losers.
January 10, 2026 at 9:03 AM
Trying to figure out the consequences of this, it seems "Buy now, pay later" is likely to be the big winner. Last image is potential losers.
If the US is generally "smart money", and they are taking the opportunity to cash out on this surge in precious metal prices, what does that tell you about the current pump?
US trade deficit shrinks to smallest since 2020 as gold exports jump on.ft.com/3YkZmAC
US trade deficit shrinks to smallest since 2020 as gold exports jump
Figures for September raise hopes that GDP growth in third quarter was stronger than forecast
on.ft.com
January 9, 2026 at 6:02 AM
If the US is generally "smart money", and they are taking the opportunity to cash out on this surge in precious metal prices, what does that tell you about the current pump?
Things are still shaky at the index level. After yesterday IWM is also close to maxed out. Don't think it can go above 260 short term. Question is where do market makers want to close out the week. Pin here or reject. If the answer is reject, we can see QQQ 610, SPY 585, IWM 255.
January 9, 2026 at 5:52 AM
Things are still shaky at the index level. After yesterday IWM is also close to maxed out. Don't think it can go above 260 short term. Question is where do market makers want to close out the week. Pin here or reject. If the answer is reject, we can see QQQ 610, SPY 585, IWM 255.
#$FIG keeps accumulating. New #2 yesterday. Reminds me of ALAB before it started pumping. Probably won't go as crazy, but it will still go hard.
January 9, 2026 at 5:30 AM
#$FIG keeps accumulating. New #2 yesterday. Reminds me of ALAB before it started pumping. Probably won't go as crazy, but it will still go hard.
#$TD #1 (from divi) at positioning extreme going into earnings season for banks. TD itself has earnings late Feb according to TV. Another day, another bank with a high print 👀.
January 9, 2026 at 5:25 AM
#$TD #1 (from divi) at positioning extreme going into earnings season for banks. TD itself has earnings late Feb according to TV. Another day, another bank with a high print 👀.
