thomaschadefaux.bsky.social
thomaschadefaux.bsky.social
@thomaschadefaux.bsky.social
📘 New publication in Journal of Forecasting, with T. Schincariol

We show that migration flows exhibit recurring temporal patterns. Leveraging these temporal shapes dramatically improves forecasting accuracy, even with limited data.

doi.org/10.1002/for....
November 18, 2024 at 11:10 AM
Check out our latest article in Political Analysis with Jian Cao! We show how units can react at varying speeds to shocks, which can distort causal estimates in Synthetic Controls.
We introduce a more efficient dynamic estimator to correct these biases bit.ly/3O3EsB2
November 12, 2024 at 8:53 PM