TheBaldTactician (PL/FPL/Football)
@thebaldtactician.bsky.social
I like football…. And data. And thus, FPL.
Follow for a combination of the three.
Best OR: 23.000
Follow for a combination of the three.
Best OR: 23.000
Obviously if his wife just gives birth on a bloody Wednesday or smt he’ll be fine to play 😂
And then there’s of course the possibility he’ll play nevertheless.
Like this absolute madman.
And then there’s of course the possibility he’ll play nevertheless.
Like this absolute madman.
February 9, 2025 at 8:01 PM
Obviously if his wife just gives birth on a bloody Wednesday or smt he’ll be fine to play 😂
And then there’s of course the possibility he’ll play nevertheless.
Like this absolute madman.
And then there’s of course the possibility he’ll play nevertheless.
Like this absolute madman.
To make sure that we have a big enough sample for the seasonal PPM, we have only taken into account managers hired after GW10. Here, the numbers in the categories from 0.0-1.49 seem quite significant, but once again we have to compare them to our population:
February 6, 2025 at 4:18 PM
To make sure that we have a big enough sample for the seasonal PPM, we have only taken into account managers hired after GW10. Here, the numbers in the categories from 0.0-1.49 seem quite significant, but once again we have to compare them to our population:
score 1.27PPM in their first five games, compared to an 'average' seasonal average of 0.94PPM before hand. Again, to get a closer look, we divide these into the same five categories.
February 6, 2025 at 4:18 PM
score 1.27PPM in their first five games, compared to an 'average' seasonal average of 0.94PPM before hand. Again, to get a closer look, we divide these into the same five categories.
... fire their managers during a run of 10 PL-games (ie. most teams ever). This gives us a population of 17995 runs. When we divide these into the same five categories, we get the following results:
February 6, 2025 at 4:18 PM
... fire their managers during a run of 10 PL-games (ie. most teams ever). This gives us a population of 17995 runs. When we divide these into the same five categories, we get the following results:
To take a closer look at this, we have divided all these managers into five categories, based on the average PPM of their team in the five matches before their arrival. The results are as follows:
February 6, 2025 at 4:18 PM
To take a closer look at this, we have divided all these managers into five categories, based on the average PPM of their team in the five matches before their arrival. The results are as follows:
❗Data Deep Dive Week 6❗
Moyes' Everton look reborn, fresh and full of quality after his hiring, whereas Amorim's Man United looks even more grim then in the Erik ten Hag era. For this week, let's dive into the famous concept of the 'New Manager Bounce'.
A thread ⬇️
Moyes' Everton look reborn, fresh and full of quality after his hiring, whereas Amorim's Man United looks even more grim then in the Erik ten Hag era. For this week, let's dive into the famous concept of the 'New Manager Bounce'.
A thread ⬇️
February 6, 2025 at 4:18 PM
❗Data Deep Dive Week 6❗
Moyes' Everton look reborn, fresh and full of quality after his hiring, whereas Amorim's Man United looks even more grim then in the Erik ten Hag era. For this week, let's dive into the famous concept of the 'New Manager Bounce'.
A thread ⬇️
Moyes' Everton look reborn, fresh and full of quality after his hiring, whereas Amorim's Man United looks even more grim then in the Erik ten Hag era. For this week, let's dive into the famous concept of the 'New Manager Bounce'.
A thread ⬇️
I need to free up money for AM (guess that is the new META)
Posting my team for 2 days (shame on me, i know) but I need the help of all BlueSky geniuses!
Help me out (please)!
Will have to take a hit, i know.
#FPL
Posting my team for 2 days (shame on me, i know) but I need the help of all BlueSky geniuses!
Help me out (please)!
Will have to take a hit, i know.
#FPL
January 31, 2025 at 2:58 PM
I need to free up money for AM (guess that is the new META)
Posting my team for 2 days (shame on me, i know) but I need the help of all BlueSky geniuses!
Help me out (please)!
Will have to take a hit, i know.
#FPL
Posting my team for 2 days (shame on me, i know) but I need the help of all BlueSky geniuses!
Help me out (please)!
Will have to take a hit, i know.
#FPL
I hate posting my team on here, but I need your help.
0.7 ITB, 0FT (1 made). If I would not want to play my TC this week, but still have all of my chips, does anybody have ANY viable strategy for me until end of the year?!
Otherwise: am i just forced to play my TC like a sheep? #FPL
0.7 ITB, 0FT (1 made). If I would not want to play my TC this week, but still have all of my chips, does anybody have ANY viable strategy for me until end of the year?!
Otherwise: am i just forced to play my TC like a sheep? #FPL
January 30, 2025 at 11:38 PM
I hate posting my team on here, but I need your help.
0.7 ITB, 0FT (1 made). If I would not want to play my TC this week, but still have all of my chips, does anybody have ANY viable strategy for me until end of the year?!
Otherwise: am i just forced to play my TC like a sheep? #FPL
0.7 ITB, 0FT (1 made). If I would not want to play my TC this week, but still have all of my chips, does anybody have ANY viable strategy for me until end of the year?!
Otherwise: am i just forced to play my TC like a sheep? #FPL
the specific moment was comparable to their G/90 before, or if it kept being notably lower.
This left us with the list (below), with an average difference of 0.18 between G/90 (before) and AG/90 (after).
In comparison, on average, PL players (10+ goals) have a difference of 0.04 between G/90 ...
This left us with the list (below), with an average difference of 0.18 between G/90 (before) and AG/90 (after).
In comparison, on average, PL players (10+ goals) have a difference of 0.04 between G/90 ...
January 28, 2025 at 5:27 PM
the specific moment was comparable to their G/90 before, or if it kept being notably lower.
This left us with the list (below), with an average difference of 0.18 between G/90 (before) and AG/90 (after).
In comparison, on average, PL players (10+ goals) have a difference of 0.04 between G/90 ...
This left us with the list (below), with an average difference of 0.18 between G/90 (before) and AG/90 (after).
In comparison, on average, PL players (10+ goals) have a difference of 0.04 between G/90 ...
which was just 4 players in total: Berbatov(0.91) in 2010/11, Agüero(0.85) in 2011/12, Luis Suarez (1.32) in 2013/14 and Erling Haaland (1.10) in 2022/23.
This leaves us with a total of 22 players who at some point during their season met all of their requirements (see full list below).
This leaves us with a total of 22 players who at some point during their season met all of their requirements (see full list below).
January 28, 2025 at 5:27 PM
which was just 4 players in total: Berbatov(0.91) in 2010/11, Agüero(0.85) in 2011/12, Luis Suarez (1.32) in 2013/14 and Erling Haaland (1.10) in 2022/23.
This leaves us with a total of 22 players who at some point during their season met all of their requirements (see full list below).
This leaves us with a total of 22 players who at some point during their season met all of their requirements (see full list below).
Let's take a look at Gakpo's stats this season:
He's now played 22 games, 11 home (633 minutes) and 11 away (601 minutes). In these matches, he's scored 8 times(0.58/90 min.), 7 at home (1.00/90) and 1 away (0.15/90).
Based off his min/game(55), we expect him to play 880 minutes more this season.
He's now played 22 games, 11 home (633 minutes) and 11 away (601 minutes). In these matches, he's scored 8 times(0.58/90 min.), 7 at home (1.00/90) and 1 away (0.15/90).
Based off his min/game(55), we expect him to play 880 minutes more this season.
January 28, 2025 at 5:27 PM
Let's take a look at Gakpo's stats this season:
He's now played 22 games, 11 home (633 minutes) and 11 away (601 minutes). In these matches, he's scored 8 times(0.58/90 min.), 7 at home (1.00/90) and 1 away (0.15/90).
Based off his min/game(55), we expect him to play 880 minutes more this season.
He's now played 22 games, 11 home (633 minutes) and 11 away (601 minutes). In these matches, he's scored 8 times(0.58/90 min.), 7 at home (1.00/90) and 1 away (0.15/90).
Based off his min/game(55), we expect him to play 880 minutes more this season.
❗DATA DEEP DIVE❗
After seeing a lot of people make the argument Gakpo was not a good #FPL asset for the double as he has only scored once away from home this season, I had to go ahead and see if the numbers support this as a valid argument.
Thank you and enjoy the thread!
#FPLANALYTICS
⬇️
After seeing a lot of people make the argument Gakpo was not a good #FPL asset for the double as he has only scored once away from home this season, I had to go ahead and see if the numbers support this as a valid argument.
Thank you and enjoy the thread!
#FPLANALYTICS
⬇️
January 28, 2025 at 5:27 PM
❗DATA DEEP DIVE❗
After seeing a lot of people make the argument Gakpo was not a good #FPL asset for the double as he has only scored once away from home this season, I had to go ahead and see if the numbers support this as a valid argument.
Thank you and enjoy the thread!
#FPLANALYTICS
⬇️
After seeing a lot of people make the argument Gakpo was not a good #FPL asset for the double as he has only scored once away from home this season, I had to go ahead and see if the numbers support this as a valid argument.
Thank you and enjoy the thread!
#FPLANALYTICS
⬇️
January 20, 2025 at 1:40 PM
Looks like this. Thinking about bringing in Wood, but don’t know how.
Don’t love selling any of my forwards and only have 1FT.
Might just roll and bring in Konate and Gakpo next week.
Don’t love selling any of my forwards and only have 1FT.
Might just roll and bring in Konate and Gakpo next week.
January 16, 2025 at 12:56 PM
Looks like this. Thinking about bringing in Wood, but don’t know how.
Don’t love selling any of my forwards and only have 1FT.
Might just roll and bring in Konate and Gakpo next week.
Don’t love selling any of my forwards and only have 1FT.
Might just roll and bring in Konate and Gakpo next week.
I have got a confession to make.
January 15, 2025 at 9:54 PM
I have got a confession to make.
Absolutely awful day of FPL. Will probably go Gakpo/Wood -> Jackson tonight and then log off for a good two weeks 😂
January 4, 2025 at 5:13 PM
Absolutely awful day of FPL. Will probably go Gakpo/Wood -> Jackson tonight and then log off for a good two weeks 😂
How am I supposed to judge my score today if nobody has played yet? 😂
Guess bad day because all of the high owned players returned today (Wood, Eze, Aina, Sels, Robinson, Jota, Diaz etc.)
#FPL
Guess bad day because all of the high owned players returned today (Wood, Eze, Aina, Sels, Robinson, Jota, Diaz etc.)
#FPL
December 29, 2024 at 7:13 PM
How am I supposed to judge my score today if nobody has played yet? 😂
Guess bad day because all of the high owned players returned today (Wood, Eze, Aina, Sels, Robinson, Jota, Diaz etc.)
#FPL
Guess bad day because all of the high owned players returned today (Wood, Eze, Aina, Sels, Robinson, Jota, Diaz etc.)
#FPL
Anyone who has done thorough research during Christmas happy to help me out? 🎄
Who to bench?
- Verbruggen/Fabianski
- Colwill/Hall
- Amad/Rogers/JP
Please let me know! #FPL
Who to bench?
- Verbruggen/Fabianski
- Colwill/Hall
- Amad/Rogers/JP
Please let me know! #FPL
December 25, 2024 at 2:07 PM
Anyone who has done thorough research during Christmas happy to help me out? 🎄
Who to bench?
- Verbruggen/Fabianski
- Colwill/Hall
- Amad/Rogers/JP
Please let me know! #FPL
Who to bench?
- Verbruggen/Fabianski
- Colwill/Hall
- Amad/Rogers/JP
Please let me know! #FPL
December 21, 2024 at 2:41 PM
My current team and plan:
I think Isak is costing me too much rank not to bring him in, and his schedule is looking very nice.
After that it is looking like: Amad for Semenyo before GW18 deadline, Raul for Joao Pedro before GW19 and then Alisson from GW20 forward.
Any thoughts? #FPL
I think Isak is costing me too much rank not to bring him in, and his schedule is looking very nice.
After that it is looking like: Amad for Semenyo before GW18 deadline, Raul for Joao Pedro before GW19 and then Alisson from GW20 forward.
Any thoughts? #FPL
December 19, 2024 at 8:56 AM
My current team and plan:
I think Isak is costing me too much rank not to bring him in, and his schedule is looking very nice.
After that it is looking like: Amad for Semenyo before GW18 deadline, Raul for Joao Pedro before GW19 and then Alisson from GW20 forward.
Any thoughts? #FPL
I think Isak is costing me too much rank not to bring him in, and his schedule is looking very nice.
After that it is looking like: Amad for Semenyo before GW18 deadline, Raul for Joao Pedro before GW19 and then Alisson from GW20 forward.
Any thoughts? #FPL
Absolutely terrible GW from me as it sees my first red arrow since joining 🦋. What do we think? Time for a change? Might go Cunha->Watkins…
December 10, 2024 at 9:09 AM
Absolutely terrible GW from me as it sees my first red arrow since joining 🦋. What do we think? Time for a change? Might go Cunha->Watkins…
Final category: Shows players ranked on a summed basis over the other 4 categories.
This shows that (via this model) you should start:
1. Johnson/Rogers/Semenyo
2. Wood
3. Mbeumo, JP, Smith Rowe or Wissa
4. Welbeck
Really hope this helps!
This shows that (via this model) you should start:
1. Johnson/Rogers/Semenyo
2. Wood
3. Mbeumo, JP, Smith Rowe or Wissa
4. Welbeck
Really hope this helps!
December 3, 2024 at 5:27 PM
Final category: Shows players ranked on a summed basis over the other 4 categories.
This shows that (via this model) you should start:
1. Johnson/Rogers/Semenyo
2. Wood
3. Mbeumo, JP, Smith Rowe or Wissa
4. Welbeck
Really hope this helps!
This shows that (via this model) you should start:
1. Johnson/Rogers/Semenyo
2. Wood
3. Mbeumo, JP, Smith Rowe or Wissa
4. Welbeck
Really hope this helps!