SwissDataGuy
@swissdataguy.bsky.social
Mainly Ukraine news and economic changes regarding Ukraine and Russia.
Interest in Blockchain technology and interesting projects.
Interest in Blockchain technology and interesting projects.
1/3 If 🇷🇺 CBR assets suddenly spike in Oct–Nov 2025, that’s not just “growth”: historically >80% of the balance sheet is FX + gold, so a weaker ruble and higher gold can blow up the chart. But if the repo/loans to banks line jumps too, the CBR is filling a big liquidity hole.
December 9, 2025 at 7:55 AM
1/3 If 🇷🇺 CBR assets suddenly spike in Oct–Nov 2025, that’s not just “growth”: historically >80% of the balance sheet is FX + gold, so a weaker ruble and higher gold can blow up the chart. But if the repo/loans to banks line jumps too, the CBR is filling a big liquidity hole.
Yes - see below. I suppose 2025 it will make a big jump towards a much higher number when I look what's ongoing at the moment.
tradingeconomics.com/united-state...
tradingeconomics.com/united-state...
December 9, 2025 at 6:54 AM
Yes - see below. I suppose 2025 it will make a big jump towards a much higher number when I look what's ongoing at the moment.
tradingeconomics.com/united-state...
tradingeconomics.com/united-state...
Left Russias corruption rank and trend which is worsening massively.
It's on rank 154 corrupt nation out of 180 (almost at the end).
On the right side Ukraines trend which is improving quite well to rank 105 in 2024.
Data: trading economics
tradingeconomics.com/russia/corru...
It's on rank 154 corrupt nation out of 180 (almost at the end).
On the right side Ukraines trend which is improving quite well to rank 105 in 2024.
Data: trading economics
tradingeconomics.com/russia/corru...
December 9, 2025 at 6:25 AM
Left Russias corruption rank and trend which is worsening massively.
It's on rank 154 corrupt nation out of 180 (almost at the end).
On the right side Ukraines trend which is improving quite well to rank 105 in 2024.
Data: trading economics
tradingeconomics.com/russia/corru...
It's on rank 154 corrupt nation out of 180 (almost at the end).
On the right side Ukraines trend which is improving quite well to rank 105 in 2024.
Data: trading economics
tradingeconomics.com/russia/corru...
Outlook is bleak. New US sanctions on Rosneft & Lukoil scare Indian/Chinese buyers and strand more 🇷🇺 crude at sea. Profits crash, the interim dividend is cut to the weakest since 2020, Vostok Oil still eats capex, and ROSN is down ~32% YTD. The Kremlin’s cash-machine is sputtering.
December 5, 2025 at 10:05 AM
Outlook is bleak. New US sanctions on Rosneft & Lukoil scare Indian/Chinese buyers and strand more 🇷🇺 crude at sea. Profits crash, the interim dividend is cut to the weakest since 2020, Vostok Oil still eats capex, and ROSN is down ~32% YTD. The Kremlin’s cash-machine is sputtering.
🇷🇺 Rosneft’s IFRS profits are falling off a cliff. Q1–Q2 2024: 399 & 374 bn RUB. By 3Q–4Q24: only 153–158. In 2025 it’s worse: 170, then 75, then just 32 bn in 3Q – an ~80% YoY collapse. 9M 2025 net income is down ~70% vs 2024.
ROSNEFTs share price may reach new lows e.g. 250 as in 2022/2023
ROSNEFTs share price may reach new lows e.g. 250 as in 2022/2023
December 5, 2025 at 10:05 AM
🇷🇺 Rosneft’s IFRS profits are falling off a cliff. Q1–Q2 2024: 399 & 374 bn RUB. By 3Q–4Q24: only 153–158. In 2025 it’s worse: 170, then 75, then just 32 bn in 3Q – an ~80% YoY collapse. 9M 2025 net income is down ~70% vs 2024.
ROSNEFTs share price may reach new lows e.g. 250 as in 2022/2023
ROSNEFTs share price may reach new lows e.g. 250 as in 2022/2023
Bloomberg chart shows record 🇷🇺 oil stuck at sea: ~182m barrels now sitting in tankers, up ~21% since end-Aug. Line climbs from ~140m in Jan, dips in summer, then surges through autumn to a new high in Nov – growing floating storage hinting at trouble placing barrels.
It's a good sign
Please retweet
It's a good sign
Please retweet
December 5, 2025 at 8:15 AM
Bloomberg chart shows record 🇷🇺 oil stuck at sea: ~182m barrels now sitting in tankers, up ~21% since end-Aug. Line climbs from ~140m in Jan, dips in summer, then surges through autumn to a new high in Nov – growing floating storage hinting at trouble placing barrels.
It's a good sign
Please retweet
It's a good sign
Please retweet
UA UAV report & chart for 4 Dec: since Jul 🇷🇺 drone attacks per day have trended up, with bars = destroyed (red) + damaged (yellow), white line = 7-day avg, blue line = % destroyed. On 4 Dec a record 431 “yoblyky”: 217 destroyed, 214 damaged; 7-day avg 309, with 57% destroyed.
Source: estrebin
Source: estrebin
December 5, 2025 at 8:02 AM
UA UAV report & chart for 4 Dec: since Jul 🇷🇺 drone attacks per day have trended up, with bars = destroyed (red) + damaged (yellow), white line = 7-day avg, blue line = % destroyed. On 4 Dec a record 431 “yoblyky”: 217 destroyed, 214 damaged; 7-day avg 309, with 57% destroyed.
Source: estrebin
Source: estrebin
Australia is considering supplying its decommissioned Tiger combat helicopters to Ukraine.
The Tiger is a combat and reconnaissance helicopter. It is equipped with a 30 mm cannon and can carry unguided rockets & potentially also anti-tank guided missiles
That is great! 👍 Maybe as well against Shards
The Tiger is a combat and reconnaissance helicopter. It is equipped with a 30 mm cannon and can carry unguided rockets & potentially also anti-tank guided missiles
That is great! 👍 Maybe as well against Shards
December 5, 2025 at 7:49 AM
Australia is considering supplying its decommissioned Tiger combat helicopters to Ukraine.
The Tiger is a combat and reconnaissance helicopter. It is equipped with a 30 mm cannon and can carry unguided rockets & potentially also anti-tank guided missiles
That is great! 👍 Maybe as well against Shards
The Tiger is a combat and reconnaissance helicopter. It is equipped with a 30 mm cannon and can carry unguided rockets & potentially also anti-tank guided missiles
That is great! 👍 Maybe as well against Shards
Ru President Vladimir Putin warned on Tuesday that Ukraine could be cut off from sea access if Kiev's forces persist with their attacks. Speaking to reporters after the "Ru Calling" Forum, Putin condemned what he called "piracy actions" supported by Ukrs allies.
December 2, 2025 at 4:14 PM
Ru President Vladimir Putin warned on Tuesday that Ukraine could be cut off from sea access if Kiev's forces persist with their attacks. Speaking to reporters after the "Ru Calling" Forum, Putin condemned what he called "piracy actions" supported by Ukrs allies.
Hm links Russland dass sich bezüglich Korruptionsindex massiv verschlechtert auf Rang 154 von 180 Ländern und rechts Ukraine das sich auf Rang 105 verbessert. Noch Fragen?
Source:
tradingeconomics.com/russia/corru...
Klar läuft einiges nicht korrekt in der Ukraine aber in Ru ist es abartig übel!
Source:
tradingeconomics.com/russia/corru...
Klar läuft einiges nicht korrekt in der Ukraine aber in Ru ist es abartig übel!
December 2, 2025 at 7:16 AM
Hm links Russland dass sich bezüglich Korruptionsindex massiv verschlechtert auf Rang 154 von 180 Ländern und rechts Ukraine das sich auf Rang 105 verbessert. Noch Fragen?
Source:
tradingeconomics.com/russia/corru...
Klar läuft einiges nicht korrekt in der Ukraine aber in Ru ist es abartig übel!
Source:
tradingeconomics.com/russia/corru...
Klar läuft einiges nicht korrekt in der Ukraine aber in Ru ist es abartig übel!
What will be the effects on recruitment for the Russian army to get more 🍖 for the grinder?
Source: tochnyi.info/2025/11/the-...
Source: tochnyi.info/2025/11/the-...
December 1, 2025 at 9:03 AM
What will be the effects on recruitment for the Russian army to get more 🍖 for the grinder?
Source: tochnyi.info/2025/11/the-...
Source: tochnyi.info/2025/11/the-...
S&P Global Russia Manufacturing PMI edged down to 48.0 in Oct 2025 from Sept’s 48.2,
- signaling a fifth consecutive month of contraction
- sharpest downturn since July
Imagine the bad situation in the civil sector as the man. PMI is measuring as well the military 🪖 driven part.
- signaling a fifth consecutive month of contraction
- sharpest downturn since July
Imagine the bad situation in the civil sector as the man. PMI is measuring as well the military 🪖 driven part.
November 29, 2025 at 11:15 AM
S&P Global Russia Manufacturing PMI edged down to 48.0 in Oct 2025 from Sept’s 48.2,
- signaling a fifth consecutive month of contraction
- sharpest downturn since July
Imagine the bad situation in the civil sector as the man. PMI is measuring as well the military 🪖 driven part.
- signaling a fifth consecutive month of contraction
- sharpest downturn since July
Imagine the bad situation in the civil sector as the man. PMI is measuring as well the military 🪖 driven part.
Money supply M2 increased from 121 to 123 billion in October.
I wonder then how November will look like. Normally the biggest jump was from November to December. So Dec may be even worse.
Russia Money Supply M2 includes M1 plus short-term time deposits in banks.
Source: trading economics
I wonder then how November will look like. Normally the biggest jump was from November to December. So Dec may be even worse.
Russia Money Supply M2 includes M1 plus short-term time deposits in banks.
Source: trading economics
November 29, 2025 at 10:54 AM
Money supply M2 increased from 121 to 123 billion in October.
I wonder then how November will look like. Normally the biggest jump was from November to December. So Dec may be even worse.
Russia Money Supply M2 includes M1 plus short-term time deposits in banks.
Source: trading economics
I wonder then how November will look like. Normally the biggest jump was from November to December. So Dec may be even worse.
Russia Money Supply M2 includes M1 plus short-term time deposits in banks.
Source: trading economics
Russia, China hold talks on expanding Russian oil exports
Moscow and Beijing have been holding talks on options to expand Russian oil exports to China, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said Tuesday at a Sino-Russian business forum in Beijing.
Source:
Baha Breaking News
Moscow and Beijing have been holding talks on options to expand Russian oil exports to China, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said Tuesday at a Sino-Russian business forum in Beijing.
Source:
Baha Breaking News
November 25, 2025 at 9:02 AM
Russia, China hold talks on expanding Russian oil exports
Moscow and Beijing have been holding talks on options to expand Russian oil exports to China, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said Tuesday at a Sino-Russian business forum in Beijing.
Source:
Baha Breaking News
Moscow and Beijing have been holding talks on options to expand Russian oil exports to China, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said Tuesday at a Sino-Russian business forum in Beijing.
Source:
Baha Breaking News
November 21, 2025 at 8:04 AM
India even had an uptick and China is stable from a revenue perspective.
From a volume perspective it's not really going down. South Korea even increased purchases like India recently 😡
From a volume perspective it's not really going down. South Korea even increased purchases like India recently 😡
November 21, 2025 at 8:01 AM
India even had an uptick and China is stable from a revenue perspective.
From a volume perspective it's not really going down. South Korea even increased purchases like India recently 😡
From a volume perspective it's not really going down. South Korea even increased purchases like India recently 😡
Russian fossil fuel ⛽ exports are slowly edging below daily 500 Mio revenue. It's going into the right direction but extremely slowly 🤬
If you read that India, Turkey, China or others are no longer buying RU oil: --> this is wrong. They may buy less.
If you read that India, Turkey, China or others are no longer buying RU oil: --> this is wrong. They may buy less.
November 21, 2025 at 8:01 AM
Russian fossil fuel ⛽ exports are slowly edging below daily 500 Mio revenue. It's going into the right direction but extremely slowly 🤬
If you read that India, Turkey, China or others are no longer buying RU oil: --> this is wrong. They may buy less.
If you read that India, Turkey, China or others are no longer buying RU oil: --> this is wrong. They may buy less.
Corruption rank and trend of Russia versus Ukraine.
First image is Russia (Mordor) and second image is Ukraine over a period of 12 years.
Both are not good but Russia (154) is almost at the bottom of the race and Ukraine (105) is improving out of 180 countries.
First image is Russia (Mordor) and second image is Ukraine over a period of 12 years.
Both are not good but Russia (154) is almost at the bottom of the race and Ukraine (105) is improving out of 180 countries.
November 20, 2025 at 9:05 PM
Corruption rank and trend of Russia versus Ukraine.
First image is Russia (Mordor) and second image is Ukraine over a period of 12 years.
Both are not good but Russia (154) is almost at the bottom of the race and Ukraine (105) is improving out of 180 countries.
First image is Russia (Mordor) and second image is Ukraine over a period of 12 years.
Both are not good but Russia (154) is almost at the bottom of the race and Ukraine (105) is improving out of 180 countries.
Russia 3-Month Interbank Rate
The rate is still on 17.16%. It's the rate of interest charged on short-term loans made between banks. Very expensive if you need liquidity... and hardly over the official Russian Interest Rate in September of 17%.
The rate is still on 17.16%. It's the rate of interest charged on short-term loans made between banks. Very expensive if you need liquidity... and hardly over the official Russian Interest Rate in September of 17%.
November 17, 2025 at 1:55 PM
Russia 3-Month Interbank Rate
The rate is still on 17.16%. It's the rate of interest charged on short-term loans made between banks. Very expensive if you need liquidity... and hardly over the official Russian Interest Rate in September of 17%.
The rate is still on 17.16%. It's the rate of interest charged on short-term loans made between banks. Very expensive if you need liquidity... and hardly over the official Russian Interest Rate in September of 17%.
If true, then this is really significant. A second source & massive lower revenue streams needs to be seen in November. In October it was somewhat lower for crude oil but still above the 200 Mio daily revenue line (left upper chart) if you follow the CREA numbers. Crude is still 40% RU revenues!
November 17, 2025 at 1:36 PM
If true, then this is really significant. A second source & massive lower revenue streams needs to be seen in November. In October it was somewhat lower for crude oil but still above the 200 Mio daily revenue line (left upper chart) if you follow the CREA numbers. Crude is still 40% RU revenues!
That would be very fast. The November exporting numbers will show if exports run smoothly. October on crude was not really good according to Crea. Fossil fuels were really bad. Let's see.
November 16, 2025 at 8:14 PM
That would be very fast. The November exporting numbers will show if exports run smoothly. October on crude was not really good according to Crea. Fossil fuels were really bad. Let's see.
1/3 📉 OCT 2025: KREMLIN OIL CASH AT “RECORD LOW”
CREA shows 🇷🇺 fossil-fuel export revenue down to €524m/day, the lowest since the full-scale invasion. That’s still ~€16bn/month into Putin’s war budget, with crude €238m/day and oil products €114m/day even after drone strikes and new sanctions.
CREA shows 🇷🇺 fossil-fuel export revenue down to €524m/day, the lowest since the full-scale invasion. That’s still ~€16bn/month into Putin’s war budget, with crude €238m/day and oil products €114m/day even after drone strikes and new sanctions.
November 14, 2025 at 4:20 PM
1/3 📉 OCT 2025: KREMLIN OIL CASH AT “RECORD LOW”
CREA shows 🇷🇺 fossil-fuel export revenue down to €524m/day, the lowest since the full-scale invasion. That’s still ~€16bn/month into Putin’s war budget, with crude €238m/day and oil products €114m/day even after drone strikes and new sanctions.
CREA shows 🇷🇺 fossil-fuel export revenue down to €524m/day, the lowest since the full-scale invasion. That’s still ~€16bn/month into Putin’s war budget, with crude €238m/day and oil products €114m/day even after drone strikes and new sanctions.
I want one too 🦩😇
So I hope the 🦩 will grow from a small number to the numbers on the right side soon 🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩
Picture: Santuario Los Flamencos de Guajira done in October
So I hope the 🦩 will grow from a small number to the numbers on the right side soon 🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩
Picture: Santuario Los Flamencos de Guajira done in October
November 13, 2025 at 2:14 PM
I want one too 🦩😇
So I hope the 🦩 will grow from a small number to the numbers on the right side soon 🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩
Picture: Santuario Los Flamencos de Guajira done in October
So I hope the 🦩 will grow from a small number to the numbers on the right side soon 🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩🦩
Picture: Santuario Los Flamencos de Guajira done in October
Russia Corruption Rank
Yeah, it's going into the right direction ⬆️.
Mordor is getting corrupter and corrupter.
Russia is the 154 least corrupt nation out of 180 countries, according to the 2024 Corruption Perceptions Index reported by Transparency International. Can they even go to 170 or 180?
Yeah, it's going into the right direction ⬆️.
Mordor is getting corrupter and corrupter.
Russia is the 154 least corrupt nation out of 180 countries, according to the 2024 Corruption Perceptions Index reported by Transparency International. Can they even go to 170 or 180?
November 10, 2025 at 3:40 PM
Russia Corruption Rank
Yeah, it's going into the right direction ⬆️.
Mordor is getting corrupter and corrupter.
Russia is the 154 least corrupt nation out of 180 countries, according to the 2024 Corruption Perceptions Index reported by Transparency International. Can they even go to 170 or 180?
Yeah, it's going into the right direction ⬆️.
Mordor is getting corrupter and corrupter.
Russia is the 154 least corrupt nation out of 180 countries, according to the 2024 Corruption Perceptions Index reported by Transparency International. Can they even go to 170 or 180?
Lukoil 4000 could be in reach
Lukoil’s Volgograd refinery remains offline after a major Ukr drone strike. Damage to the CDU-5 primary unit and a hydrocracker forced a full halt; the site handled ~13.7 Mt in 2024 (~5% of Russia’s refining). Repairs, security hardening, and timelines remain unclear.
Lukoil’s Volgograd refinery remains offline after a major Ukr drone strike. Damage to the CDU-5 primary unit and a hydrocracker forced a full halt; the site handled ~13.7 Mt in 2024 (~5% of Russia’s refining). Repairs, security hardening, and timelines remain unclear.
November 7, 2025 at 9:10 AM
Lukoil 4000 could be in reach
Lukoil’s Volgograd refinery remains offline after a major Ukr drone strike. Damage to the CDU-5 primary unit and a hydrocracker forced a full halt; the site handled ~13.7 Mt in 2024 (~5% of Russia’s refining). Repairs, security hardening, and timelines remain unclear.
Lukoil’s Volgograd refinery remains offline after a major Ukr drone strike. Damage to the CDU-5 primary unit and a hydrocracker forced a full halt; the site handled ~13.7 Mt in 2024 (~5% of Russia’s refining). Repairs, security hardening, and timelines remain unclear.