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suspol.bsky.social
SUS-POL
@suspol.bsky.social
The SUS-POL research programme at the University of Sussex is exploring a radical new approach to climate governance: one that centres fossil fuel production.

For more info, visit: https://www.sussex.ac.uk/research/projects/sus-pol/about
Without tackling ISDS, fossil fuel phase-out plans will keep hitting legal roadblocks.

Fixing both is essential for a just transition🌍

www.sussex.ac.uk/research/pro...
A just transition requires roadmaps to phase-out fossil fuels and ISDS
At COP30, calls to phase-out fossil fuels were blocked, but Colombia pushed on -also warning that ISDS remains a major barrier to the transition.
www.sussex.ac.uk
December 1, 2025 at 9:16 AM
With countries like the Netherlands and Australia already taking steps, 2026 is a key moment to push ISDS off the table 👩‍⚖️
December 1, 2025 at 9:16 AM
Climate clubs like BOGA and COFFIS - and possibly a new coalition - could reform treaties, carve out fossil fuels, or remove ISDS entirely 💪
December 1, 2025 at 9:16 AM
ISDS has enabled fossil fuel firms to extract $80B+ in public funds and sue governments for rejecting new coal, oil, and gas projects🛑
December 1, 2025 at 9:16 AM
Colombia’s environment minister named ISDS as “one of the greatest obstacles” to the energy transition ❌
December 1, 2025 at 9:16 AM
Colombia🇨🇴 + the Netherlands🇳🇱are now moving ahead with a world-first fossil fuel phase-out conference in 2026
December 1, 2025 at 9:16 AM
At #COP30, 80+ countries backed a fossil fuel phase-out roadmap but it was blocked by petrostates.

The final text didn’t even mention fossil fuels 🤔
December 1, 2025 at 9:16 AM
What does this mean for the road ahead?

💪Pressure, policy, and new forms of cooperation.

Check out the full briefing here: sussex.ac.uk/webteam/gate...
sussex.ac.uk
November 24, 2025 at 1:27 PM
🏛️COP30 improved parts of the climate governance scaffolding.

But it failed to deliver decisive action on fossil fuel phase-outs - the core task that will determine whether the world avoids climate chaos.
November 24, 2025 at 1:27 PM
🌐 Multilateralism is shifting.

With the UNFCCC struggling on binding commitments, momentum is moving to:

🗺️The G20
🤝Plurilateral alliances (BOGA, CET-P)
🟢The newly announced 2026 Intl Conference on the Just Transition Away from Fossil Fuels (🇨🇴+🇳🇱)
November 24, 2025 at 1:27 PM
🏛️Climate governance is fragmenting.

Geopolitics, trade tensions & fossil fuel lobbying (1 in 25 COP30 delegates) are constraining ambition on phase-outs.

🛢️Governments are still approving new fossil fuel projects.
November 24, 2025 at 1:27 PM
COP30 exposed three truths:

⚡The transition is accelerating - but uneven. Clean energy investment is soaring. Yet fossil fuels still dominate transport, heavy industry & buildings.

0⃣The 1.5°C carbon budget is nearly gone.
📈Fossil emissions rose 1.1% this year.
November 24, 2025 at 1:27 PM
COP30 was billed to be the moment the world agreed a roadmap to phase out fossil fuels as part of the UN-process.

Instead: the final text avoided the topic altogether.

❌No mention of coal, oil or gas, despite 86 countries calling for a roadmap.
November 24, 2025 at 1:27 PM
Building clean energy is essential. But so is the deliberate, managed decline of fossil fuels.

Without both, the transition risks becoming an expansion, not a transformation.

🔗Read the full piece here: nationalinterest.org/blog/energy-...
We Cannot Lose Sight of Phasing Out Fossil Fuels
Phasing out the use of fossil fuels, not just simply rebuilding low-carbon systems, should be the goal of COP30.
nationalinterest.org
November 3, 2025 at 1:24 PM
5️⃣ A just transition depends on workers.

People in fossil fuel sectors need real, supported pathways into the low-carbon economy.

They’re the ones who will build the new system, not be left behind by it.
November 3, 2025 at 1:24 PM
4️⃣ There are opportunities in managed decline.

Decommissioning creates jobs, innovation, and regional renewal.

Building this capacity alongside renewables makes economic and climate sense.
November 3, 2025 at 1:24 PM
3️⃣ Breaking fossil fuel systems takes time.

These infrastructures are massive, global, and built for endless growth, not decline.

The work of dismantling them must begin now, not “later.”
November 3, 2025 at 1:24 PM
2️⃣ You can’t skip the fight.

“Build now, break later” dodges the confrontation with fossil fuel incumbents.

These firms are resisting transition, protecting profits, and keeping economies hooked on coal, oil and gas.

They won’t give up power willingly - they must be pushed.
November 3, 2025 at 1:24 PM
1️⃣ Renewables are adding, not replacing.

Global energy demand keeps rising. Clean energy is expanding the mix, but fossil fuel use is still increasing.

To meet the goals of the Paris Agreement, renewables must displace fossil fuels, not just add to them.
November 3, 2025 at 1:24 PM
“Build now, break later” means scaling up renewables first and only later dismantling fossil fuel systems.

But delaying phase-out is a dangerous gamble - on a “later” that a warming world may not grant us.
November 3, 2025 at 1:24 PM
A global fossil phase-out must engage with the politics of energy transitions, not just the economics.

Only then can fairness and the 1.5°C goal go hand in hand. 🤝

Check out the full paper here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

And the blog here: www.sussex.ac.uk/research/pro...
Reconciling the right to develop with leaving fossil fuels underground in the Global South
To address climate change, supply-side action and policy are urgently needed for leaving fossil fuels underground. Low- and Middle-Income Countries ho…
www.sciencedirect.com
October 21, 2025 at 12:31 PM
The authors call for a reframing of the right to development as a right to sustainable development, anchored in justice, equity, and democratic control over resources. ⚖️
October 21, 2025 at 12:31 PM