Alongside this report, co-author @fergusgreen.bsky.social has published a piece in the @uk.theconversation.com on why the Rosebank oil field development means more global emissions theconversation.com/rosebank-oil...
Rosebank oilfield: why more UK oil means more global emissions
It’s a myth that producing oil with lower upstream emissions benefits the climate.
theconversation.com
June 12, 2025 at 8:36 AM
Alongside this report, co-author @fergusgreen.bsky.social has published a piece in the @uk.theconversation.com on why the Rosebank oil field development means more global emissions theconversation.com/rosebank-oil...
Interesting point - and one that speaks to ideas of managed transition, policy coordination etc. Structural demand change is locked in; it will be a question of how fast this moves and how a peak-decline in FF demand (this decade) changes investment sentiment towards clean tech and away from FF
June 12, 2025 at 8:28 AM
Interesting point - and one that speaks to ideas of managed transition, policy coordination etc. Structural demand change is locked in; it will be a question of how fast this moves and how a peak-decline in FF demand (this decade) changes investment sentiment towards clean tech and away from FF
The open access paper can be found here - rdcu.be/d5p5b
The global implications of a Russian gas pivot to Asia
Nature Communications - The war on Ukraine has reduced Russia’s ability to export its natural gas, notably to the European market. Under any future strategy, Russia struggles to regain...
rdcu.be
January 5, 2025 at 10:12 PM
The open access paper can be found here - rdcu.be/d5p5b
Among a number of aspects, it is this interdisciplinary approach, a dynamic process of creating and modelling scenarios (using the TIAM-UCL Integrated Assessment Model) that endeavour to capture key features of today’s energy geopolitics, that brings a distinctive approach to this research.
January 5, 2025 at 10:12 PM
Among a number of aspects, it is this interdisciplinary approach, a dynamic process of creating and modelling scenarios (using the TIAM-UCL Integrated Assessment Model) that endeavour to capture key features of today’s energy geopolitics, that brings a distinctive approach to this research.
A key aspect of this work was the collaboration between i) social scientists interested in energy geopolitics and global gas security and ii) energy systems modellers focused on quantifying the role of fossil fuels in the energy transition.
January 5, 2025 at 10:12 PM
A key aspect of this work was the collaboration between i) social scientists interested in energy geopolitics and global gas security and ii) energy systems modellers focused on quantifying the role of fossil fuels in the energy transition.
A higher gas demand from China does not significantly improve prospects for Russia. Crucially, any future pivot to Asia is contingent on Chinese energy security and climate mitigation strategy and objectives.
January 5, 2025 at 10:12 PM
A higher gas demand from China does not significantly improve prospects for Russia. Crucially, any future pivot to Asia is contingent on Chinese energy security and climate mitigation strategy and objectives.
The research finds that Russia struggles to regain pre-crisis gas export levels across a range of futures. Compared to 2020, Russia’s gas exports are down by 31–47% in 2040 where new markets are limited and by 13–38% under a pivot to Asia strategy.
January 5, 2025 at 10:12 PM
The research finds that Russia struggles to regain pre-crisis gas export levels across a range of futures. Compared to 2020, Russia’s gas exports are down by 31–47% in 2040 where new markets are limited and by 13–38% under a pivot to Asia strategy.
2 scenarios are considered; i) Limited Markets - Russia struggles to gain new markets via LNG routes and new pipeline capacity; ii) Pivot to Asia - Russia sees more success in expanding pipeline capacity to China, & a more rapid scaling of LNG. Both considered different global gas demand levels.
January 5, 2025 at 10:12 PM
2 scenarios are considered; i) Limited Markets - Russia struggles to gain new markets via LNG routes and new pipeline capacity; ii) Pivot to Asia - Russia sees more success in expanding pipeline capacity to China, & a more rapid scaling of LNG. Both considered different global gas demand levels.
In the paper, titled ‘The global implications of a Russian gas pivot to Asia’ a scenario modelling approach is adopted to explore these implications. The research, funded by @ukerc.bsky.social, was undertaken by UCL Energy Institute, Warwick University and Oxford Institute for Energy Studies.
January 5, 2025 at 10:12 PM
In the paper, titled ‘The global implications of a Russian gas pivot to Asia’ a scenario modelling approach is adopted to explore these implications. The research, funded by @ukerc.bsky.social, was undertaken by UCL Energy Institute, Warwick University and Oxford Institute for Energy Studies.