Simon Stephan
@simonstephan.bsky.social
Psychologist/ Cognitive Scientist @uniGoettingen
Causal Reasoning, Computational Modelling, Statistics, Guitars and Harmonicas. Cats.
Causal Reasoning, Computational Modelling, Statistics, Guitars and Harmonicas. Cats.
Interesting new paper on the development of probabilistic reasoning. While young kids seem to rely on different heuristic strategies to solve probability problems (like urn tasks), older ones (around 5y) calculate proportions. Methodological message: control for alternative reasoning strategies.
Children had to choose between two urns containing varying proportions of blue and yellow balls. They knew they would receive a reward if, after several random mixtures, a target (e.g., a blue) ball fell out of the chosen urn.
August 28, 2025 at 6:50 AM
Interesting new paper on the development of probabilistic reasoning. While young kids seem to rely on different heuristic strategies to solve probability problems (like urn tasks), older ones (around 5y) calculate proportions. Methodological message: control for alternative reasoning strategies.
Reposted by Simon Stephan
New paper in Psychological Review!
In "Causation, Meaning, and Communication" Ari Beller (cicl.stanford.edu/member/ari_b...) develops a computational model of how people use & understand expressions like "caused", "enabled", and "affected".
📃 osf.io/preprints/ps...
📎 github.com/cicl-stanfor...
🧵
In "Causation, Meaning, and Communication" Ari Beller (cicl.stanford.edu/member/ari_b...) develops a computational model of how people use & understand expressions like "caused", "enabled", and "affected".
📃 osf.io/preprints/ps...
📎 github.com/cicl-stanfor...
🧵
February 12, 2025 at 6:25 PM
New paper in Psychological Review!
In "Causation, Meaning, and Communication" Ari Beller (cicl.stanford.edu/member/ari_b...) develops a computational model of how people use & understand expressions like "caused", "enabled", and "affected".
📃 osf.io/preprints/ps...
📎 github.com/cicl-stanfor...
🧵
In "Causation, Meaning, and Communication" Ari Beller (cicl.stanford.edu/member/ari_b...) develops a computational model of how people use & understand expressions like "caused", "enabled", and "affected".
📃 osf.io/preprints/ps...
📎 github.com/cicl-stanfor...
🧵
Reposted by Simon Stephan
New paper in Psych Science led by Clara Colombatto in which we show that, contra expectations of policymakers, vaccine nationalism actually decreases trust in leaders. Redistributive leaders are trusted more than nationalistic leaders —even by more nationalistic participants.
November 15, 2023 at 2:46 PM
New paper in Psych Science led by Clara Colombatto in which we show that, contra expectations of policymakers, vaccine nationalism actually decreases trust in leaders. Redistributive leaders are trusted more than nationalistic leaders —even by more nationalistic participants.