Sam Carana
@samcarana.bsky.social
• Visionary, policy developer and author of the Climate Plan
• Researcher and writer on climate change and how to improve the situation
• Admin of facebook groups, incl. Biochar, ArcticNews and Climate Alert
• Blog editor, incl. Arctic-news.blogspot.com
• Researcher and writer on climate change and how to improve the situation
• Admin of facebook groups, incl. Biochar, ArcticNews and Climate Alert
• Blog editor, incl. Arctic-news.blogspot.com
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Will life soon disappear? Economic projections fail. They focus on money, global GDP and similar constructs, ignore damage to the soil, water, atmosphere and conditions that sustain life and they refuse to accept that life is disappearing before our own eyes. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
The image shows land-only temperature anomalies compared to 1880-1920 with a trend added that points at 3°C getting crossed in 2027. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 11, 2026 at 7:31 AM
The image shows land-only temperature anomalies compared to 1880-1920 with a trend added that points at 3°C getting crossed in 2027. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
The image shows Arctic sea ice volume through Feb 10, 2026, when volume was at a record daily low, as it has been for years. Arctic sea ice volume has continued to decline, despite the move from an El Niño into the current La Niña over the past few years. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 11, 2026 at 4:05 AM
The image shows Arctic sea ice volume through Feb 10, 2026, when volume was at a record daily low, as it has been for years. Arctic sea ice volume has continued to decline, despite the move from an El Niño into the current La Niña over the past few years. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
NOAA Niño-3.4 region temperature anomalies and forecasts. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 11, 2026 at 3:57 AM
NOAA Niño-3.4 region temperature anomalies and forecasts. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
La Niña conditions have been present for most periods (18 out of 19) dating back to the May-June-July 2024 period. Moving from the bottom of a La Niña to the peak of a strong El Niño alone can make a difference of more than 0.5°C. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 11, 2026 at 3:56 AM
La Niña conditions have been present for most periods (18 out of 19) dating back to the May-June-July 2024 period. Moving from the bottom of a La Niña to the peak of a strong El Niño alone can make a difference of more than 0.5°C. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
Antarctic sea ice thickness and concentration by the University of Bremen (left and center) and concentration by NSIDC (right) on February 9, 2026. The NSIDC image also shows the median Antarctic sea ice edge 1981-2010 highlighted in orange. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 11, 2026 at 3:54 AM
Antarctic sea ice thickness and concentration by the University of Bremen (left and center) and concentration by NSIDC (right) on February 9, 2026. The NSIDC image also shows the median Antarctic sea ice edge 1981-2010 highlighted in orange. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
Arctic sea ice volume is at a record low for the time of year, as it has been for well over a year. The image shows Arctic sea ice volume through February 7, 2026. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 8, 2026 at 6:21 AM
Arctic sea ice volume is at a record low for the time of year, as it has been for well over a year. The image shows Arctic sea ice volume through February 7, 2026. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
Antarctic sea ice thickness and concentration by the University of Bremen (left and center) and concentration by NSIDC (right) on February 6, 2026. The NSIDC image also shows the median Antarctic sea ice edge 1981-2010 highlighted in orange. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 8, 2026 at 6:20 AM
Antarctic sea ice thickness and concentration by the University of Bremen (left and center) and concentration by NSIDC (right) on February 6, 2026. The NSIDC image also shows the median Antarctic sea ice edge 1981-2010 highlighted in orange. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
Arctic sea ice volume is at a record low for the time of year, as it has been for well over a year. The image shows Arctic sea ice volume through February 6, 2026. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 7, 2026 at 9:38 AM
Arctic sea ice volume is at a record low for the time of year, as it has been for well over a year. The image shows Arctic sea ice volume through February 6, 2026. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
Antarctic sea ice thickness and concentration by the University of Bremen (left and center) and concentration by NSIDC (right) on February 5, 2026. The NSIDC image also shows the median Antarctic sea ice edge 1981-2010 highlighted in orange. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 7, 2026 at 9:37 AM
Antarctic sea ice thickness and concentration by the University of Bremen (left and center) and concentration by NSIDC (right) on February 5, 2026. The NSIDC image also shows the median Antarctic sea ice edge 1981-2010 highlighted in orange. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
The combination image, adapted from ECMWF, shows the ENSO anomalies and forecasts for developments through February 2027 in Niño3.4 (left panel) and in Niño1+2 (right panel), indicating that the next El Niño will emerge and strengthen in the course of 2026. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 7, 2026 at 9:30 AM
The combination image, adapted from ECMWF, shows the ENSO anomalies and forecasts for developments through February 2027 in Niño3.4 (left panel) and in Niño1+2 (right panel), indicating that the next El Niño will emerge and strengthen in the course of 2026. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
The image, adapted from NOAA, shows that La Niña conditions have been present for most periods (18 out of 19) dating back to the May-June-July 2024 period. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 7, 2026 at 9:28 AM
The image, adapted from NOAA, shows that La Niña conditions have been present for most periods (18 out of 19) dating back to the May-June-July 2024 period. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
Antarctic sea ice thickness and concentration by the University of Bremen (left and center) and concentration by NSIDC (right) on February 2, 2026. The NSIDC image also shows the median Antarctic sea ice edge 1981-2010 highlighted in orange. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 6, 2026 at 2:52 AM
Antarctic sea ice thickness and concentration by the University of Bremen (left and center) and concentration by NSIDC (right) on February 2, 2026. The NSIDC image also shows the median Antarctic sea ice edge 1981-2010 highlighted in orange. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
Will life soon disappear? Economic projections fail. They focus on money, global GDP and similar constructs, ignore damage to the soil, water, atmosphere and conditions that sustain life and they refuse to accept that life is disappearing before our own eyes. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 6, 2026 at 1:14 AM
Will life soon disappear? Economic projections fail. They focus on money, global GDP and similar constructs, ignore damage to the soil, water, atmosphere and conditions that sustain life and they refuse to accept that life is disappearing before our own eyes. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
Arctic sea ice volume is at a record low for the time of year, as it has been for well over a year. The image shows Arctic sea ice volume through February 5, 2026. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 6, 2026 at 1:09 AM
Arctic sea ice volume is at a record low for the time of year, as it has been for well over a year. The image shows Arctic sea ice volume through February 5, 2026. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
The image is adapted from a NOAA image issued February 2, 2026, and shows Niño-3.4 region temperature anomalies and forecasts. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 4, 2026 at 11:10 AM
The image is adapted from a NOAA image issued February 2, 2026, and shows Niño-3.4 region temperature anomalies and forecasts. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
Antarctic sea ice thickness and concentration by the University of Bremen (left and center) and concentration by NSIDC (right) on February 2, 2026. The NSIDC image also shows the median Antarctic sea ice edge 1981-2010 highlighted in orange. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 4, 2026 at 11:09 AM
Antarctic sea ice thickness and concentration by the University of Bremen (left and center) and concentration by NSIDC (right) on February 2, 2026. The NSIDC image also shows the median Antarctic sea ice edge 1981-2010 highlighted in orange. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
Arctic sea ice volume is at a record low for the time of year, as it has been for well over a year. The image shows Arctic sea ice volume through February 3, 2026. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 4, 2026 at 11:07 AM
Arctic sea ice volume is at a record low for the time of year, as it has been for well over a year. The image shows Arctic sea ice volume through February 3, 2026. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
Temperature anomaly forecast, valid for November 2026, with anomalies at the top end of the scale (13°C) showing up over most of the Arctic Ocean. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
February 4, 2026 at 11:07 AM
Temperature anomaly forecast, valid for November 2026, with anomalies at the top end of the scale (13°C) showing up over most of the Arctic Ocean. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/horr...
The SSP5-8.5 model points at a temperature rise of 1.661°C in February 2025, of 4.388°C in February 2083 and of 5.163°C in February 2100 versus 1901-2000. The rise is higher when a genuinely pre-industrial base is used. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/is-s...
February 1, 2026 at 10:16 PM
The SSP5-8.5 model points at a temperature rise of 1.661°C in February 2025, of 4.388°C in February 2083 and of 5.163°C in February 2100 versus 1901-2000. The rise is higher when a genuinely pre-industrial base is used. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/is-s...
SSP5-8.5 vs 1881-1920 shows temperatures on land could be as much as 8°C higher in Feb 2100 and large parts of the Arctic may be as much as 20°C higher. The SSP5-8.5 model may even underestimate the temperature rise and it may not be the worst-case scenario. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/is-s...
February 1, 2026 at 9:57 AM
SSP5-8.5 vs 1881-1920 shows temperatures on land could be as much as 8°C higher in Feb 2100 and large parts of the Arctic may be as much as 20°C higher. The SSP5-8.5 model may even underestimate the temperature rise and it may not be the worst-case scenario. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/02/is-s...
Jet Stream distortion occurs due to narrowing temperature difference Equator/poles, and due to a stronger temperature difference oceans/continents. Jet Stream can form Omega and circular patterns. More water vapor in air can come with strong precipitation. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/01/extr...
January 29, 2026 at 4:26 AM
Jet Stream distortion occurs due to narrowing temperature difference Equator/poles, and due to a stronger temperature difference oceans/continents. Jet Stream can form Omega and circular patterns. More water vapor in air can come with strong precipitation. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/01/extr...
Reposted by Sam Carana
This 2nd projection in this "Global Warming Futures Series" shows when we might get the first day, first month and first year over 3°C, if the future follows an accelerating Global Warming trend, and variability is similar to the past.
It also shows when we might have the last year below 2.5°C
2/x
It also shows when we might have the last year below 2.5°C
2/x
January 27, 2026 at 6:29 PM
This 2nd projection in this "Global Warming Futures Series" shows when we might get the first day, first month and first year over 3°C, if the future follows an accelerating Global Warming trend, and variability is similar to the past.
It also shows when we might have the last year below 2.5°C
2/x
It also shows when we might have the last year below 2.5°C
2/x
Arctic sea ice volume is at a record low for the time of year, it has been at a record daily low for well over a year. The image shows Arctic sea ice volume through January 26, 2026. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/01/gree...
January 27, 2026 at 10:53 AM
Arctic sea ice volume is at a record low for the time of year, it has been at a record daily low for well over a year. The image shows Arctic sea ice volume through January 26, 2026. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/01/gree...
Temperature anomaly (left) and minimum temperature (right), January 25, 2026. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/01/extr...
January 26, 2026 at 2:22 AM
Temperature anomaly (left) and minimum temperature (right), January 25, 2026. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/01/extr...
On January 26, 2026, temperatures in Russia were as low as -52°F (-46.6°C) in Russia at 63.5°N (green circle). This is well outside of the Arctic Circle, which is at 66°3'N. Within the Arctic Circle, sunlight is absent on the winter solstice (polar night). arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/01/extr...
January 26, 2026 at 2:21 AM
On January 26, 2026, temperatures in Russia were as low as -52°F (-46.6°C) in Russia at 63.5°N (green circle). This is well outside of the Arctic Circle, which is at 66°3'N. Within the Arctic Circle, sunlight is absent on the winter solstice (polar night). arctic-news.blogspot.com/2026/01/extr...